4 Billion Years On

Northern Ireland – Sep 2026

City Coverage: Belfast, Derry, Lisburn, Newry, Bangor, and Armagh

Northern Ireland climate data from Belfast to the north-west

A fresh climate update for Northern Ireland is being generated…

The new monthly summary is being written by Gemini in the background. This usually takes 5–10 seconds. The live climate data below is already up to date.

At a Glance

Temperature – Average

Northern Ireland
United Kingdom
Global
Land + Ocean
Sep
+2.1°C· 4th
14.0°C
+2.4°C· 4th
14.6°C
+1.2°C· 2nd
16.3°C
Record
14.2°C (2006)
15.2°C (2006)
16.4°C (2023)
Jul–Sep
+2.0°C· 1st
15.2°C
+2.5°C· 1st
16.2°C
+1.1°C· 1st
16.7°C
Record
15.2°C (2021)
16.2°C (2026)
16.7°C (2026)
2025
+1.6°C· 2nd
10.1°C
+1.7°C· 1st
10.1°C
+1.0°C· 3rd
15.0°C
Record
10.2°C (2023)
10.1°C (2025)
15.2°C (2024)
Headline: anomaly vs your baseline (1961–1990 where the record is too short) · small figure: actual value · Record: the record for the ranking above

Climate Insights – Northern Ireland

Precipitation, Sunshine, Frost and Snow are converted to standard deviations from their own average so they can share an axis with Temperature anomalies.

Temperature
10-Yr AverageActual Year

Climate History

1945Industrial Aerosol

Post-WWII industrial expansion begins

After the Second World War, coal and oil use grew rapidly across Europe, North America and the Soviet Union. Global sulphur dioxide emissions rose from about 30 to about 130 million tonnes a year by 1980, and the sulphate haze they formed masked part of the greenhouse warming underneath - the effect known as 'global dimming'.

Klimont et al. 2013

1953Flood

The North Sea Flood of 1953

The Stranraer-Larne ferry Princess Victoria sinks in the North Channel about five miles north-north-east of the Copeland Islands on 31 January 1953, five miles short of Northern Ireland. 135 people die and 44 survive, all of them men - the deadliest maritime disaster in UK waters since the Second World War, and the single worst incident of a storm that killed 531 people across the UK.

The Conversation, Royal Meteorological Society, Wikipedia, Wikipedia (2)

1956Industrial Aerosol

UK Clean Air Act

The Clean Air Act 1956 did NOT extend to Northern Ireland - apart from a single section, it applied only to England, Wales and Scotland. The Parliament of Northern Ireland legislated separately eight years later, in the Clean Air Act (Northern Ireland) 1964, so smoke control arrived here later than in the rest of the UK.

The National Archives, Clean Air Act 1956, The Clean Air Act 1964 (Appointed Day)…

1962-63Other

The Big Freeze of 1962-63

Northern Ireland shared in the UK's coldest winter since at least 1895, but January 1963 is not its own coldest month - in Northern Ireland's monthly series back to 1900 it ranks 3rd, at -0.2°C, behind December 2010 (-0.7°C) and February 1947 (-0.5°C). The Big Freeze is a Central England superlative more than a Northern Irish one.

Wikipedia, Wikipedia (2), Royal Meteorological Society, Norfolk Live

1963Volcanic

Agung eruption

Agung's eruption in Bali put a veil of sulphate haze into the stratosphere that cooled global temperature by about 0.3°C over 1963-66.

Smithsonian Global Volcanism Program, NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory

1976Drought

The 1976 UK drought

Northern Ireland faced a curtailment of water supplies for around 12 hours a day as reservoirs rapidly depleted during the same drought, with domestic users last in line behind industry and agriculture.

The Irish News

1979Industrial Aerosol

Global SO2 emissions peak

Global sulphur dioxide emissions peak at about 130 million tonnes a year, then begin a long decline as Europe, North America and Japan clean up their air. As the aerosol mask thins, the rate of global warming picks up through the 1980s.

Klimont et al. 2013

1982Volcanic

El Chichón eruption

A sulphur-rich eruption in Mexico whose aerosol cloud stayed in the stratosphere for more than two years, cooling the Northern Hemisphere by about 0.2°C.

