4 Billion Years On

Honduras Climate – June 2026 Update

Top 5 Cities: Tegucigalpa, San Pedro Sula, La Ceiba, El Progreso, and Choloma

This month in numbers

Honduras experienced a significantly warmer June, with an average temperature of 24.67°C, marking a +0.7°C anomaly against the 1961–1990 baseline. This ranked as the 20th warmest June in 86 years of records. The three-month period from April to June 2026 was even more notable, with an average temperature of 25.36°C, a +1°C anomaly, making it the 9th warmest such period on record. Globally, June 2026 was the 3rd warmest on record for land temperatures, with an anomaly of +1°C, and the April-June period ranked as the 2nd warmest globally for land temperatures, also with a +1°C anomaly.

What changed

The past three months have seen Honduras trending warmer, with the April-June period registering a +1°C anomaly, placing it among the top 10 warmest on record for the country. This regional warming aligns with a broader global pattern, as global land temperatures for the same three-month period ranked as the 2nd warmest on record. Honduras's June anomaly of +0.65°C placed it 174th out of 234 regions globally for the month, while its three-month anomaly of +0.99°C ranked it 176th globally.

What’s driving change?

The persistent warming trend in Honduras is largely influenced by the ongoing weak El Niño conditions, which are forecast to continue and strengthen throughout 2026. El Niño typically brings warmer and drier conditions to Mexico and Central America, increasing the risk of drought during the rainy season. Indeed, Honduras is currently experiencing drought conditions, with a 60-day drought threatening crops and agricultural production, particularly impacting the Central American Dry Corridor. This has led to concerns about food insecurity and reduced agricultural labor demand. Furthermore, June saw significant extreme weather events, including widespread urban and suburban flooding in San Pedro Sula due to torrential downpours, which overwhelmed drainage infrastructure and caused at least one fatality. Tropical Storm Cristina also threatened Honduras with heavy rainfall, flooding, and mudslides in early June. Compounding these issues, Honduras has lost 65,000 hectares to forest fires during the 2026 season, with Olancho and Cortés being the most affected regions. These fires have severely impacted watersheds and increased the risk of water supply deterioration.

Looking ahead

Strong El Niño conditions are forecasted to persist until early 2027, suggesting a continued likelihood of warmer and drier conditions for Honduras, with an enhanced risk of drought and increased hurricane activity in the central and eastern Pacific basins.

Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources

At a Glance

Temperature – Average

Honduras
Global
Land + Ocean
Jun
+1.9°C· 2nd
26.0°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
16.6°C
Record
26.1°C (2023)
16.7°C (2024)
Apr–Jun
+1.6°C· 3rd
26.0°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
15.8°C
Record
26.8°C (2024)
15.9°C (2024)
2025
+1.4°C· 3rd
24.4°C
+1.0°C· 3rd
15.0°C
Record
24.9°C (2024)
15.2°C (2024)
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean · Small figure: the actual value · Record = highest (or lowest) value on record

Year-on-Year Trends

The 4byo Climate Helix – Honduras

1940202619611990 baselineColdest (1943)20162025 meanWarmest (2024)2026 so far
2026Jun
2024
WetDryJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecWet Start−1 daysWet End+1 days20°22°24°26°28°
Temp
24.1°C
+1.1 vs base
Rainfall
mm
ENSO
ONI 3-mo mean
Playback
8×
Mode
Metric
Presets

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Honduras – Monthly Temperature – All Years

Metric
All years since 19872024 (warmest)2026 (current year)

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Records – Honduras

Warmest year
2024
24.9°C
Coldest year
1943
21.6°C
2026 so far
#9/87
24.1°C

Our World in Data / NOAA - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean

Shifting Seasons

Wet / dry seasonsKöppen Am · Tropical

Honduras doesn't have a warm/cold cycle - its monthly temperature range is only 3.6°C across the year - but it does have a strong wet/dry cycle (the wettest month gets 7× as much rain as the driest). So we track how the wet season has shifted instead.

Shifting wet season
2 days longer
Wet season
1940–1969 baseline: 27 Jun → 25 Oct · 120 days
2016–2025 now: 26 Jun → 26 Oct · 122 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Onset 1 day earlierEnd 1 day later
-1.4% annual rain
baseline yr·recent yr·ring = global temp anomaly
Wet-season onset
27 Jun26 Jun
1 day earlier
When 25% of annual rain has fallen
Wet-season end
25 Oct26 Oct
1 day later
When 75% of annual rain has fallen
Peak-rain month
JunJun
unchanged
Wet months: 77

Monthly rainfall climatology. A “wet month” exceeds the baseline monthly mean (dashed gold line). Biggest month-to-month shift: Jul (-22 mm, -9%).

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Rainfall & Precipitation

Rainfall & Rain Days – Totals

Rainfall / Precipitation
Honduras
n/a
n/a· n/a
Record
n/a
n/a
n/a· n/a
Record
n/a
2024
+287 mm· 6th
1959 mm
Record
2010 mm (1942)

Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean. Small figure: the actual value. Rank: position in the full record (1st = highest ever). Record: highest (or lowest) value on record with its year.

Climate Systems

Loading ENSO tracker…

Emissions & Energy

Explore

Explore Climate Data

Data Sources

Data Sources for Honduras

Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.

FAQs

FAQs

How is the climate in Honduras changing?

Honduras is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.

Where does the climate data for Honduras come from?

Climate data for Honduras comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.

What is the climate baseline used on this page?

Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.

Which areas does the Honduras climate data cover?

The Honduras climate profile covers Tegucigalpa, San Pedro Sula, La Ceiba, El Progreso and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Honduras

How often is the Honduras climate update refreshed?

The Honduras climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.