4 Billion Years On

East Anglia – Sep 2026

East Anglia has closed out its warmest July to September period on record, combined with its 2nd driest late-summer stretch in 127 years of weather monitoring…

City Coverage: Norwich, Cambridge, Ipswich, Peterborough, Colchester, and Chelmsford

Summary

East Anglia has closed out its warmest July to September period on record, combined with its 2nd driest late-summer stretch in 127 years of weather monitoring. The latest calendar month sustained this relentless warmth as the 3rd warmest September on record, worsening soil dryness and leaving agricultural regions under official drought status, with dry conditions expected to persist into late autumn.

This month in numbers

Mean temperature for September reached 17.2°C, running 3.2°C above the 1961-1990 baseline to rank 3rd highest since 1900. Nighttime cold was entirely absent with 0 frost days recorded, ranking 1st lowest. Rainfall totalled just 30.2 mm, which is 20.5 mm below average, while sunshine accumulated to 157.8 hours, exceeding typical totals by 14.1 hours.

What changed

Across the full July to September season, East Anglia registered its warmest period on record with an average temperature of 18.87°C, sitting 3.4°C above baseline. Total precipitation during these three months amounted to only 74.9 mm, ranking as the 2nd driest late summer on record alongside 717 hours of sunshine, which ranked 2nd highest. Globally, East Anglia ranked 14th out of 232 regions for three-month temperature anomaly, running notably warmer than the UK national anomaly of 2.3°C for the month.

What’s driving change?

Persistent high-pressure blocking and recurring prevented rain-bearing weather systems from reaching eastern England throughout late summer. The state of the North Atlantic Oscillation favoured dry, stable air over the region, while dynamics accelerated surface heating across East Anglia's low-lying agricultural terrain.

Looking ahead

Long-range seasonal forecasts indicate that settled, warmer than average conditions are favoured to persist into the coming months, extending hydrological pressure across regional reservoirs and farmlands.

Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources

At a Glance

Temperature – Average

East Anglia
United Kingdom
Global
Land + Ocean
Sep
+3.2°C· 3rd
17.2°C
+2.4°C· 4th
14.6°C
+1.2°C· 2nd
16.3°C
Record
17.8°C (2023)
15.2°C (2006)
16.4°C (2023)
Jul–Sep
+3.3°C· 1st
18.9°C
+2.5°C· 1st
16.2°C
+1.1°C· 1st
16.7°C
Record
18.9°C (2026)
16.2°C (2026)
16.7°C (2026)
2025
+1.9°C· 4th
11.4°C
+1.7°C· 1st
10.1°C
+1.0°C· 3rd
15.0°C
Record
11.5°C (2022)
10.1°C (2025)
15.2°C (2024)
Headline: anomaly vs your baseline (1961–1990 where the record is too short) · small figure: actual value · Record: the record for the ranking above

Climate Insights – East Anglia

Precipitation, Sunshine, Frost and Snow are converted to standard deviations from their own average so they can share an axis with Temperature anomalies.

Temperature
10-Yr AverageActual Year

Climate History

1945Industrial Aerosol

Post-WWII industrial expansion begins

After the Second World War, coal and oil use grew rapidly across Europe, North America and the Soviet Union. Global sulphur dioxide emissions rose from about 30 to about 130 million tonnes a year by 1980, and the sulphate haze they formed masked part of the greenhouse warming underneath - the effect known as 'global dimming'.

Klimont et al. 2013

1953Flood

The North Sea Flood of 1953

Essex, in this region, lost 120 of the 307 people killed in England on the night of 31 January 1953 - more than any other county. Canvey Island alone lost 58 and Jaywick 37, as a surge running 3m above expected sea level broke through the coastal defences.

The Conversation, Royal Meteorological Society, Wikipedia, Wikipedia (2)

1956Industrial Aerosol

UK Clean Air Act

Passed after the Great Smog of December 1952 killed around 12,000 people, the Clean Air Act 1956 created smoke control areas and curbed domestic coal burning across Great Britain - the start of the long fall in British aerosol pollution that later unmasked greenhouse warming.

The National Archives, Clean Air Act 1956, The Clean Air Act 1964 (Appointed Day)…

1962-63Other

The Big Freeze of 1962-63

1963 is East Anglia's coldest year in this site's own regional record, and 1962 its third coldest. The sea froze near the coast, the Broads and rivers iced over and coasters were trapped at Reedham; January's mean maximum ran 5°C below average, and Santon Downham near Thetford fell to -19°C on the 23rd.

Wikipedia, Wikipedia (2), Royal Meteorological Society, Norfolk Live

1963Volcanic

Agung eruption

Agung's eruption in Bali put a veil of sulphate haze into the stratosphere that cooled global temperature by about 0.3°C over 1963-66.

Smithsonian Global Volcanism Program, NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory

1976Drought

The 1976 UK drought

East Anglia's topsoil dried out so completely during the 1976 drought that it began turning to dust and blowing off the fields - the most visible sign anywhere in Britain of the driest 16 months in over 200 years.

Royal Meteorological Society, Met Office, Royal Meteorological Society (2)

1978Flood

The North Sea flood of 1978

A surge on the night of 11-12 January 1978 floods the east coast again, twenty-five years after 1953. Norfolk and the Humber take the worst of it, and the defences rebuilt after 1953 are tested for the first time.