Smithsonian Global Volcanism Program

1990Pattern Shift

Daytime warming catches up with the night-led pattern

Across 1961-90, 81% of the world's land saw nights warming faster than days. Across 1991-2020 the pattern reversed: 70% saw days warming faster, as the industrial haze that had been dimming daytime sunshine was cleaned up. The study compares two fixed thirty-year windows; measured as a turning point, this site's own global series turns around 1982.

Zhong et al. 2023

1990Other

The Burns' Day Storm

An intense depression crosses southern Scotland on 25 January 1990, driving severe gales across England and Wales in broad daylight. 47 people are killed - more than twice the toll of the Great Storm of 1987 - around 3 million trees come down and 500,000 people lose power. Damage was heaviest south of a line from west Wales to Suffolk.

Met Office, Royal Meteorological Society

1990Heatwave

August 1990 UK heatwave breaks 79-year record

Northern Ireland saw far milder conditions during the same spell - its own record, 30.8°C set at Knockarevan in 1976, stood untouched and wasn't broken until 2021.

Wikipedia

1990-99Ocean Oscillation

Positive NAO phase dominates the 1990s

Northern Ireland lies in the part of the UK where the NAO's rainfall signature is most consistent - the north-west - so the strongly positive phase of the 1990s shows up here as a clearer wet-and-mild winter signal than it does in southern or eastern England.

Hurrell 1995, Science, Atmosphere, 2021, Frontiers, 2022NAO Tracker

1995Ocean Oscillation

Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation flips to a warm phase

The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation flipped to a warm phase in 1995. For the UK it is one of the background rhythms sitting underneath the warming trend: warm AMO phases are associated with warmer North Atlantic surface waters on the UK's doorstep, and have been linked to wetter summers in parts of north-west Europe. It is a natural cycle of roughly 60-70 years, so it shifts the baseline rather than driving the long-term trend - which matters when reading any UK record set since the mid-1990s.

Learn more →

2003Heatwave

August 2003 European heatwave (UK)

Northern Ireland's high of the August 2003 heatwave was 29.3°C at Castlederg, Co Tyrone, on the 8th - warm, but comfortably short of the 30.8°C national record that had stood since 1976 and was not beaten until July 2021, when Castlederg itself reached 31.3°C. The 2003 heat was an English and continental event; Northern Ireland sat on its cool north-western edge.

News Letter

2007Flood

Summer 2007 UK floods

Northern Ireland records its wettest June on the instrumental record in 2007 - 154.5mm, beating the 147mm of June 1931 - and is among the first areas hit when the summer's flooding begins on 14 June. East Belfast and Omagh take around 50mm of rain in two to four hours on 12 June, overwhelming drains and watercourses.

Wikipedia / GOV.UK flood cost report, Met Office

2009-13Ocean Oscillation

Negative NAO blocking cluster, 2009-2013

December 2010 is the coldest single month in Northern Ireland's record, averaging -0.7°C against a series running back to 1900 - colder than February 1947 and than any month of the 1962-63 Big Freeze. On the 23rd Castlederg in County Tyrone fell to -18.7°C, the lowest temperature ever recorded in Northern Ireland. The cause was a blocked negative-NAO pattern, with high pressure over Greenland steering Arctic air south.

4byo, Met Office, WikipediaNAO Tracker

2010Pattern Shift

Start of the sustained rise in UK heatwave frequency

Northern Ireland's own Heatwave Days count rose from a decade mean of 1.93 days in the 2000s to 5.59 in the 2010s, and 12.52 so far in the 2020s - the same sustained UK-wide acceleration.

Met Office, State of the UK Climate

2013-25Pattern Shift

UK's post-2013 warmth acceleration

6 of Northern Ireland's own 10 warmest years on record have occurred since 2013.

Met Office, State of the UK Climate

2015-25Pattern Shift

2015-2025: the eleven warmest years on record

Globally, the eleven warmest years on record have all happened since 2015. Northern Ireland's own record is a looser fit - five of its eleven warmest fall in that span, with 2014, 2007, 2006, 2005, 1997 and 1949 outside it. Its warmest year is 2023.

