4 Billion Years On

Nicaragua Climate – June 2026 Update

Top 5 Cities: Managua, León, Masaya, Matagalpa, and Chinandega

This month in numbers

Nicaragua experienced a June 2026 average temperature of 25.71°C, an anomaly of +0.3°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline, ranking as the 31st warmest June in 86 years of records. Globally, June 2026 was the 3rd warmest on record for land temperature, with an anomaly of +1°C.

What changed

The three-month period from April to June 2026 saw an average temperature of 26.67°C, marking it as the 13th warmest such period on record with an anomaly of +0.7°C. Nicaragua's 1-month anomaly for June 2026 places it 199th out of 234 regions, indicating it was considerably cooler than many other parts of the world. The country's 12-month rolling anomaly of +1.12°C positions it 193rd globally, suggesting a long-term warming trend that is less pronounced than in many other regions.

What’s driving change?

The current climate patterns in Nicaragua are significantly influenced by a weak El Niño, with an anomaly of +0.98°C for April-June 2026. This El Niño is forecast to persist through the end of 2026, typically bringing warmer and drier conditions to Mexico and Central America during the rainy season (May-October), increasing drought risk and impacting crop and water supplies, especially in the Central American Dry Corridor. Additionally, Tropical Storm Cristina impacted Nicaragua's Pacific coast in early June 2026, bringing heavy rainfall, storm surges, and causing flash floods and landslides.

Looking ahead

The persistent weak El Niño conditions are expected to continue influencing Nicaragua's weather in the coming months, likely leading to continued warmer and drier conditions and an elevated risk of drought.

Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources

At a Glance

Temperature – Average

Nicaragua
Global
Land + Ocean
Jun
+1.5°C· 1st
27.0°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
16.6°C
Record
27.0°C (2026)
16.7°C (2024)
Apr–Jun
+1.3°C· 2nd
27.3°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
15.8°C
Record
27.6°C (2024)
15.9°C (2024)
2025
+1.0°C· 3rd
26.0°C
+1.0°C· 3rd
15.0°C
Record
26.4°C (2024)
15.2°C (2024)
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean · Small figure: the actual value · Record = highest (or lowest) value on record

Year-on-Year Trends

The 4byo Climate Helix – Nicaragua

1940202619611990 baselineColdest (1943)20162025 meanWarmest (2024)2026 so far
2026Jun
2024
WetDryJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecWet Start−1 daysWet End+2 days22°24°26°28°
Temp
26.1°C
+1.1 vs base
Rainfall
mm
ENSO
ONI 3-mo mean
Playback
8×
Mode
Metric
Presets

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Nicaragua – Monthly Temperature – All Years

Metric
All years since 19872024 (warmest)2026 (current year)

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Records – Nicaragua

Warmest year
2024
26.5°C
Coldest year
1943
23.9°C
2026 so far
#8/87
26.1°C

Our World in Data / NOAA - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean

Shifting Seasons

Wet / dry seasonsKöppen Am · Tropical

Nicaragua doesn't have a warm/cold cycle - its monthly temperature range is only 2.7°C across the year - but it does have a strong wet/dry cycle (the wettest month gets 10× as much rain as the driest). So we track how the wet season has shifted instead.

Shifting wet season
3 days longer
Wet season
1940–1969 baseline: 26 Jun → 18 Oct · 114 days
2016–2025 now: 25 Jun → 20 Oct · 118 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Onset 1 day earlierEnd 2 days later
+1.1% annual rain
baseline yr·recent yr·ring = global temp anomaly
Wet-season onset
26 Jun25 Jun
1 day earlier
When 25% of annual rain has fallen
Wet-season end
18 Oct20 Oct
2 days later
When 75% of annual rain has fallen
Peak-rain month
JulJun
-1 month
Wet months: 66

Monthly rainfall climatology. A “wet month” exceeds the baseline monthly mean (dashed gold line). Biggest month-to-month shift: Jul (-16 mm, -5%).

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Rainfall & Precipitation

Rainfall & Rain Days – Totals

Rainfall / Precipitation
Nicaragua
n/a
n/a· n/a
Record
n/a
n/a
n/a· n/a
Record
n/a
2024
+445 mm· 4th
2150 mm
Record
2256 mm (2022)

Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean. Small figure: the actual value. Rank: position in the full record (1st = highest ever). Record: highest (or lowest) value on record with its year.

Climate Systems

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Emissions & Energy

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Data Sources

Data Sources for Nicaragua

Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.

FAQs

FAQs

How is the climate in Nicaragua changing?

Nicaragua is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.

Where does the climate data for Nicaragua come from?

Climate data for Nicaragua comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.

What is the climate baseline used on this page?

Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.

Which areas does the Nicaragua climate data cover?

The Nicaragua climate profile covers Managua, León, Masaya, Matagalpa and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Nicaragua

How often is the Nicaragua climate update refreshed?

The Nicaragua climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.