England and Wales Climate – September 2026 Update
City Coverage: London, Birmingham, Cardiff, Manchester, Bristol, and Leeds
Combined England and Wales climate data across major cities
A fresh climate update for England and Wales is being generated…
The new monthly summary is being written by Gemini in the background. This usually takes 5–10 seconds. The live climate data below is already up to date.
At a Glance
Temperature – Average
Long-Term Trends
Climate Insights – England and Wales
Precipitation, Sunshine, Frost and Snow are converted to standard deviations from their own average so they can share an axis with Temperature anomalies.
Climate History
53 of 53 events
Data: Met Office UK Regional Series © Crown copyright.
Heatwave Days – England and Wales
Warm Spell Duration Index (WSDI) - days in a 6+ day run above the local 90th-percentile temperature for that time of year.
Data: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal (ERA5-derived). Refreshed roughly 1-2x/year, ~7-8 months behind present.
Climate Map – UKUnited Kingdom
Source: Met Office UK Regional & National series (Tmean, Precipitation, Sunshine, Air Frost) © Crown copyright, plus GPCC (Snow, water-equivalent). Anomalies are vs the 1961–1990 baseline. See methodology.
Year-on-Year Trends
The 4byo Climate Helix – England and Wales
Data: Met Office UK Regional Series © Crown copyright.
Monthly Temperature – England and Wales
Background lines show the last 40 years (plus the record year and its opposite, wherever they fall).
Data: Met Office UK Regional Series © Crown copyright.
Records – England and Wales
Met Office UK Regional Series © Crown copyright - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean
Typical Climate – England and Wales
Köppen Cfb · TemperateEngland and Wales has a temperate climate (Köppen Cfb: Oceanic / temperate), with distinct warm summers and cool-to-cold winters. July is typically the warmest month, averaging 16.9°C, while January is the coldest at 4.4°C. Annual precipitation averages around 981mm (about 20mm of it as snow), spread fairly evenly across the year.
Monthly climate normals (2016–2025) - bar colour and height show average temperature, the shaded area shows average monthly rain, with snow (water-equivalent) shown separately.
Data: Met Office UK Regional Series © Crown copyright.
Shifting Seasons
Warm / cold seasonsKöppen Cfb · TemperateHow spring and autumn have shifted in England and Wales. Spring is defined as the date monthly temperatures first rise above the long-term annual mean (8.8°C, from 1900–1929); autumn is the date they fall back below it. Temperature swings 11.6°C peak-to-peak across the year - a classic four-seasons rhythm.
Baseline vs recent monthly temperature climatology. Biggest warming: Jun (+2.1°C).
Data: Met Office UK Regional Series © Crown copyright.
Extreme Weather
Alerts & Disasters - England and Wales
GDACS alerts in England and Wales right now, graded Red (Major), Orange (Severe) or Green (Moderate), and the long-term record of weather and climate disasters.
Live Alerts
Alerts, Last 12 Months
Major
0
None since 2021
Severe
0
None since 2021
Moderate
3
UK Weather Disasters in 2024 - Latest Complete Year
Disasters
2
2.4 a year, 2015-2024
Deaths
578
946 a year, 2015-2024
UK Weather Disasters, 2015-2024
Most Frequent
Storms & Cyclones
11 of 24 disasters
Deadliest
Extreme Temperature
9,435 of 9,457 deaths
Disasters: EM-DAT, CRED / UCLouvain, via Our World in Data - 10+ deaths, 100+ people affected, or a declared emergency or call for international help; EM-DAT records them by country, so these are UK-wide figures. Alerts: GDACS.
Climate Drivers
Climate Drivers - England and Wales
The natural climate patterns that measurably shape seasonal temperature or rainfall in England and Wales, from this site’s own data since 1950 - long-term trends removed, and ENSO’s share taken out before scoring the others, so each is credited only for what it adds.
Steers the North Atlantic storm track - Europe's winters especially.
Now: positive · +0.37 (30-day mean to 2026-10-13)
Strongest in Jun-Aug rainfall: a positive NAO tends to bring drier conditions here, a negative NAO the reverse (about 43% of year-to-year variation). Also Dec-Feb temperature (positive NAO: warmer).
NAO TrackerHow readily Arctic air spills south - tied to the polar vortex.
Now: positive · +1.05 (30-day mean to 2026-10-13)
Strongest in Dec-Feb temperature: a positive AO tends to bring warmer conditions here, a negative AO the reverse (about 41% of year-to-year variation). Also Jun-Aug rainfall (positive AO: drier).
Polar Vortex / AOEmissions & Energy
Explore
Explore Climate Data
Data Sources
Data Sources for England and Wales
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
UK Tmean / Tmax / Tmin, rainfall, rain-days, sunshine and air-frost series. © Crown copyright.
