4 Billion Years On

Iceland Climate – July 2026 Update

Top 5 Cities: Reykjavík, Kópavogur, Hafnarfjörður, Akureyri, and Reykjanesbær

Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Iceland

A fresh climate update for Iceland is being generated…

The new monthly summary is being written by Gemini in the background. This usually takes 5–10 seconds. The live climate data below is already up to date.

At a Glance

Temperature – Average

Iceland
Global
Land + Ocean
Jul
+1.6°C· 20th
9.2°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
17.0°C
Record
10.6°C (2021)
17.0°C (2024)
May–Jul
+1.4°C· 25th
6.2°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
16.5°C
Record
7.7°C (2014)
16.5°C (2024)
2025
+2.7°C· 2nd
2.9°C
+1.0°C· 3rd
15.0°C
Record
3.0°C (2014)
15.2°C (2024)
Headline: anomaly vs your selected baseline (falls back to the 1961–1990 mean for a column without enough history for it) · Small figure: the actual value · Record = value on record for the ranking above

Climate Map – Global

Source: NOAA Climate at a Glance (countries & continents) · Met Office (UK) · US states & climate regions. Anomalies are vs the 1961–1990 baseline. See methodology.

Typical Climate – Iceland

Köppen ET · Polar

Iceland has a polar climate (Köppen ET: Tundra), with distinct warm summers and cool-to-cold winters. July is typically the warmest month, averaging 9.0°C, while January is the coldest at -3.3°C. Annual precipitation averages around 962mm, spread fairly evenly across the year.

Warmest month
Jul 9°C
Coldest month
Jan -3°C
Annual rainfall
702mm
Wettest month
Sep 118mm
Annual snowfall
260mmwater-equiv.
Snowiest month
Jan 50mm
RainSnow (water-equivalent)

Monthly climate normals (20162025) - bar colour and height show average temperature, the shaded area shows average monthly rain, with snow (water-equivalent) shown separately.

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Long-Term Trends

Combined TimelineIceland

Right axis: everything else standardized to standard deviations (σ) from its own average, since mm/hours/days aren't directly comparable to °C or to each other.

MetricTemperature
10-Yr AverageActual Year

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Heatwave Days – Iceland

Warm Spell Duration Index (WSDI) - the WMO/ETCCDI heatwave measure: days in a 6+ day run above the local 90th-percentile temperature for that time of year.

Heatwave Days per Year2025 (Record)10-Yr Avg

Data: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal (ERA5-derived). Refreshed roughly 1-2x/year, ~7-8 months behind present.

Year-on-Year Trends

The 4byo Climate Helix – Iceland

1940202619611990 baselineColdest (1966)20162025 meanWarmest (2014)2026 so far
2026Jul
WinterSpringSummerAutumnJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec1940-692016-25Spr Start−27 days1940-692016-25Aut End+20 days-10°-5°10°
Temp
1.4°C
+1.4 vs base
Precipitation
302mm
-666 vs base
Frost
days
ENSO
RONI 3-mo mean
Playback
8×
Mode
Presets

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Monthly TemperatureIceland

All years since 19662014 (Warmest)1966 (Coldest)2026 (Current Year)

Background lines show the last 40 years (plus the record year and its opposite, wherever they fall).

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Records – Iceland

Latest data Jul 2026
Warmest year
2014
3.0°C
Coldest year
1966
-1.9°C
2026 so far
#25/87
1.4°C

Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP) - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean

Shifting Seasons

Warm / cold seasonsKöppen ET · Polar

How spring and autumn have shifted in Iceland. Spring is defined as the date monthly temperatures first rise above the long-term annual mean (-0.2°C, from 19401969); autumn is the date they fall back below it. Temperature swings 12.8°C peak-to-peak across the year - a classic four-seasons rhythm.

Shifting summer
47 days Longer
Warm Season
1940–1969 Baseline: 4 May → 19 Oct · 168 days
2016–2025 Now: 8 Apr → 8 Nov · 214 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Spr 26 days EarlierAut 20 days Later
baseline yr·recent yr·ring = global temp anomaly

Baseline vs recent monthly temperature climatology. Biggest warming: Feb (+3.1°C).

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Emissions & Energy

Explore

Explore Climate Data

Data Sources

Data Sources for Iceland

Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.

FAQs

FAQs

How is the climate in Iceland changing?

Iceland is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.

What is the climate like in Iceland?

Iceland has a polar climate (Köppen ET: Tundra), with distinct warm summers and cool-to-cold winters. July is typically the warmest month, averaging 9.0°C, while January is the coldest at -3.3°C. Annual precipitation averages around 962mm, spread fairly evenly across the year.

Where does the climate data for Iceland come from?

Climate data for Iceland comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.

What is the climate baseline used on this page?

Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.

Which areas does the Iceland climate data cover?

The Iceland climate profile covers Reykjavík, Kópavogur, Hafnarfjörður, Akureyri and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Iceland

How often is the Iceland climate update refreshed?

The Iceland climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.

What counts as a Heatwave Day on the Iceland climate page?

Heatwave Days use the Warm Spell Duration Index (WSDI) - the WMO/ETCCDI-standard heatwave measure: days that are part of a run of 6 or more consecutive days above the local 90th-percentile temperature for that calendar day. The 90th-percentile threshold varies by time of year (a hot day in January is judged differently to one in July) but is fixed to the 1961-1990 baseline for every year shown - it does not shift as the climate warms, which is why Heatwave Days trend upward over time.

Does the Iceland climate page include frost and snow data?

Yes. Frost Days (days with a minimum temperature below 0°C, World Bank CCKP) and snow water-equivalent (GPCC) are shown alongside temperature and precipitation, each measured against the 1961-1990 baseline where a like-for-like historical comparison is available.