4 Billion Years On

Climate Overview

The latest headline numbers for climate change, and a guide to every climate page on the site…

The latest headline numbers for climate change, and a guide to finding your way around this part of the site. Search or browse below for the latest monthly update for any place - from a global summary to every continent, country, US climate region, US state and UK region.

Current Readings

The Climate Now

Global temperature · Sep 2026+1.2°CAgainst the 1961–1990 baseline. The 2nd warmest September of the last 77 years (NOAA).Global Climate Update
The 1.5°C Paris limit+1.4°CThe last 10 years' average above pre-industrial (1850–1900). The Paris goal refers to long-term warming, not single years.Global Climate Update
Carbon dioxide · Sep 2026426.1 ppmUp 1.70 ppm on a year earlier. 52% above the pre-industrial level of 280 ppm. Fossil emissions: 38.6 billion tonnes in 2024, up 1.3% on the year before.Greenhouse Gases
El Niño / La Niña · JAS 2026El NiñoStrong, RONI +1.7°C. Forecast - 100% very strong at peak, Sep-Nov, then neutral by Apr-Jun 2027 (NOAA). La Niña from Sep 2027 in SNU’s AI model.ENSO Tracker
Global heatwave days · 202517.8 daysDays a year in a 6-day-plus run above the local 90th-percentile temperature, averaged over 169 countries (World Bank). The 3rd highest of 76 years - the record is 27.5 in 2024, against 4.4 a year in 1951-1980.Heatwave Days
Global sea ice extent · Sep 202622.13M km²Arctic and Antarctic combined, 2.07M km² (9%) below the 1991–2020 average - the 3rd lowest September in 48 years of satellite records.Sea & Ice
Coral bleaching alert · 25 Oct 202618%Of reef regions at Alert Level 1 or higher - 39 of 214, where bleaching is likely (NOAA Coral Reef Watch). The record was 94% in 2024.Coral Bleaching Tracker
Climate tipping points1 LikelyTipping point likely passed at today’s 1.4°C of warming, and 6 more possible, of 16 assessed (Armstrong McKay 2022, Global Tipping Points Report 2025).Tipping Points

Key Questions

Find the Right Page

Is it getting warmer where I live?

Every continent, country, US climate region, US state and UK region has its own page - the latest month against established baselines, the long-term trend, its records and the events in its history.

How unusual is this month?

The whole planet this month, where each place ranks, and how far it moved from established baselines.

What's driving this season's weather?

Ocean and atmosphere patterns - El Niño and the Indian Ocean Dipole, the NAO and the polar vortex - shift the odds of a hot, wet or cold season. The Symphony shows them all together and how they connect.

What's causing the warming?

Greenhouse gases from burning fossil fuels, partly masked for decades by air pollution. Follow the gases, the emissions and the eras they created.

What does it mean for people and nature?

Longer heatwaves, more extreme weather, shrinking ice, rising seas and seasons arriving at different times.

Are we near a tipping point?

Warm-water coral reefs are judged to be passing theirs now, and the Atlantic's ocean conveyor and the great ice sheets are watched closely. See all 16 known tipping points against today's warming, follow the live data, and the nine planetary boundaries.

I want the basics first

Plain-English explanations of the ideas used throughout the site, and exactly where every number comes from.

Where can I learn more?

Classroom guides and citation help, recommended books, and the latest articles on the blog.

Explore the Tools

Interactive Climate Tools

Coming Soon

In Development

4byo Matrix

In Progress

How it all connects - warming, El Niño and La Niña, rainfall, heatwaves and the other climate drivers side by side, to show what drives what.

4byo Climate Horizon

In Progress

The bigger picture - where humanity fits into Earth's long climate record, and what the future might look like.

The Basics

Four Ideas Used Throughout the Site

Anomaly
How far a measurement sits above or below the baseline for the same place and time of year. Measuring every place against its own baseline is what lets a hot country and a cold one be ranked side by side on how unusual their month was.
Baseline
The fixed reference period an anomaly is measured against. The site defaults to 1961-1990, the WMO's long-standing reference for climate change, and many charts can switch to NOAA's 1901-2000 mean or the WMO's current 1991-2020 normal - the established baselines used in climate science, so figures here compare directly with those published by the agencies. A later baseline is already warmer, so it gives smaller anomalies.
The 1.5°C Paris limit
The Paris Agreement's aim of keeping global warming to 1.5°C above the pre-industrial level (1850-1900). It is judged on long-term warming, so this site tracks the 10-year average - a single year above 1.5°C does not mean the limit has been passed.
El Niño and La Niña
The Pacific's natural swing between a warm phase (El Niño) and a cool one (La Niña) every few years, shifting weather patterns around the world. Global temperature spikes during an El Niño, and the floor it settles back to afterwards has stepped higher after each major event - the warming trend showing through.

Every Climate Page

The Whole Climate Section

Monitor

Explore

  • Climate Insights

    Temperature since 1950 for every country and region, set against rainfall, frost, snow, CO₂ and SO₂ - with climate eras and sourced events

  • Climate Map

    Every continent, country and region on one map - temperature, warming trends, rainfall, frost, snow and heatwaves

  • 4byo Climate Helix

    One loop per year - temperature, rainfall, sunshine and frost since records began, for every country and region

  • Heatwave Days

    Heatwave days each year since 1950 for the world, every country, US state and UK region - with an El Niño / La Niña overlay

  • 4byo Climate Symphony

    ENSO, the NAO, the polar vortex and other climate drivers on one live timeline - with a 9-season forecast

  • Shifting Seasons

    Earlier springs, later autumns and shifting wet seasons worldwide - from 1,200 years of cherry blossom to today

Climate Drivers

Planetary Health

Learn

Latest Articles

From the Blog

FAQs

Climate Overview - Common Questions

Where should I start if I am new to climate data?

Start with the place you know. Every continent, country, US climate region, US state and UK region has its own climate page showing how its latest month compared with established baselines, how fast it is warming, and the events in its record. The Global Update does the same for the whole planet. The Explained guide covers the basic ideas, such as what an anomaly and a baseline are, in plain English.

How often is the data on this site updated?

Temperature, rainfall and the rankings are updated monthly, a few days after each source publishes the previous month. The ENSO tracker and the other climate-driver pages update weekly or daily, the Coral Bleaching Tracker daily, and the Extreme Weather page is live. Heatwave days and emissions are annual figures. Each page in the menu is marked with how often it updates.

Where does the data come from?

From the organisations that measure the climate - NOAA, the Met Office, Copernicus (ERA5), Berkeley Earth, the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, GPCC and others. Each chart names its source, and the Methodology & Sources page explains how every series is processed.

Why do different pages show different figures for the same place?

Usually because they compare against different baselines or periods. A month can be +2°C against 1961-1990 but +1.5°C against the warmer 1991-2020 baseline, and a single month differs from a 12-month average. The baseline used is always shown next to the figure, and most charts let you switch it.

What is still being built?

Two new tools are in progress - the 4byo Matrix, which shows how warming, El Niño and La Niña, rainfall, heatwaves and the other climate drivers interact, and what drives what; and the 4byo Climate Horizon, which steps back to the bigger picture - where humanity fits into Earth's long climate record, and what the future might look like. They will appear in the Explore menu when they are ready.