Warm Spell Duration Index: days in a 6+ day run above the local 90th-percentile temperature, ERA5-derived. World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
Monthly snow water-equivalent, Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (DWD).
Live and archived alerts for cyclones, floods, droughts and wildfires, graded Red (major), Orange (severe) or Green (moderate). UN OCHA and European Commission JRC.
Weather and climate disasters (10+ deaths, 100+ people affected, or a declared emergency or call for international help). CRED / UCLouvain, via Our World in Data.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in England and Wales changing?
England and Wales is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.
What is the climate like in England and Wales?
England and Wales has a temperate climate (Köppen Cfb: Oceanic / temperate), with distinct warm summers and cool-to-cold winters. July is typically the warmest month, averaging 16.9°C, while January is the coldest at 4.4°C. Annual precipitation averages around 981mm (about 20mm of it as snow), spread fairly evenly across the year.
Which climate drivers affect the weather in England and Wales?
Measured from seasonal temperature and rainfall in England and Wales since 1950, with the long-term warming trend removed (and ENSO's own share removed before scoring the other drivers), the climate drivers with a clear effect here are: the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) - strong, strongest in Jun-Aug rainfall, which a positive NAO tends to make drier here (a negative NAO the reverse), about 43% of year-to-year variation; the Arctic Oscillation (AO) - strong, strongest in Dec-Feb temperature, which a positive AO tends to make warmer here (a negative AO the reverse), about 41% of year-to-year variation. Their current state is shown in the Climate Drivers section of this page.
What extreme weather affects England and Wales?
In 2024, the latest complete year, the international disaster database EM-DAT recorded 2 weather and climate disasters across United Kingdom (EM-DAT records disasters by country), against an average of 2.4 a year in 2015-2024, with 578 deaths. Over those ten years the most frequent type was storms & cyclones (11 of 24) and the deadliest extreme temperature. GDACS, the UN and European Commission's disaster alert system, issued 0 Major (Red) and 0 Severe (Orange) alerts for England and Wales in the last 12 months. Live alerts are on this page and on the Extreme Weather tracker.
Where does the climate data for England and Wales come from?
Climate data for England and Wales comes from the UK Met Office HadUK-Grid (temperature, rainfall, sunshine, air frost), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the England and Wales climate data cover?
The England and Wales climate profile covers London, Birmingham, Cardiff, Manchester and surrounding areas. Combined England and Wales climate data across major cities
How often is the England and Wales climate update refreshed?
The England and Wales climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.
What counts as a Heatwave Day on the England and Wales climate page?
Heatwave Days use the Warm Spell Duration Index (WSDI) - the WMO/ETCCDI-standard heatwave measure: days that are part of a run of 6 or more consecutive days above the local 90th-percentile temperature for that calendar day. The 90th-percentile threshold varies by time of year (a hot day in January is judged differently to one in July) but is fixed to the 1961-1990 baseline for every year shown - it does not shift as the climate warms, which is why Heatwave Days trend upward over time.
Does the England and Wales climate page include frost and snow data?
Yes. Frost Days (days with a minimum temperature below 0°C, World Bank CCKP) and snow water-equivalent (GPCC) are shown alongside temperature and precipitation, each measured against the 1961-1990 baseline where a like-for-like historical comparison is available.
What major climate events has England and Wales experienced?
Major climate events in England and Wales include UK Clean Air Act (1956); The 1981 tornado outbreak; The autumn 2000 floods; Summer 2007 UK floods; Start of the sustained rise in UK heatwave frequency (2010); England and Wales' wettest winter since 1766 (2014); The UK's wettest February on record, 2020. The Climate History panel on this page lists 53 sourced events and pattern shifts relevant to England and Wales, the earliest from 1400 - 14 about England and Wales itself and the rest global context such as volcanic eruptions and El Niño events. Each entry carries its own sources and can be searched, filtered to local events or by category, and sorted by date; scrolling the list moves a cursor across the chart above so you can see where each event falls in the record.
Where does the Climate History list for England and Wales come from, and how is it checked?
It is a hand-reviewed register, not an automatic feed. Every entry is sourced, and each one records how it was verified - against this site's own data series, against a peer-reviewed paper, or against the public record of the event. 15 of the 53 entries here are written specifically about England and Wales, usually quoting its own ranking or measured figures. The rest give global or national context shared with wider pages. Where a figure is narrower than it first appears, or a famous claim does not hold locally, the entry says so.
Are nights warming faster than days in England and Wales?
The Long-Term Trends chart has a Day/Night toggle showing Day Highs and Night Lows anchored around the average trend, so they always bracket it rather than both drifting to one side. Across most of the world, nights warmed faster than days from the 1960s to the late 1980s (air pollution dimming daytime sun), and days have generally been catching back up since, as skies cleared. Toggle Day/Night on the chart above to see which pattern England and Wales follows.