Florida Climate – June 2026 Update
Top 5 Cities: Miami, Tampa, Orlando, Jacksonville, and Fort Lauderdale
This month in numbers
Florida experienced its 12th warmest June on record in 2026, with an average temperature of 27.72°C, marking an anomaly of +1.3°C above the 1961–1990 baseline. Globally, June 2026 was the 3rd warmest June on record for land temperatures, with an anomaly of +1°C. Rainfall for the month was significantly below average, ranking as the 66th driest June out of 77 years, with 129.03 mm, a deficit of 44.7 mm compared to the baseline.
What changed
The period of April to June 2026 was Florida's 4th warmest on record, with an average temperature of 25.31°C, an anomaly of +1.6°C. This continues a trend of warmer-than-average conditions for the state, which saw its 12th warmest year on record in 2025. This regional warming aligns with the global picture, as global land temperatures for April–June 2026 ranked as the 2nd warmest on record. While Florida's precipitation for the April-June period was near average, June itself was notably dry, contributing to ongoing drought conditions in parts of the state.
What’s driving change?
The persistent warmth in Florida is largely influenced by the strengthening El Niño conditions in the Pacific, which is currently in a weak phase with a Niño 3.4 SST anomaly of +0.98°C for April-June 2026, and is forecast to remain in an El Niño state through the end of 2026. El Niño typically brings warmer and drier winters to the Southeast USA, though its summer influence can be more varied. Additionally, the effect is contributing to higher temperatures in metropolitan areas, with cities like Orlando experiencing a monthly average high of 93.7 degrees Fahrenheit in June, significantly above its historical average of 90 degrees. Florida also experienced a heatwave in early June, with intense humidity and tropical-style warmth across the southern USA. Despite the overall dry trend in June, parts of South Florida experienced torrential rain and flash flooding in mid-June, with Key West seeing record-breaking rainfall on June 5, 2026. The state has also been grappling with drought conditions, particularly in the Florida Peninsula, which has experienced below-normal rainfall since the beginning of 2026, leading to elevated fire potential in some areas. More information on extreme weather can be found at Extreme Weather tracker and on ENSO at ENSO.
Looking ahead
The current El Niño is expected to persist well into 2027, suggesting that Florida could remain in a topsy-turvy weather pattern for many months to come, with a potential for an earlier end to the summer rainy season and increased chances for below-average precipitation in early autumn.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
At a Glance
Temperature – Average
Climate Map – USA
Source: NOAA Climate at a Glance — US states & climate regions (tavg, pcp). Anomalies are vs the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) or 1991–2020 (rainfall). See methodology.
Year-on-Year Trends
The 4byo Climate Helix – Florida
Data: NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information. Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Florida – Monthly Temperature – All Years
Data: NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information. Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Records – Florida
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean
Shifting Seasons
Warm/cold + wet/dryKöppen Cfa · TemperateFlorida has both a clear warm/cold cycle (±6.6°C) and a wet/dry cycle (3× wet:dry ratio). Both sides of the annual rhythm are shown below.
Monthly rainfall climatology. A “wet month” exceeds the baseline monthly mean (dashed gold line). Biggest month-to-month shift: Jun (+31 mm, +18%).
Data: NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information. Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Rainfall & Precipitation
Rainfall & Rain Days – Totals
Climate Systems
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Emissions & Energy
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Explore Climate Data
Data Sources
Data Sources for Florida
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Florida changing?
Florida is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Florida come from?
Climate data for Florida comes from NOAA Climate at a Glance (temperature and precipitation), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Florida climate data cover?
The Florida climate profile covers Miami, Tampa, Orlando, Jacksonville and surrounding areas. Sea-level rise, hurricanes and the insurance crisis
How often is the Florida climate update refreshed?
The Florida climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.