Learn more →

2017Flood

North-west flash flooding, August 2017

Around 63% of an average August's rain falls on north-west Northern Ireland in eight or nine hours on 22 August 2017. Derry is left virtually inaccessible by road and its airport closes; across the border at Malin Head, 77.2mm makes it the wettest August day there since 1955.

Department for Infrastructure NI, University College Cork

2018Other

The Beast from the East

The same cold snap triggers a Met Office amber warning for Northern Ireland and closes hundreds of schools there, though a comparable regional snow-depth figure is not clearly documented. It followed a sudden stratospheric warming in mid-February that split the polar vortex.

Q RadioPolar Vortex Tracker

2020Industrial Aerosol

Low-sulphur shipping fuel rule (IMO 2020)

New international shipping rules cut the sulphur allowed in ship fuel from 3.5% to 0.5% almost overnight, removing about 8 million tonnes of sulphur dioxide a year. With less sulphate haze over the oceans, it may have added around 0.1°C of warming by 2023-24.

Gettelman et al. 2024

2020Flood

The UK's wettest February on record, 2020

February 2020 was Northern Ireland's wettest February in this site's Met Office record from 1900 - 231.8mm, nearly three times its 1961-90 average - as Storms Ciara, Dennis and Jorge followed one another in on a strong, southward-shifted jet stream. It beat the 194.9mm of February 1990.

Davies et al. (2021), Carbon Brief / Met Office, NOAA CPCPolar Vortex / AO

2022Heatwave

The UK's first 40°C day

Northern Ireland reached 31.2°C at Derrylin, County Fermanagh, during the July 2022 heat - within 0.1°C of its national record, which had been set only the year before in 2021 and was not broken. England passed 40°C for the first time on the 19th.

Met Office review (via Carbon Brief), Met Office, Wikipedia, Met Office (2)

2023Flood

Northern Ireland's wettest July on record

185.4mm of rain (207% of the long-term average) - narrowly beating the previous record of 185.2mm set in July 1936, in a series dating back to 1836.

Met Office

2025Other

Storm Éowyn

Storm Éowyn sets the highest wind gust ever recorded on the island of Ireland on 24 January 2025 - 114mph at Mace Head, County Galway - with gusts over 90mph in Northern Ireland. Around 100,000 Northern Irish properties lose power, alongside 725,000 in the Republic.

Wikipedia, Met Office, Met Office (2)

Data: Met Office UK Regional Series © Crown copyright.

Heatwave Days – Northern Ireland

Warm Spell Duration Index (WSDI) - days in a 6+ day run above the local 90th-percentile temperature for that time of year.

Heatwave days per year2023 (Record)10-yr avg

Data: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal (ERA5-derived). Refreshed roughly 1-2x/year, ~7-8 months behind present.

Climate Map – UK

Source: Met Office UK Regional & National series (Tmean, Precipitation, Sunshine, Air Frost) © Crown copyright, plus GPCC (Snow, water-equivalent). Anomalies are vs the 1961–1990 baseline. See methodology.

Year-on-Year Trends

The 4byo Climate Helix – Northern Ireland

1900→20261961–1990 baselineColdest (1909)2016–2025 meanWarmest (2023)2026 so far
2026Sep
WinterSpringSummerAutumnJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec1900-292016-25Spr Start−16 days1900-292016-25Aut End+13 days0°5°10°15°
Temp
10.8°C
+2.4 vs base
Precipitation
902mm
-189 vs base
Sunshine
1,061hrs
-172 vs base
Frost
21days
-33 vs base
Playback
8×

Data: Met Office UK Regional Series © Crown copyright.

Monthly Temperature – Northern Ireland

All years since 19092023 (Warmest)1909 (Coldest)2026 (Current Year)

Background lines: the last 40 years.

Data: Met Office UK Regional Series © Crown copyright.

Records – Northern Ireland

Latest data Sep 2026
Warmest year
2023
10.2°C
Coldest year
1909
7.6°C
2026 so far
#3/127
10.8°C

Met Office UK Regional Series © Crown copyright - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean

Typical Climate – Northern Ireland

Köppen Cfb · Temperate

Northern Ireland has a temperate climate (Köppen Cfb: Oceanic / temperate), with distinct warm summers and cool-to-cold winters. July is typically the warmest month, averaging 15.0°C, while January is the coldest at 4.6°C. Annual precipitation averages around 1147mm (about 20mm of it as snow), spread fairly evenly across the year.

