4 Billion Years On

US Ohio Valley Climate – June 2026 Update

Top States: Ohio, Illinois, Missouri, Indiana, and Tennessee

This month in numbers

The Ohio Valley region experienced a significantly warmer June, with temperatures averaging +0.50°C above the 1961–1990 baseline. This continues a pronounced warming trend, as the 3-month anomaly stands at +1.55°C and the 12-month rolling anomaly at +1.64°C. Globally, June saw a striking concentration of warmth in Europe, with 9 of the top 10 warmest 1-month anomalies being countries in that continent.

Hottest & coolest US states

Within the Ohio Valley, West Virginia US West Virginia was the warmest state in June, recording an anomaly of +0.81°C. Missouri US Missouri and Kentucky US Kentucky also experienced notably warmer conditions, at +0.71°C and +0.61°C respectively. Indiana US Indiana was the coolest state in the region, though still registering a positive anomaly of +0.10°C.

What's driving change?

The current strong El Niño event, with a NOAA ONI 3-month anomaly of +0.98°C, is a significant factor influencing the region's climate. El Niño conditions typically lead to warmer and drier winters in the Ohio Valley, and while June is outside the typical winter impact period, the strong El Niño is contributing to the overall warmer trend. The region also experienced several severe weather events in June, including a heatwave towards the end of the month with heat index values exceeding 100°F, and multiple severe thunderstorms, tornadoes, and flash flooding incidents across parts of the Ohio Valley. These extreme weather events, alongside the broader trend of seasonal shifts, highlight the ongoing changes in regional weather patterns.

Looking ahead

The current strong El Niño is expected to persist through the end of the year, with a 100% probability of El Niño conditions continuing through October, November, and December. This suggests a continued likelihood of warmer and drier conditions for the Ohio Valley in the coming months, particularly during the winter season.

Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources

At a Glance

Temperature – Average

US Ohio Valley
United States
Global
Land + Ocean
Jun
+0.5°C· 36th
22.3°C
+1.2°C· 13th
21.5°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
16.6°C
Record
25.2°C (1952)
22.5°C (2021)
16.7°C (2024)
Apr–Jun
+1.6°C· 6th
18.5°C
+1.3°C· 4th
16.9°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
15.8°C
Record
19.2°C (1991)
17.1°C (2012)
15.9°C (2024)
2025
+1.2°C· 16th
12.9°C
+1.5°C· 4th
12.6°C
+1.0°C· 3rd
15.0°C
Record
13.9°C (2024)
13.1°C (2024)
15.2°C (2024)
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean · Small figure: the actual value · Record = highest (or lowest) value on record

Climate Map – USA

Window

Source: NOAA Climate at a Glance — US states & climate regions (tavg, pcp). Anomalies are vs the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) or 1991–2020 (rainfall). See methodology.

Hottest & Coolest in US Ohio Valley this Month

1-month anomaly vs 1961–1990 across the 7 members we cover. Click a name to open its profile.

Warmest

  1. 1.🇺🇸West Virginia+0.81°C
  2. 2.🇺🇸Missouri+0.71°C
  3. 3.🇺🇸Kentucky+0.61°C
  4. 4.🇺🇸Ohio+0.56°C
  5. 5.🇺🇸Tennessee+0.54°C

Coolest

  1. 1.🇺🇸Indiana+0.10°C
  2. 2.🇺🇸Illinois+0.22°C
  3. 3.🇺🇸Tennessee+0.54°C
  4. 4.🇺🇸Ohio+0.56°C
  5. 5.🇺🇸Kentucky+0.61°C

Member States

Year-on-Year Trends

The 4byo Climate Helix – US Ohio Valley

1950202619611990 baselineColdest (1979)20162025 meanWarmest (2024)2026 so far
2026Jun
2024
WinterSpringSummerAutumnJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec1950-792016-25Spr Start−3 days1950-792016-25Aut End+5 days-10°-5°10°15°20°25°
Temp
11.1°C
-0.6 vs base
Rainfall
572mm
-517 vs base
ENSO
ONI 3-mo mean
Playback
8×
Mode
Metric
Presets

NOAA Climate at a Glance — regional tavg / pcp (monthly absolutes).

US Ohio Valley – Monthly Temperature – All Years

Metric
All years since 19872024 (warmest)2026 (current year)

NOAA Climate at a Glance — regional tavg / pcp (monthly absolutes).

Records – US Ohio Valley

Warmest year
2024
13.9°C
Coldest year
1979
10.8°C
2026 so far
#7/77
11.1°C

NOAA Climate at a Glance - regional tavg / pcp - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean

Shifting Seasons

Warm / cold seasons

How spring and autumn have shifted in US Ohio Valley. Spring is defined as the date monthly temperatures first rise above the long-term annual mean (11.7°C, from 19501979); autumn is the date they fall back below it. Temperature swings 25.9°C peak-to-peak across the year - a classic four-seasons rhythm.

Shifting summer
8 days longer
Warm season
1950–1979 baseline: 15 Apr → 22 Oct · 190 days
2016–2025 now: 12 Apr → 27 Oct · 198 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Spr 3 days earlierAut 5 days later
baseline yr·recent yr·ring = global temp anomaly

Baseline vs recent monthly temperature climatology. Biggest warming: Mar (+2.5°C).

NOAA Climate at a Glance — regional tavg. Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Rainfall & Rain Days – Totals

Rainfall / Precipitation
US Ohio Valley
United States
Jun
+46 mm· 8th
147 mm
+9 mm· 24th
82 mm
Record
198 mm (1998)
97 mm (1989)
Apr–Jun
+25 mm· 16th
130 mm
+5 mm· 29th
75 mm
Record
167 mm (2011)
98 mm (1957)
2025
-6 mm· 43rd
1083 mm
-27 mm· 55th
743 mm
Record
1371 mm (2019)
887 mm (1973)
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean · Small figure: the actual value · Record = highest (or lowest) value on record

Climate Systems

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Emissions & Energy

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Data Sources

Data Sources for US Ohio Valley

Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.

FAQs

FAQs

How is the climate in US Ohio Valley changing?

US Ohio Valley is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.

Where does the climate data for US Ohio Valley come from?

Climate data for US Ohio Valley comes from authoritative climate datasets including national meteorological services and peer-reviewed reanalyses, refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.

What is the climate baseline used on this page?

Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.

Which areas does the US Ohio Valley climate data cover?

The US Ohio Valley climate profile covers Ohio, Illinois, Missouri, Indiana and surrounding areas. NOAA Ohio Valley - IL, IN, KY, MO, OH, TN, WV

How often is the US Ohio Valley climate update refreshed?

The US Ohio Valley climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.