Morocco Climate – June 2026 Update
Top 5 Cities: Casablanca, Rabat, Fes, Marrakesh, and Tangier
This month in numbers
Morocco experienced its warmest June on record in 2026, with an average temperature of 26.93°C, marking an anomaly of +4.6°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. This makes June 2026 the 1st warmest June in 86 years of records. The period from April to June 2026 also ranked as the 4th warmest on record, with an average temperature of 21.85°C, a +3°C anomaly. Globally, June 2026 was the 3rd warmest June for land temperatures, and the April-June period ranked as the 2nd warmest globally for land temperatures. Morocco's June anomaly of +4.6°C placed it as the 8th warmest country globally for the month.
What changed
The past three months have seen Morocco experiencing significantly warmer conditions, with the April-June period ranking among the top five warmest on record. This trend is considerably warmer than the broader African continent, where the average 1-month anomaly was +1.58°C, making Morocco's June anomaly 3.02°C warmer than its group average. The country has also been experiencing a long-term warming trend, with 2025 being the warmest year on record. Morocco's General Directorate of Meteorology (DGM) noted that spring 2026 was characterised by "rapid shifts between cold, snow and heat within a very short time frame," including an early heatwave in May where temperatures exceeded 43°C in several cities.
What’s driving change?
The current strong El Niño event is a significant factor contributing to the warmer conditions. The NOAA ONI 3-month (April-June 2026) indicates a weak El Niño with an anomaly of +0.98°C, and forecasts predict El Niño conditions to persist with 100% probability through the end of the year. El Niño typically brings warmer, drier conditions to the Mediterranean region during summer, amplifying heatwave and wildfire risks. However, the DGM has cautioned that while El Niño generally raises global temperatures, its impact on Morocco's weather is weaker and less predictable, as the country's climate is also influenced by the North Atlantic Oscillation and other regional climate systems. Morocco has also experienced several weeks of unstable weather in June, with repeated orange alerts for thunderstorms, heavy rain, strong winds, and successive heatwaves. An ongoing heatwave in early July has seen temperatures reach as much as 13 degrees Celsius above normal July levels, driven by the northward extension of a Saharan thermal low and an influx of hot, dry desert air.
Looking ahead
With El Niño conditions strongly forecast to continue, Morocco can anticipate a higher likelihood of warmer and drier conditions in the coming months, although local weather patterns will also be shaped by the North Atlantic Oscillation and other regional influences. ENSO
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
At a Glance
Temperature – Average
Year-on-Year Trends
The 4byo Climate Helix – Morocco
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Morocco – Monthly Temperature – All Years
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Records – Morocco
Our World in Data / NOAA - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean
Shifting Seasons
Warm/cold + wet/dryKöppen BSh · AridMorocco has both a clear warm/cold cycle (±8.0°C) and a wet/dry cycle (21× wet:dry ratio). Both sides of the annual rhythm are shown below.
Monthly rainfall climatology. A “wet month” exceeds the baseline monthly mean (dashed gold line). Biggest month-to-month shift: Nov (-26 mm, -49%).
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Rainfall & Precipitation
Rainfall & Rain Days – Totals
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean. Small figure: the actual value. Rank: position in the full record (1st = highest ever). Record: highest (or lowest) value on record with its year.
Emissions & Energy
Explore
Explore Climate Data
Data Sources
Data Sources for Morocco
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Morocco changing?
Morocco is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Morocco come from?
Climate data for Morocco comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Morocco climate data cover?
The Morocco climate profile covers Casablanca, Rabat, Fes, Marrakesh and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Morocco
How often is the Morocco climate update refreshed?
The Morocco climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.