4 Billion Years On

Minnesota Climate – June 2026 Update

Top 5 Cities: Minneapolis, Saint Paul, Rochester, Duluth, and Bloomington

This month in numbers

Minnesota experienced a warmer-than-average June 2026, with the average temperature reaching 18.56°C, an anomaly of +0.7°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline, ranking it the 27th warmest June in 77 years of records. Maximum temperatures were also slightly above average at 24.78°C. Globally, June 2026 was the 3rd warmest June on record for land temperatures, with an anomaly of +1°C. The three-month period from April to June 2026 saw Minnesota's average temperature at 12.07°C, which was exactly at the 1961–1990 baseline, ranking 35th warmest.

What changed

While Minnesota's average temperature for the April–June 2026 period was near normal, the global land temperature for the same three months was the 2nd warmest on record, with an anomaly of +1°C. This indicates that while Minnesota experienced a relatively average spring and early summer, the broader global trend continues to be significantly warmer. Minnesota's June precipitation was slightly above average at 103.63 mm, an anomaly of +1.9 mm. However, the April–June period saw a deficit, with precipitation at 71.37 mm, an anomaly of -6.9 mm, ranking 53rd driest.

What’s driving change?

Minnesota has seen a notable concentration of extreme weather events recently. There have been 4 wildfire events in the past month, representing 100% of the annual total for the past 12 months, which is an unusual concentration. These wildfires, particularly in northern Minnesota and along the US-Canada border, have led to the closure of the Boundary Waters Canoe Area Wilderness and prompted a peacetime emergency declaration by Governor Walz. Additionally, 2 drought events have been logged in the past 12 months, with both occurring recently, and 1 flood event, also representing 100% of the annual total. The ongoing drought conditions, particularly in central and southwestern Minnesota, have been exacerbated by uneven rainfall, with some areas receiving less than an inch of rain in June. The warming trend in Minnesota, with a long-term anomaly of +1.27°C versus the 1961–1990 baseline, is influenced by broader climate change patterns.

Looking ahead

The NOAA Climate Prediction Center's seasonal outlook for the coming months suggests an increased probability of above-normal temperatures for Minnesota.

Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources

At a Glance

Temperature – Average

Minnesota
United States
Global
Land + Ocean
Jun
+0.7°C· 27th
18.6°C
+1.2°C· 13th
21.5°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
16.6°C
Record
21.3°C (1988)
22.5°C (2021)
16.7°C (2024)
Apr–Jun
+0.0°C· 35th
12.1°C
+1.3°C· 4th
16.9°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
15.8°C
Record
15.1°C (1977)
17.1°C (2012)
15.9°C (2024)
2025
+1.4°C· 13th
6.1°C
+1.5°C· 4th
12.6°C
+1.0°C· 3rd
15.0°C
Record
7.5°C (2024)
13.1°C (2024)
15.2°C (2024)
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean · Small figure: the actual value · Record = highest (or lowest) value on record

Climate Map – USA

Window

Source: NOAA Climate at a Glance — US states & climate regions (tavg, pcp). Anomalies are vs the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) or 1991–2020 (rainfall). See methodology.

Year-on-Year Trends

The 4byo Climate Helix – Minnesota

1950202619611990 baselineColdest (1950)20162025 meanWarmest (2024)2026 so far
2026Jun
2024
WetDryJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecWet Start+1 days1950-792016-25Wet End+6 days-20°-15°-10°-5°10°15°20°
Temp
2.8°C
-1.8 vs base
Rainfall
267mm
-411 vs base
Playback
8×
Mode
Metric
Presets

Data: NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information. Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Minnesota – Monthly Temperature – All Years

Metric
All years since 19872024 (warmest)2026 (current year)

Data: NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information. Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Records – Minnesota

Warmest year
2024
7.5°C
Coldest year
1950
2.5°C
2026 so far
#18/77
2.8°C

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean

Shifting Seasons

Warm/cold + wet/dryKöppen Dwb · Continental

Minnesota has both a clear warm/cold cycle (±17.8°C) and a wet/dry cycle (6× wet:dry ratio). Both sides of the annual rhythm are shown below.

Shifting summer
3 days longer
Warm season
1950–1979 baseline: 14 Apr → 27 Oct · 195 days
2016–2025 now: 15 Apr → 30 Oct · 198 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Spr 1 day laterAut 3 days later
Shifting wet season
5 days longer
Wet season
1950–1979 baseline: 23 May → 12 Sept · 112 days
2016–2025 now: 24 May → 18 Sept · 117 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Onset 1 day laterEnd 6 days later
+7.2% annual rain
baseline yr·recent yr·ring = global temp anomaly
Wet-season onset
23 May24 May
1 day later
When 25% of annual rain has fallen
Wet-season end
12 Sept18 Sept
6 days later
When 75% of annual rain has fallen
Peak-rain month
JunJun
unchanged
Wet months: 67

Monthly rainfall climatology. A “wet month” exceeds the baseline monthly mean (dashed gold line). Biggest month-to-month shift: Oct (+15 mm, +31%).

Data: NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information. Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Rainfall & Precipitation

Rainfall & Rain Days – Totals

Rainfall / Precipitation
Minnesota
United States
Jun
+2 mm· 38th
104 mm
+9 mm· 24th
82 mm
Record
205 mm (2014)
97 mm (1989)
Apr–Jun
-7 mm· 53rd
71 mm
+5 mm· 29th
75 mm
Record
130 mm (2024)
98 mm (1957)
2025
-4 mm· 45th
675 mm
-27 mm· 55th
743 mm
Record
906 mm (2019)
887 mm (1973)
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean · Small figure: the actual value · Record = highest (or lowest) value on record

Emissions & Energy

Explore

Explore Climate Data

Data Sources

Data Sources for Minnesota

Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.

FAQs

FAQs

How is the climate in Minnesota changing?

Minnesota is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.

Where does the climate data for Minnesota come from?

Climate data for Minnesota comes from NOAA Climate at a Glance (temperature and precipitation), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.

What is the climate baseline used on this page?

Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.

Which areas does the Minnesota climate data cover?

The Minnesota climate profile covers Minneapolis, Saint Paul, Rochester, Duluth and surrounding areas. Minnesota climate data from NOAA Climate at a Glance

How often is the Minnesota climate update refreshed?

The Minnesota climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.