4 Billion Years On

Panama Climate – June 2026 Update

Top 5 Cities: Panama City, San Miguelito, Tocumen, La Chorrera, and Colón

This month in numbers

Panama experienced its 18th warmest June on record in 2026, with an average temperature of 25.23°C, marking an anomaly of +0.8°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. Globally, June 2026 was the 3rd warmest June for land temperatures on record, with an anomaly of +1°C. The three-month period from April to June 2026 also ranked as the 16th warmest on record for Panama, with an average temperature of 25.42°C, an anomaly of +0.7°C.

What changed

Panama's recent warmth aligns with a broader trend, as the country's average temperature has increased by +0.95°C since the 1961–1990 baseline. The year 2025 was the 2nd warmest on record for Panama, continuing a pattern of elevated temperatures. While Panama's latest monthly and three-month anomalies place it outside the top 10 warmest regions globally, the planet as a whole is experiencing significant warming, with global land temperatures for April-June 2026 ranking as the 2nd warmest on record.

What’s driving change?

The current weak El Niño, with a +0.98°C anomaly in the Niño 3.4 region, is a significant driver of Panama's climate patterns. El Niño typically brings warmer and drier conditions to Mexico and Central America during the June-November rainy season, increasing the risk of drought and impacting water supplies and agriculture. Indeed, the Panama Canal Authority has already begun to implement draft restrictions for vessels due to concerns over potential drought conditions and lower water levels in the canal's watershed, a measure also taken during the severe 2023-2024 drought which was attributed to El Niño. Additionally, Panama experienced significant rainfall and thunderstorms in June, with an orange warning issued by the Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology of Panama (IMHPA) for heavy rainfall and thunderstorms, leading to potential flooding, power outages, and road disruption. The monsoon trough over the Pacific and Caribbean, along with low-pressure systems and tropical waves, contributed to these conditions. You can track the evolving ENSO situation at ENSO.

Looking ahead

The forecast indicates a 100% probability of El Niño conditions persisting through October-December 2026, suggesting continued warmer and drier conditions for Panama in the coming months, with potential for ongoing drought risk.

Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources

At a Glance

Temperature – Average

Panama
Global
Land + Ocean
Jun
+1.5°C· 3rd
26.1°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
16.6°C
Record
26.3°C (2015)
16.7°C (2024)
Apr–Jun
+1.3°C· 3rd
26.1°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
15.8°C
Record
26.1°C (2015)
15.9°C (2024)
2025
+0.8°C· 12th
25.2°C
+1.0°C· 3rd
15.0°C
Record
25.8°C (2015)
15.2°C (2024)
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean · Small figure: the actual value · Record = highest (or lowest) value on record

Year-on-Year Trends

The 4byo Climate Helix – Panama

1940202619611990 baselineColdest (1943)20162025 meanWarmest (2015)2026 so far
2026Jun
WetDryJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecWet Start+2 daysWet End+1 days23°24°25°26°
Temp
25.5°C
+1.1 vs base
Rainfall
mm
ENSO
ONI 3-mo mean
Playback
8×
Mode
Metric
Presets

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Panama – Monthly Temperature – All Years

Metric
All years since 19872015 (warmest)2026 (current year)

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Records – Panama

Warmest year
2015
25.8°C
Coldest year
1943
23.5°C
2026 so far
#8/87
25.5°C

Our World in Data / NOAA - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean

Shifting Seasons

Wet / dry seasonsKöppen Am · Tropical

Panama doesn't have a warm/cold cycle - its monthly temperature range is only 1.2°C across the year - but it does have a strong wet/dry cycle (the wettest month gets 8× as much rain as the driest). So we track how the wet season has shifted instead.

Shifting wet season
1 day shorter
Wet season
1940–1969 baseline: 12 Jun → 26 Oct · 137 days
2016–2025 now: 14 Jun → 27 Oct · 135 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Onset 2 days laterEnd 1 day later
+1.6% annual rain
baseline yr·recent yr·ring = global temp anomaly
Wet-season onset
12 Jun14 Jun
2 days later
When 25% of annual rain has fallen
Wet-season end
26 Oct27 Oct
1 day later
When 75% of annual rain has fallen
Peak-rain month
OctOct
unchanged
Wet months: 77

Monthly rainfall climatology. A “wet month” exceeds the baseline monthly mean (dashed gold line). Biggest month-to-month shift: Oct (+31 mm, +9%).

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Rainfall & Precipitation

Rainfall & Rain Days – Totals

Rainfall / Precipitation
Panama
n/a
n/a· n/a
Record
n/a
n/a
n/a· n/a
Record
n/a
2024
+315 mm· 19th
3545 mm
Record
4329 mm (1970)

Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean. Small figure: the actual value. Rank: position in the full record (1st = highest ever). Record: highest (or lowest) value on record with its year.

Climate Systems

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Emissions & Energy

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Explore Climate Data

Data Sources

Data Sources for Panama

Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.

FAQs

FAQs

How is the climate in Panama changing?

Panama is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.

Where does the climate data for Panama come from?

Climate data for Panama comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.

What is the climate baseline used on this page?

Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.

Which areas does the Panama climate data cover?

The Panama climate profile covers Panama City, San Miguelito, Tocumen, La Chorrera and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Panama

How often is the Panama climate update refreshed?

The Panama climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.