4 Billion Years On

Scotland East Climate – June 2026 Update

City Coverage: Edinburgh, Dundee, Aberdeen, Perth, and St Andrews

This month in numbers

Scotland East experienced its 3rd warmest June on record, with a mean temperature of 13.3°C, a significant 2°C above the 1961–1990 baseline. This contributed to the period of April–June 2026 ranking as the 2nd warmest on record for the region, with an average of 10.17°C, nearly 2°C higher than the baseline. Globally, June 2026 was the 3rd warmest June on record for land temperatures, and the April–June period was the 2nd warmest globally.

What changed

The sustained warmth in Scotland East during June and the preceding months stands out, especially when compared to the national picture. While the entire UK experienced above-average temperatures in June, Scotland East's anomaly of +2°C was particularly pronounced. The region's long-term trend shows a warming of +1.13°C against the 1961–1990 baseline, with 2025 being the warmest year on record at 8.48°C.

What’s driving change?

The significant warmth experienced in Scotland East is influenced by a combination of factors. The current weak El Niño, with a Niño 3.4 SST anomaly of +1.8°C, is expected to persist and strengthen throughout the year, potentially contributing to milder, wetter, and windier conditions in Northern Europe later in the year. While El Niño's direct impact on the UK is typically indirect, it can exacerbate existing natural weather patterns. Additionally, a heat dome settled over parts of the UK in late June, bringing exceptionally high temperatures, though Scotland East did not break its June maximum temperature record. However, this warm spell was followed by widespread thunderstorms across Scotland on June 26, bringing heavy rain, hail, and lightning.

Looking ahead

Seasonal forecasts suggest that the strengthening El Niño is likely to continue, potentially leading to milder, wetter, and windier conditions across Northern Europe during the autumn and early winter months.

Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources

At a Glance

Temperature – Average

Scotland East
United Kingdom
Global
Land + Ocean
Jun
+2.0°C· 3rd
13.3°C
+2.9°C· 2nd
15.6°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
16.6°C
Record
13.9°C (2023)
15.8°C (2023)
16.7°C (2024)
Apr–Jun
+1.9°C· 2nd
10.2°C
+2.5°C· 2nd
12.2°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
15.8°C
Record
10.5°C (2025)
12.3°C (2025)
15.9°C (2024)
2025
+1.7°C· 1st
8.5°C
+1.8°C· 1st
10.1°C
+1.0°C· 3rd
15.0°C
Record
8.5°C (2025)
10.1°C (2025)
15.2°C (2024)
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean · Small figure: the actual value · Record = highest (or lowest) value on record

Climate Map – UK

Window

Source: Met Office UK Regional & National series (Tmean, Rainfall, Sunshine, Air Frost) © Crown copyright. Anomalies are vs the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) or 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost). See methodology.

Year-on-Year Trends

The 4byo Climate Helix – Scotland East

1900202619611990 baselineColdest (1919)20162025 meanWarmest (2025)2026 so far
2026Jun
2025
WinterSpringSummerAutumnJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec1900-292016-25Spr Start−13 days1900-292016-25Aut End+12 days10°15°
Temp
6.9°C
+0.1 vs base
Rainfall
595mm
-491 vs base
Sunshine
726hrs
-510 vs base
Frost
45days
-48 vs base
ENSO
ONI 3-mo mean
Playback
8×
Mode
Metric
Presets

Data: Met Office UK Regional Series © Crown copyright. Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Scotland East – Monthly Temperature – All Years

Metric
All years since 19872025 (warmest)2026 (current year)

Data: Met Office UK Regional Series © Crown copyright. Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Records – Scotland East

Warmest year
2025
8.5°C
Coldest year
1919
5.9°C
2026 so far
#7/127
6.9°C

Met Office UK Regional Series © Crown copyright - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean

Shifting Seasons

Warm / cold seasonsKöppen Cfb · Temperate

How spring and autumn have shifted in Scotland East. Spring is defined as the date monthly temperatures first rise above the long-term annual mean (6.6°C, from 19001929); autumn is the date they fall back below it. Temperature swings 10.8°C peak-to-peak across the year - a classic four-seasons rhythm.

Shifting summer
25 days longer
Warm season
1900–1929 baseline: 1 May → 20 Oct · 172 days
2016–2025 now: 18 Apr → 1 Nov · 197 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Spr 13 days earlierAut 12 days later
baseline yr·recent yr·ring = global temp anomaly

Baseline vs recent monthly temperature climatology. Biggest warming: May (+1.9°C).

Data: Met Office UK Regional Series © Crown copyright. Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Sunshine & Frost

Sunshine – Total Hours

Scotland East
United Kingdom
Jun
-16 hrs· 83rd
146 hrs
+4 hrs· 60th
178 hrs
Record
256 hrs (1940)
265 hrs (1957)
Apr–Jun
+47 hrs· 33rd
509 hrs
+101 hrs· 9th
595 hrs
Record
633 hrs (2025)
687 hrs (2025)
2025
+270 hrs· 1st
1505 hrs
+317 hrs· 1st
1645 hrs
Record
1505 hrs (2025)
1645 hrs (2025)
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean · Small figure: the actual value · Record = highest (or lowest) value on record

Frost Days – Total

Scotland East
United Kingdom
Jun
-0 days· 22nd
0 days
-0 days· 45th
0 days
Record
0 days (1943)
0 days (1931)
Apr–Jun
-4 days· 34th
9 days
-3 days· 25th
4 days
Record
3 days (2004)
1 days (2011)
2025
-25 days· 7th
68 days
-20 days· 13th
45 days
Record
57 days (2014)
32 days (2014)
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean · Small figure: the actual value · Record = highest (or lowest) value on record

Rainfall & Precipitation

Rainfall & Rain Days – Totals

Rainfall / Precipitation
Scotland East
United Kingdom
Jun
+14 mm· 37th
83 mm
+20 mm· 30th
91 mm
Record
150 mm (2017)
149 mm (2012)
Apr–Jun
+6 mm· 58th
214 mm
-6 mm· 71st
201 mm
Record
351 mm (2012)
343 mm (2012)
2025
-88 mm· 101st
999 mm
-23 mm· 77th
1062 mm
Record
1441 mm (2002)
1373 mm (2000)
Rain Days (≥1mm)
Scotland East
United Kingdom
Jun
+4 days· 34th
15 days
+3 days· 26th
14 days
Record
22 days (1907)
20 days (1912)
Apr–Jun
+5 days· 33rd
40 days
+0 days· 68th
35 days
Record
51 days (1907)
52 days (1907)
2025
-18 days· 120th
139 days
-15 days· 117th
139 days
Record
209 days (1903)
194 days (1903)
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean · Small figure: the actual value · Record = highest (or lowest) value on record

Emissions & Energy

Showing UK-wide figures - Scotland East is part of the United Kingdom. Sub-national emissions and electricity-mix breakdowns are not yet published in a unified format.

Explore

Explore Climate Data

Data Sources

Data Sources for Scotland East

Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.

FAQs

FAQs

How is the climate in Scotland East changing?

Scotland East is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.

Where does the climate data for Scotland East come from?

Climate data for Scotland East comes from the UK Met Office HadUK-Grid (temperature, rainfall, sunshine, air frost), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.

What is the climate baseline used on this page?

Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.

Which areas does the Scotland East climate data cover?

The Scotland East climate profile covers Edinburgh, Dundee, Aberdeen, Perth and surrounding areas. Eastern Scotland climate data from Edinburgh to Aberdeen

How often is the Scotland East climate update refreshed?

The Scotland East climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.