4 Billion Years On

North America Climate – June 2026 Update

Top 5 Countries: United States, Canada, Mexico, Cuba, and Guatemala

Data for Continents is averaged from country snapshots. See Methodology.

This month in numbers

North America experienced a significantly warmer-than-average June 2026, with a 1-month anomaly of +1.62°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. The 3-month anomaly stood at +1.28°C, and the 12-month rolling anomaly was +1.42°C. Globally, June 2026 was the second-warmest June on record, with North America also experiencing its second-warmest June on record.

Hottest & coolest countries

Among the North American nations, Canada () recorded the highest 1-month anomaly at +2.69°C, followed by Jamaica () at +1.55°C and Nicaragua () at +1.51°C. The United States (Usa) was the coolest in the group, though still significantly warmer than average at +1.27°C.

What's driving change?

A severe heatwave struck North America starting in late June 2026, with temperature records tied or broken across numerous cities in the United States and Canada. This extreme heat was partly driven by a heat dome that initially settled over the eastern United States and Canada. The current weak El Niño (ENSO) conditions, with an anomaly of +0.98°C, are also contributing to the increased likelihood of heatwaves and higher temperatures across the continent. Wildfires were also a significant concern, particularly in the western United States, with an uptick in activity in the latter half of June. These critically dry conditions, which set the stage for extreme fire behaviour, are exacerbated by human-caused climate change.

Looking ahead

The strong El Niño conditions are forecast to persist through at least the end of 2026, with a very strong El Niño event expected to develop over the next couple of months, increasing the likelihood of widespread global climate impacts, including warmer temperatures across North America.

Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources

At a Glance

Temperature – Average

North America
Global
Land + Ocean
Jun
+1.6°C· 2nd
22.7°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
16.6°C
Record
22.8°C (2023)
16.7°C (2024)
Apr–Jun
+1.3°C· 4th
20.1°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
15.8°C
Record
20.6°C (2024)
15.9°C (2024)
2025
+1.5°C· 3rd
17.6°C
+1.0°C· 3rd
15.0°C
Record
18.0°C (2024)
15.2°C (2024)
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean · Small figure: the actual value · Record = highest (or lowest) value on record

Climate Map – Global

Window

Source: NOAA Climate at a Glance (countries & continents) · Met Office (UK) · US states & climate regions. Temperature anomalies are vs the 1961–1990 baseline. See methodology.

Hottest & Coolest in North America this Month

1-month anomaly vs 1961–1990 across the 6 members we cover. Click a name to open its profile.

Warmest

  1. 1.🇨🇦Canada+2.69°C
  2. 2.🇯🇲Jamaica+1.55°C
  3. 3.🇳🇮Nicaragua+1.51°C
  4. 4.🇨🇷Costa Rica+1.38°C
  5. 5.🇲🇽Mexico+1.33°C

Coolest

  1. 1.🇺🇸United States+1.27°C
  2. 2.🇲🇽Mexico+1.33°C
  3. 3.🇨🇷Costa Rica+1.38°C
  4. 4.🇳🇮Nicaragua+1.51°C
  5. 5.🇯🇲Jamaica+1.55°C

Member Countries

These are the country snapshots aggregated into the North America series.

Year-on-Year Trends

The 4byo Climate Helix – North America

1940202619611990 baselineColdest (1950)20162025 meanWarmest (2024)2026 so far
2026Jun
2024
WetDryJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecWet Start~0 days1901-302015-24Wet End+4 days10°15°20°25°
Temp
16.1°C
+0.0 vs base
Rainfall
mm
ENSO
ONI 3-mo mean
Playback
8×
Mode
Metric
Presets

4byo continent aggregate · equal-weight mean of 6 country monthly absolute temperatures (OWID/CRU TS).

North America – Monthly Temperature – All Years

Metric
All years since 19872024 (warmest)2026 (current year)

4byo continent aggregate · equal-weight mean of 6 country monthly absolute temperatures (OWID/CRU TS).

Records – North America

Warmest year
2024
18.0°C
Coldest year
1950
15.6°C
2026 so far
#6/87
16.1°C

4byo continent aggregate · equal-weight mean of 6 country monthly absolute temperatures (OWID/CRU TS). - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean

Shifting Seasons

Warm/cold + wet/dryKöppen Cfb · Temperate

North America has both a clear warm/cold cycle (±6.4°C) and a wet/dry cycle (5× wet:dry ratio). Both sides of the annual rhythm are shown below.

Shifting summer
25 days longer
Warm season
1940–1969 baseline: 15 Apr → 23 Oct · 191 days
2016–2025 now: 3 Apr → 5 Nov · 216 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Spr 12 days earlierAut 13 days later
Shifting wet season
3 days longer
Wet season
1940–1969 baseline: 11 Jun → 15 Oct · 126 days
2016–2025 now: 11 Jun → 19 Oct · 129 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Onset 0 days laterEnd 4 days later
+4.4% annual rain
baseline yr·recent yr·ring = global temp anomaly
Wet-season onset
11 Jun11 Jun
0 days later
When 25% of annual rain has fallen
Wet-season end
15 Oct19 Oct
4 days later
When 75% of annual rain has fallen
Peak-rain month
OctOct
unchanged
Wet months: 67

Monthly rainfall climatology. A “wet month” exceeds the baseline monthly mean (dashed gold line). Biggest month-to-month shift: Nov (+31 mm, +27%).

4byo continent aggregate · OWID/CRU TS country monthly temperatures & rainfall. Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Climate Systems

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Emissions & Energy

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Data Sources

Data Sources for North America

Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.

FAQs

FAQs

How is the climate in North America changing?

North America is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.

Where does the climate data for North America come from?

Climate data for North America comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.

What is the climate baseline used on this page?

Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.

Which areas does the North America climate data cover?

The North America climate profile covers United States, Canada, Mexico, Cuba and surrounding areas. Aggregated from country snapshots - NOAA does not publish a NA continental series

How often is the North America climate update refreshed?

The North America climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.