Warmest month
Jul 15°C
Coldest month
Jan 5°C
Annual rainfall
1127mm
Wettest month
Oct 120mm
Annual snowfall
20mmwater-equiv.
Snowiest month
Jan 6mm
RainSnow (water-equivalent)

Monthly climate normals (2016–2025) - bar colour and height show average temperature, the shaded area shows average monthly rain, with snow (water-equivalent) shown separately.

Data: Met Office UK Regional Series © Crown copyright.

Shifting Seasons

Warm / cold seasonsKöppen Cfb · Temperate

How spring and autumn have shifted in Northern Ireland. Spring is defined as the date monthly temperatures first rise above the long-term annual mean (8.2°C, from 1900–1929); autumn is the date they fall back below it. Temperature swings 9.5°C peak-to-peak across the year - a classic four-seasons rhythm.

Shifting summer
28 days Longer
Warm Season
1900–1929 Baseline: 3 May → 22 Oct · 172 days
2016–2025 Now: 17 Apr → 3 Nov · 200 days
−16d
+12d
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Spr 16 days EarlierAut 13 days Later
baseline avgrecent avgClick a marker for each decade
1900–19292016–20251900–1929 annual mean

Baseline vs recent monthly temperature climatology. Biggest warming: Jun (+1.8°C).

Data: Met Office UK Regional Series © Crown copyright.

Extreme Weather

Alerts & Disasters - Northern Ireland

Live GDACS alerts in Northern Ireland - Red (Major), Orange (Severe) or Green (Moderate) - and the long-term record of weather and climate disasters.

Live Alerts

Loading…

Alerts, Last 12 Months

Major

0

None since 2021

Severe

0

None since 2021

Moderate

0

UK Weather Disasters in 2024 - Latest Complete Year

Disasters

2

2.4 a year, 2015-2024

Deaths

578

946 a year, 2015-2024

UK Weather Disasters, 2015-2024

Most Frequent

Storms & Cyclones

11 of 24 disasters

Deadliest

Extreme Temperature

9,435 of 9,457 deaths

Disasters: EM-DAT, CRED / UCLouvain, via Our World in Data - 10+ deaths, 100+ people affected, or a declared emergency or call for international help; EM-DAT records them by country, so these are UK-wide figures. Alerts: GDACS.

Climate Drivers

Climate Drivers - Northern Ireland

The natural climate patterns that measurably shape seasonal temperature or rainfall in Northern Ireland, from this site’s own data since 1950 - long-term trends removed, and ENSO’s share taken out before scoring the others, so each is credited only for what it adds.

Arctic Oscillation (AO)strong link

How readily Arctic air spills south - tied to the polar vortex.

Now: positive · +1.11 (30-day mean to 2026-10-15)

Strongest in Dec-Feb temperature: a positive AO tends to bring warmer conditions here, a negative AO the reverse (about 45% of year-to-year variation). Also Jun-Aug rainfall (positive AO: drier).

Polar Vortex / AO
North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO)strong link

Steers the North Atlantic storm track - Europe's winters especially.

Now: positive · +0.37 (30-day mean to 2026-10-15)

Strongest in Dec-Feb temperature: a positive NAO tends to bring warmer conditions here, a negative NAO the reverse (about 31% of year-to-year variation). Also Jun-Aug rainfall (positive NAO: drier).

NAO Tracker

Emissions & Energy

Showing UK-wide figures - Northern Ireland is part of the United Kingdom. Sub-national emissions and electricity-mix breakdowns are not yet published in a unified format.

Explore

Explore Climate Data

Data Sources

Data Sources for Northern Ireland

Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.

FAQs

FAQs

How is the climate in Northern Ireland changing?

Northern Ireland is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.

What is the climate like in Northern Ireland?

Northern Ireland has a temperate climate (Köppen Cfb: Oceanic / temperate), with distinct warm summers and cool-to-cold winters. July is typically the warmest month, averaging 15.0°C, while January is the coldest at 4.6°C. Annual precipitation averages around 1147mm (about 20mm of it as snow), spread fairly evenly across the year.

