Georgia Climate – July 2026 Update
Top 5 Cities: Tbilisi, Kutaisi, Batumi, Rustavi, and Gori
Summary
July 2026 brought warm conditions to Georgia, with average temperatures rising 1.1°C above the 1961–1990 baseline. While this ranked as the 26th warmest July on record locally, intense atmospheric moisture sparked localised flash flooding and mudflows in the Kakheti region. Globally, the month was the 3rd warmest July on record, unfolding alongside a moderate El Niño that is forecast to peak at Very Strong in Oct-Dec, with settled summer warmth anticipated over coming months.
This month in numbers
Georgia recorded an average temperature of 19.07°C in July 2026, which is 1.1°C above the 1961–1990 baseline. That made it the 26th warmest July in 87 years of record-keeping, comfortably below the all-time record of 21.13°C set in 2018. On a broader scale, the global land temperature reached 15.8°C with a +1.6°C anomaly, standing as the 3rd warmest July on record worldwide.
What changed
The three-month period from May to July 2026 averaged 15.2°C, just 0.3°C above baseline, placing it 45th out of 87 years. This muted seasonal figure placed Georgia 224th out of 232 regions globally for three-month temperature anomalies, putting it in the bottom 10 worldwide following cooler conditions earlier in spring. In contrast, the global land surface recorded its 2nd warmest May to July on record with a +1.5°C anomaly. Over the longer term, Georgia continues to track an overall warming trend of +1.68°C above baseline, following its 11th warmest year on record in 2025 at 8.96°C.
What’s driving change?
The region's weather patterns are increasingly influenced by jet stream shifts that stall weather systems over Eurasia, creating sharp contrasts between sudden torrential rain and prolonged dry spells. These atmospheric dynamics led to heavy summer downpours that triggered severe flash flooding and mudflows in the Kakheti region. On a global scale, areas, amplifying baseline temperatures across continental regions. The global climate background is further shaped by a moderate El Niño currently active in the tropical Pacific, tracked on our live map at ENSO.
Looking ahead
Seasonal outlooks suggest near-to-above average temperatures will persist through late summer, while atmospheric models project an 81% probability of the current El Niño strengthening into a Very Strong event between October and December.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
At a Glance
Temperature – Average
Climate Map – Global
Source: NOAA Climate at a Glance (countries & continents) · Met Office (UK) · US states & climate regions. Anomalies are vs the 1961–1990 baseline. See methodology.
Typical Climate – Georgia
Köppen Dfb · ContinentalGeorgia has a continental climate (Köppen Dfb: Humid continental - warm summer), with distinct warm summers and cool-to-cold winters. August is typically the warmest month, averaging 20.1°C, while January is the coldest at -1.9°C. Annual precipitation averages around 1055mm, spread fairly evenly across the year.
Monthly climate normals (2016–2025) - bar colour and height show average temperature, the shaded area shows average monthly rain, with snow (water-equivalent) shown separately.
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).
Long-Term Trends
Combined Timeline – Georgia
Precipitation, Sunshine, Frost and Snow are converted to standard deviations from their own average so they can share an axis with Temperature.
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).
Heatwave Days – Georgia
Warm Spell Duration Index (WSDI) - days in a 6+ day run above the local 90th-percentile temperature for that time of year.
Data: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal (ERA5-derived). Refreshed roughly 1-2x/year, ~7-8 months behind present.
Year-on-Year Trends
The 4byo Climate Helix – Georgia
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).
Monthly Temperature – Georgia
Latest month is provisional and may be revised by the data provider in the next update cycle.
Background lines show the last 40 years (plus the record year and its opposite, wherever they fall).
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).
Records – Georgia
Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP) - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean
Shifting Seasons
Warm / cold seasonsKöppen Dfb · ContinentalHow spring and autumn have shifted in Georgia. Spring is defined as the date monthly temperatures first rise above the long-term annual mean (7.1°C, from 1940–1969); autumn is the date they fall back below it. Temperature swings 21.8°C peak-to-peak across the year - a classic four-seasons rhythm.
Baseline vs recent monthly temperature climatology. Biggest warming: Mar (+3.1°C). The warmest month has shifted from Jul to Aug.
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).
Climate Systems
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Emissions & Energy
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Explore Climate Data
Data Sources
Data Sources for Georgia
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
Country-level temperature anomaly, sourced from Copernicus ERA5 and Hadley HadCRUT5.
Annual country and global CO₂ emissions, from the Global Carbon Project.
Monthly rainfall - Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (DWD) preferred, World Bank CCKP/CRU TS fallback where GPCC lacks direct coverage.
Frost Days and Heatwave Days (Warm Spell Duration Index), ERA5-derived. World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
Monthly snow water-equivalent, Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (DWD).
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Georgia changing?
Georgia is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.
What is the climate like in Georgia?
Georgia has a continental climate (Köppen Dfb: Humid continental - warm summer), with distinct warm summers and cool-to-cold winters. August is typically the warmest month, averaging 20.1°C, while January is the coldest at -1.9°C. Annual precipitation averages around 1055mm, spread fairly evenly across the year.
Where does the climate data for Georgia come from?
Climate data for Georgia comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Georgia climate data cover?
The Georgia climate profile covers Tbilisi, Kutaisi, Batumi, Rustavi and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Georgia
How often is the Georgia climate update refreshed?
The Georgia climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.
What counts as a Heatwave Day on the Georgia climate page?
Heatwave Days use the Warm Spell Duration Index (WSDI) - the WMO/ETCCDI-standard heatwave measure: days that are part of a run of 6 or more consecutive days above the local 90th-percentile temperature for that calendar day. The 90th-percentile threshold varies by time of year (a hot day in January is judged differently to one in July) but is fixed to the 1961-1990 baseline for every year shown - it does not shift as the climate warms, which is why Heatwave Days trend upward over time.
Does the Georgia climate page include frost and snow data?
Yes. Frost Days (days with a minimum temperature below 0°C, World Bank CCKP) and snow water-equivalent (GPCC) are shown alongside temperature and precipitation, each measured against the 1961-1990 baseline where a like-for-like historical comparison is available.
