Ecuador Climate – June 2026 Update
Top 5 Cities: Guayaquil, Quito, Cuenca, Ambato, and Portoviejo
This month in numbers
Ecuador experienced its 7th warmest June on record, with an average temperature of 20.84°C, marking an anomaly of +1.2°C above the 1961–1990 baseline. This follows a trend of elevated temperatures, as the April–June 2026 period ranked as the 9th warmest on record, with an anomaly of +1.1°C. Globally, June 2026 was the 3rd warmest on record for land temperatures, with an anomaly of +1°C, while the April–June period was the 2nd warmest globally.
What changed
Ecuador has consistently seen above-average temperatures in recent months, with anomalies of +1.0°C in January, +0.9°C in February, +1.0°C in March, +1.2°C in April, +0.9°C in May, and +1.2°C in June. The country's long-term warming trend stands at +1.10°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline, with 2025 being the warmest year on record. This warming trend in Ecuador aligns with the broader global picture of rising temperatures.
What’s driving change?
The primary driver of the current warming in Ecuador is El Niño, which is currently in a weak phase but is forecast to strengthen significantly. The NOAA ONI 3-month average for April–June 2026 shows a weak El Niño with an anomaly of +0.98°C, and forecasts indicate a 100% probability of El Niño continuing through the end of 2026 and into early 2027, potentially reaching a very strong intensity. El Niño typically brings warmer and wetter conditions to coastal Ecuador and Peru, increasing the risk of severe coastal flooding and impacting fisheries. Indeed, a strengthening coastal El Niño episode was anticipated to reach Ecuadorian waters in June, with comparisons being drawn to the destructive 1997 event. Ecuador has already experienced significant rainfall and associated impacts, with floods and landslides affecting over 110,000 people and damaging thousands of homes since January 2026. High-energy waves also impacted Ecuador's coast and the Galapagos in June, causing damage in some areas. For more information, visit ENSO.
Sources:
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
At a Glance
Temperature – Average
Year-on-Year Trends
The 4byo Climate Helix – Ecuador
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Ecuador – Monthly Temperature – All Years
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Records – Ecuador
Our World in Data / NOAA - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean
Shifting Seasons
Weakly seasonalKöppen Af · TropicalEcuador is weakly seasonal - temperature barely changes across the year (1.5°C range) and rainfall is fairly even. The clearest climate signal here is overall warming: monthly temperature has risen in every month.
Baseline vs recent monthly temperature climatology. Biggest warming: May (+1.6°C). The warmest month has shifted from Mar to Feb.
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Rainfall & Precipitation
Rainfall & Rain Days – Totals
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean. Small figure: the actual value. Rank: position in the full record (1st = highest ever). Record: highest (or lowest) value on record with its year.
Climate Systems
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Emissions & Energy
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Explore Climate Data
Data Sources
Data Sources for Ecuador
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Ecuador changing?
Ecuador is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Ecuador come from?
Climate data for Ecuador comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Ecuador climate data cover?
The Ecuador climate profile covers Guayaquil, Quito, Cuenca, Ambato and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Ecuador
How often is the Ecuador climate update refreshed?
The Ecuador climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.