4 Billion Years On

Turkmenistan Climate

Top 5 Cities: Ashgabat, Türkmenabat, Daşoguz, Mary, and Balkanabat

This month in numbers

Turkmenistan experienced its 2nd warmest April on record in 2026, with an average temperature of 21.72°C, a significant 5.2°C above the 1961–1990 baseline. The global land temperature for April 2026 also ranked as the 2nd warmest on record, with an anomaly of +1.1°C.

What changed

The period of February–April 2026 saw Turkmenistan record its 7th warmest such period on record, with an average temperature of 12.53°C, which is 3.3°C above the 1961–1990 baseline. This warming trend in Turkmenistan aligns with the broader global picture, as the global land temperature for the same three-month period ranked as the 2nd warmest on record. Turkmenistan's April anomaly of +5.21°C placed it 15th globally among 234 regions.

What’s driving change?

The elevated temperatures in Turkmenistan are consistent with the ongoing global warming trend, exacerbated by the effect, which is particularly relevant for an arid, landlocked country. The region is also experiencing a persistent drought, with one drought event active since October 2024 and continuing into May 2026, representing 100% of the annual total for Turkmenistan. This ongoing drought contributes to , where the lack of moisture in the soil further intensifies heating. The current ENSO state is Neutral, with a +0.11°C anomaly, though forecasts indicate a likely transition to El Niño in the coming months, with a 61% probability for May-Jul 2026 and increasing to 87% by July-Sep 2026. [/climate/enso] Turkmenistan is highly vulnerable to water scarcity, relying heavily on transboundary rivers, and climate change is contributing to reduced flows in rivers such as the Atrek, Murgab, and Tejen.

Looking ahead

The evolving ENSO phase suggests that the coming months could see a continuation of warmer conditions as El Niño typically brings warmer temperatures to the region.

Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources

Loading climate data...

Data Sources

Data Sources for Turkmenistan

Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) — see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.

FAQs

FAQs

How is the climate in Turkmenistan changing?

Turkmenistan is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The trend rate is shown as °C per decade in the headline panel; you can also see the warmest and coolest years on file.

Where does the climate data for Turkmenistan come from?

Climate data for Turkmenistan comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.

What is the climate baseline used on this page?

Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.

Which areas does the Turkmenistan climate data cover?

The Turkmenistan climate profile covers Ashgabat, Türkmenabat, Daşoguz, Mary and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Turkmenistan

How often is the Turkmenistan climate update refreshed?

The Turkmenistan climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.