Which climate drivers affect the weather in Northern Ireland?

Measured from seasonal temperature and rainfall in Northern Ireland since 1950, with the long-term warming trend removed (and ENSO's own share removed before scoring the other drivers), the climate drivers with a clear effect here are: the Arctic Oscillation (AO) - strong, strongest in Dec-Feb temperature, which a positive AO tends to make warmer here (a negative AO the reverse), about 45% of year-to-year variation; the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) - strong, strongest in Dec-Feb temperature, which a positive NAO tends to make warmer here (a negative NAO the reverse), about 31% of year-to-year variation. Their current state is shown in the Climate Drivers section of this page.

What extreme weather affects Northern Ireland?

In 2024, the latest complete year, the international disaster database EM-DAT recorded 2 weather and climate disasters across United Kingdom (EM-DAT records disasters by country), against an average of 2.4 a year in 2015-2024, with 578 deaths. Over those ten years the most frequent type was storms & cyclones (11 of 24) and the deadliest extreme temperature. GDACS, the UN and European Commission's disaster alert system, issued 0 Major (Red) and 0 Severe (Orange) alerts for Northern Ireland in the last 12 months. Live alerts are on this page and on the Extreme Weather tracker.

Where does the climate data for Northern Ireland come from?

Climate data for Northern Ireland comes from the UK Met Office HadUK-Grid (temperature, rainfall, sunshine, air frost), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.

What is the climate baseline used on this page?

Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.

Which areas does the Northern Ireland climate data cover?

The Northern Ireland climate profile covers Belfast, Derry, Lisburn, Newry and surrounding areas. Northern Ireland climate data from Belfast to the north-west

How often is the Northern Ireland climate update refreshed?

The Northern Ireland climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.

What counts as a Heatwave Day on the Northern Ireland climate page?

Heatwave Days use the Warm Spell Duration Index (WSDI) - the WMO/ETCCDI-standard heatwave measure: days that are part of a run of 6 or more consecutive days above the local 90th-percentile temperature for that calendar day. The 90th-percentile threshold varies by time of year (a hot day in January is judged differently to one in July) but is fixed to the 1961-1990 baseline for every year shown - it does not shift as the climate warms, which is why Heatwave Days trend upward over time.

Does the Northern Ireland climate page include frost and snow data?

Yes. Frost Days (days with a minimum temperature below 0°C, World Bank CCKP) and snow water-equivalent (GPCC) are shown alongside temperature and precipitation, each measured against the 1961-1990 baseline where a like-for-like historical comparison is available.

What major climate events has Northern Ireland experienced?

Major climate events in Northern Ireland include The North Sea Flood of 1953; The 1976 UK drought; August 2003 European heatwave (UK); Start of the sustained rise in UK heatwave frequency (2010); The Beast from the East (2018); Northern Ireland's wettest July on record (2023). The Climate History panel on this page lists 26 sourced events and pattern shifts relevant to Northern Ireland, the earliest from 1945 - 17 about Northern Ireland itself and the rest global context such as volcanic eruptions and El Niño events. Each entry carries its own sources and can be searched, filtered to local events or by category, and sorted by date; scrolling the list moves a cursor across the chart above so you can see where each event falls in the record.

Where does the Climate History list for Northern Ireland come from, and how is it checked?

It is a hand-reviewed register, not an automatic feed. Every entry is sourced, and each one records how it was verified - against this site's own data series, against a peer-reviewed paper, or against the public record of the event. 16 of the 26 entries here are written specifically about Northern Ireland, usually quoting its own ranking or measured figures. The rest give global or national context shared with wider pages. Where a figure is narrower than it first appears, or a famous claim does not hold locally, the entry says so.

Are nights warming faster than days in Northern Ireland?

The Long-Term Trends chart has a Day/Night toggle showing Day Highs and Night Lows anchored around the average trend, so they always bracket it rather than both drifting to one side. Across most of the world, nights warmed faster than days from the 1960s to the late 1980s (air pollution dimming daytime sun), and days have generally been catching back up since, as skies cleared. Toggle Day/Night on the chart above to see which pattern Northern Ireland follows.