Mexico Climate – June 2026 Update
Top 5 Cities: Mexico City, Guadalajara, Monterrey, Puebla, and Tijuana
This month in numbers
Mexico experienced its 15th warmest June on record in 2026, with an average temperature of 25.37°C, marking an anomaly of +1.3°C above the 1961–1990 baseline. Globally, June 2026 was the 3rd warmest June on record for land temperatures, with an anomaly of +1°C. Looking at the broader picture, the April–June 2026 period in Mexico was the 6th warmest on record, with an average temperature of 24.19°C, an anomaly of +1.4°C.
What changed
Mexico's average temperature for the April–June 2026 period was +1.4°C above the 1961–1990 baseline, placing it as the 6th warmest such period on record. This trend aligns with Mexico's long-term warming, which has seen an increase of +1.39°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline, with 2025 being the warmest year on record. The country's 1-month anomaly for June 2026 was 0.14°C warmer than the North America group average. Mexico has also seen significant rainfall and associated flooding during June, with events in Puebla, Mérida, and Mexico City. Tropical Storm Boris also made landfall in early June, bringing heavy rainfall and flooding to southern Pacific coastal areas.
What’s driving change?
The current weak El Niño phase, with an anomaly of +0.98°C in the NOAA ONI 3-month (April-June 2026), is a significant factor, typically bringing warmer and drier conditions to Mexico and Central America during the rainy season, increasing drought risk. However, despite the El Niño, Mexico has seen substantial rainfall and flooding events in June, including a catastrophic flash flood in Cuajimalpa, Mexico City, on June 1st, and heavy rainfall in Puebla on June 28th. This suggests other atmospheric dynamics are at play, potentially including shifts in regional weather patterns that are overriding the typical El Niño drying influence. Mexico is also experiencing an increase in heat stress days, with a new study indicating one to two more months of heat stress compared to several decades ago.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
At a Glance
Temperature – Average
Year-on-Year Trends
The 4byo Climate Helix – Mexico
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Mexico – Monthly Temperature – All Years
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Records – Mexico
Our World in Data / NOAA - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean
Shifting Seasons
Warm/cold + wet/dryKöppen Cwa · TemperateMexico has both a clear warm/cold cycle (±4.9°C) and a wet/dry cycle (9× wet:dry ratio). Both sides of the annual rhythm are shown below.
Monthly rainfall climatology. A “wet month” exceeds the baseline monthly mean (dashed gold line). Biggest month-to-month shift: Aug (+18 mm, +15%).
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Rainfall & Precipitation
Rainfall & Rain Days – Totals
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean. Small figure: the actual value. Rank: position in the full record (1st = highest ever). Record: highest (or lowest) value on record with its year.
Climate Systems
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Emissions & Energy
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Explore Climate Data
Data Sources
Data Sources for Mexico
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Mexico changing?
Mexico is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Mexico come from?
Climate data for Mexico comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Mexico climate data cover?
The Mexico climate profile covers Mexico City, Guadalajara, Monterrey, Puebla and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Mexico
How often is the Mexico climate update refreshed?
The Mexico climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.