Honduras Climate
Top 5 Cities: Tegucigalpa, San Pedro Sula, La Ceiba, El Progreso, and Choloma
This month in numbers
Honduras experienced its 5th warmest February–April on record, with an average temperature of 24.3°C, a significant 1.3°C above the 1961–1990 baseline. April 2026 itself was 0.5°C warmer than average, reaching 24.76°C. Globally, April 2026 was the 2nd warmest April on record for land temperatures, with an anomaly of +1.1°C, while the February–April period also ranked as the 2nd warmest globally for land temperatures, at +1.2°C above the baseline.
What changed
The past three months have seen a pronounced warming trend in Honduras, ranking among the top 5 warmest on record. This continues a pattern, with 2025 being the warmest year on record for the country, at 24.82°C. The long-term trend for Honduras shows a warming of +1.20°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. This regional warming aligns with the broader global picture, which has also experienced exceptionally warm conditions.
What’s driving change?
The significant warming observed in Honduras is largely influenced by the evolving ENSO state. While the current NOAA ONI 3-month (February-April 2026) indicates Neutral conditions, weekly Niño 3.4 SST anomalies show a warming trend, with a strong forecast for El Niño to develop in the coming months, reaching 98% probability by August–October 2026. El Niño typically brings warmer and drier conditions to Mexico and Central America, increasing drought risk during the rainy season and exacerbating heat. This is a key factor in the current heat and the ongoing drought concerns in Honduras's Dry Corridor. The country has also been battling a significant number of wildfires, with 127 forest fires reported in the first five months of 2026, representing 100% of the annual total for the past 12 months, an unusual concentration for the season. These wildfires, often human-caused, are intensified by the dry conditions and high temperatures, further contributing to local warming and environmental degradation. More information on extreme weather can be found at Extreme Weather tracker.
Looking ahead
The strong forecast for El Niño to persist and strengthen through the coming months suggests a continued likelihood of warmer and drier conditions for Honduras, with potential for increased drought risk and associated impacts on agriculture and water resources. Further updates on ENSO can be found at ENSO tracker.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
Loading climate data...
Data Sources
Data Sources for Honduras
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Honduras changing?
Honduras is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The trend rate is shown as °C per decade in the headline panel; you can also see the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Honduras come from?
Climate data for Honduras comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Honduras climate data cover?
The Honduras climate profile covers Tegucigalpa, San Pedro Sula, La Ceiba, El Progreso and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Honduras
How often is the Honduras climate update refreshed?
The Honduras climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.