Morocco Climate
Top 5 Cities: Casablanca, Rabat, Fes, Marrakesh, and Tangier
This month in numbers
Morocco experienced a significantly warmer April 2026, with an average temperature of 17.87°C, marking an anomaly of +2.5°C above the 1961–1990 baseline. This ranked as the 17th warmest April in 86 years of records. Globally, April 2026 was the 2nd warmest April on record for land temperatures, with an anomaly of +1.1°C. The three-month period from February to April 2026 also saw above-average temperatures, ranking as the 19th warmest such period on record for Morocco, with an anomaly of +1.3°C.
What changed
The past three months (February-April 2026) in Morocco have been notably warmer than average, continuing a trend of above-baseline temperatures observed since November 2025. This regional warming aligns with a broader global pattern, as global land temperatures for the February-April 2026 period also ranked as the 2nd warmest on record. Morocco's 1-month anomaly for April was 1.07°C warmer than the average for the wider Africa group.
What’s driving change?
The warmer conditions in Morocco are influenced by several factors. A significant heatwave impacted several provinces between April 17-19, with temperatures reaching 37-40°C in some southern regions. Another heatwave with temperatures between 37°C and 42°C was forecast for late May across various parts of the country, attributed to a Saharan thermal depression drawing hot, dry air masses northward. While the current ENSO state is Neutral, there is a high probability of El Niño developing in the coming months, with a 92% chance for June-August 2026 and increasing to 98% by August-October 2026. Historically, El Niño phases have been associated with warmer and drier conditions in the Mediterranean region, including Morocco, amplifying the risk of heatwaves and wildfires.
Looking ahead
The strong forecast for an El Niño event in the coming months suggests a heightened risk of warmer and drier conditions for Morocco through the summer and into autumn.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
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Data Sources
Data Sources for Morocco
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) — see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Morocco changing?
Morocco is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The trend rate is shown as °C per decade in the headline panel; you can also see the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Morocco come from?
Climate data for Morocco comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Morocco climate data cover?
The Morocco climate profile covers Casablanca, Rabat, Fes, Marrakesh and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Morocco
How often is the Morocco climate update refreshed?
The Morocco climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.