US Southeast Climate – June 2026 Update
Top States: Florida, Georgia, Virginia, North Carolina, and South Carolina
This month in numbers
The US Southeast experienced a significantly warmer June, with a 1-month temperature anomaly of +0.98°C above the 1961–1990 average. This continues a trend of elevated temperatures, with the 3-month anomaly standing at +1.40°C and the 12-month rolling anomaly at +1.17°C. Globally, June 2026 was the second-warmest on record for combined land and ocean temperatures.
Hottest & coolest US states
Within the US Southeast, North Carolina US North Carolina was the warmest state in June, registering a +1.37°C anomaly. Florida followed closely at +1.31°C, and Virginia US Virginia at +1.26°C. Georgia US Georgia recorded the coolest anomaly in the region, though still significantly warmer than average at +0.56°C.
What's driving change?
The current climate pattern in the US Southeast is strongly influenced by a persistent weak El Niño, with a NOAA ONI 3-month anomaly of +0.98°C for April-June 2026. The NOAA CPC forecast indicates a 100% probability of El Niño conditions continuing through the end of 2026, suggesting its influence will remain a key factor for the coming months ENSO. This El Niño has contributed to above-average temperatures across the Southeast, particularly in northern and interior areas, as well as the Florida Peninsula, with many locations experiencing temperatures 3–5°F above average. Additionally, the region has seen below-average precipitation, especially in Virginia and the Carolinas, with many areas 3–6 inches below average. This can exacerbate warming, as less moisture is available for evaporative cooling.
Looking ahead
The NOAA Climate Prediction Center outlook indicates a higher likelihood of above-normal temperatures across the Southeast in the coming weeks and months.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
At a Glance
Temperature – Average
Climate Map – USA
Source: NOAA Climate at a Glance — US states & climate regions (tavg, pcp). Anomalies are vs the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) or 1991–2020 (rainfall). See methodology.
Hottest & Coolest in US Southeast this Month
1-month anomaly vs 1961–1990 across the 6 members we cover. Click a name to open its profile.
Warmest
- 1.🇺🇸North Carolina+1.37°C
- 2.🌴Florida+1.31°C
- 3.🇺🇸Virginia+1.26°C
- 4.🇺🇸South Carolina+0.84°C
- 5.🇺🇸Alabama+0.65°C
Coolest
- 1.🇺🇸Georgia+0.56°C
- 2.🇺🇸Alabama+0.65°C
- 3.🇺🇸South Carolina+0.84°C
- 4.🇺🇸Virginia+1.26°C
- 5.🌴Florida+1.31°C
Member States
Year-on-Year Trends
The 4byo Climate Helix – US Southeast
NOAA Climate at a Glance — regional tavg / pcp (monthly absolutes).
US Southeast – Monthly Temperature – All Years
NOAA Climate at a Glance — regional tavg / pcp (monthly absolutes).
Records – US Southeast
NOAA Climate at a Glance - regional tavg / pcp - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean
Shifting Seasons
Warm / cold seasonsHow spring and autumn have shifted in US Southeast. Spring is defined as the date monthly temperatures first rise above the long-term annual mean (16.8°C, from 1950–1979); autumn is the date they fall back below it. Temperature swings 18.7°C peak-to-peak across the year - a classic four-seasons rhythm.
Baseline vs recent monthly temperature climatology. Biggest warming: Feb (+3.2°C).
NOAA Climate at a Glance — regional tavg. Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Rainfall & Rain Days – Totals
Climate Systems
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Emissions & Energy
Explore
Explore Climate Data
Data Sources
Data Sources for US Southeast
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in US Southeast changing?
US Southeast is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for US Southeast come from?
Climate data for US Southeast comes from authoritative climate datasets including national meteorological services and peer-reviewed reanalyses, refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the US Southeast climate data cover?
The US Southeast climate profile covers Florida, Georgia, Virginia, North Carolina and surrounding areas. NOAA Southeast - AL, FL, GA, NC, SC, VA
How often is the US Southeast climate update refreshed?
The US Southeast climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.