Morocco Climate
Top 5 Cities: Casablanca, Rabat, Fes, Marrakesh, and Tangier
This month in numbers
March 2026 saw Morocco's average temperature at 14.12°C, an anomaly of +0.6°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline, ranking as the 39th warmest March in 86 years of records. Globally, April 2026 was the 2nd warmest April on record for land temperatures, with an anomaly of +1.1°C. The period of January–March 2026 in Morocco recorded an average temperature of 12.4°C, ranking as the 23rd warmest such period in 86 years.
What changed
Morocco's January–March 2026 temperature anomaly of +0.9°C places it 197th out of 234 regions for the 3-month anomaly. This follows a trend of warmer conditions, with 2025 being the warmest year on record for Morocco at 19.93°C. The country has experienced a long-term warming trend of +1.83°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. While Morocco experienced significant rainfall in late 2025 and early 2026, effectively ending a seven-year drought, the country remains vulnerable to climate extremes. Satellite imagery from February 2026 showed a remarkable greening of northern Morocco compared to the parched landscapes of February 2025, a visual testament to the recent rains.
What’s driving change?
The recent shift from prolonged drought to significant rainfall and subsequent flooding in Morocco can be attributed to several factors. A series of strong Atlantic low-pressure systems brought intense rainfall to northern and central Morocco between late January and mid-February 2026, triggering widespread floods and landslides. This dramatic turnaround in precipitation helped replenish dams and alleviate the severe drought conditions that had impacted the country for seven years. The current ENSO state is Neutral, with an anomaly of -0.16°C for January-March 2026. However, forecasts indicate a rising probability of El Niño developing from May-July 2026 onwards, with a 79% chance for June-August 2026 and 87% for July-September 2026. Historically, El Niño events have been associated with warmer, drier conditions in the Mediterranean region, amplifying heatwave and wildfire risks, particularly in summer. Morocco's temperature has been rising by 0.2°C per decade since the 1960s, 11% more than the global average, increasing the likelihood of intense weather events.
Looking ahead
Forecasters suggest that the likely emergence of El Niño in the coming months could disrupt the Atlantic rainfall patterns Morocco depends on, potentially reviving risks for agriculture and water security.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
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Data Sources
Data Sources for Morocco
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) — see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Morocco changing?
Morocco is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The trend rate is shown as °C per decade in the headline panel; you can also see the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Morocco come from?
Climate data for Morocco comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Morocco climate data cover?
The Morocco climate profile covers Casablanca, Rabat, Fes, Marrakesh and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Morocco
How often is the Morocco climate update refreshed?
The Morocco climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.