Wikipedia

1979Industrial Aerosol

Global SO2 emissions peak

Global sulphur dioxide emissions peak at about 130 million tonnes a year, then begin a long decline as Europe, North America and Japan clean up their air. As the aerosol mask thins, the rate of global warming picks up through the 1980s.

Klimont et al. 2013

1981Other

The 1981 tornado outbreak

On 23 November 1981, 104 confirmed tornadoes touch down across England and Wales in a single day - the largest tornado outbreak ever recorded in Europe. The worst damage is in Leicester, where hundreds of homes are hit and 24 people are injured as part of a school collapses.

Wikipedia, Wikipedia (2)

1982Volcanic

El Chichón eruption

A sulphur-rich eruption in Mexico whose aerosol cloud stayed in the stratosphere for more than two years, cooling the Northern Hemisphere by about 0.2°C.

Smithsonian Global Volcanism Program

1987Other

The Great Storm of 1987

The East Anglian coast was among the most damaged areas of the Great Storm, hit by gusts with a one-in-200-year return period as the system tracked north-east across southern England overnight on 15-16 October 1987.

Wikipedia

1987Other

The Big Freeze of January 1987

East Anglia was one of the areas worst hit by the January 1987 easterly, alongside South East England and London, as Siberian air crossed a North Sea it had already chilled. Over 50cm of snow fell across the south east, locally 75cm, and Caldecott in Rutland dropped to -23.3°C on the 13th.

Wikipedia, The Weather Outlook

1990Pattern Shift

Daytime warming catches up with the night-led pattern

Across 1961-90, 81% of the world's land saw nights warming faster than days. Across 1991-2020 the pattern reversed: 70% saw days warming faster, as the industrial haze that had been dimming daytime sunshine was cleaned up. The study compares two fixed thirty-year windows; measured as a turning point, this site's own global series turns around 1982.

Zhong et al. 2023

1990Other

The Burns' Day Storm

Suffolk marked the north-eastern end of the storm's worst damage, which ran in a band south of a line from west Wales to Suffolk on 25 January 1990. Elsewhere in the region the gales were severe but the destruction less concentrated.

Met Office, Royal Meteorological Society

1990Heatwave

August 1990 UK heatwave breaks 79-year record

The August 1990 heatwave reaches 36.5°C at Cambridge Botanic Garden (3 August) - among the highest readings anywhere in the country, just short of the 37.1°C UK record set at Cheltenham the same day.

Wikipedia, history.co.uk, Met Office

1990-99Ocean Oscillation

Positive NAO phase dominates the 1990s

England shows the weakest and least consistent response of the four nations. The NAO's wet/dry signature is reliable in the north-west, but across central, southern and eastern England it varies considerably from winter to winter - those areas sit in the lee of the uplands, and research finds the separate East Atlantic pattern exerts more influence on their rainfall than the NAO does.

Hurrell 1995, Science, Atmosphere, 2021, Frontiers, 2022NAO Tracker

1995Ocean Oscillation

Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation flips to a warm phase

The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation flipped to a warm phase in 1995. For the UK it is one of the background rhythms sitting underneath the warming trend: warm AMO phases are associated with warmer North Atlantic surface waters on the UK's doorstep, and have been linked to wetter summers in parts of north-west Europe. It is a natural cycle of roughly 60-70 years, so it shifts the baseline rather than driving the long-term trend - which matters when reading any UK record set since the mid-1990s.

Learn more →

2003Heatwave

August 2003 European heatwave (UK)

Cambridge University Botanic Garden, in this region, went on to take the UK record this heatwave set: 38.5°C at Brogdale in Kent on 10 August 2003 stood for sixteen years until Cambridge reached 38.7°C in July 2019. Excess mortality in 2003 ran 16% above normal across England and Wales.

Met Office / ONS, Impact of the 2003 heat wave on daily…

2007Flood

Summer 2007 UK floods

East Anglia escaped the worst of the 2007 floods, which struck Northern Ireland and Scotland first on 14 June, then Yorkshire and the Midlands, and finally Gloucestershire, Worcestershire and South Wales in late July. England and Wales still recorded 414.1mm from May to July - their wettest such spell since 1766.

Wikipedia / GOV.UK flood cost report, Met Office

2009-13Ocean Oscillation

Negative NAO blocking cluster, 2009-2013

December 2010 was the second coldest December in the Central England Temperature record, which runs back to 1659 - just 0.1°C short of the all-time record set in 1890. It was England's coldest month of any kind since February 1986, driven by a run of blocked, negative-NAO winters between 2009 and 2013.

4byo, Met Office, WikipediaNAO Tracker

2010Pattern Shift

Start of the sustained rise in UK heatwave frequency

East Anglia's own Heatwave Days count rose from a decade mean of 3.50 days in the 2000s to 8.00 in the 2010s, and 15.18 so far in the 2020s - more than four times the 2000s figure, and a steeper climb than England as a whole.

Met Office, State of the UK Climate

2013Flood

The December 2013 North Sea storm surge

Spring tides, deep low pressure and gale-force winds drive the worst surge on the east coast since 1953 on 5 December 2013, hitting Hunstanton, Wells, Cley and Hemsby. Damage across Norfolk, Suffolk and Essex reaches an estimated £1 billion, but modern defences largely hold and no lives are lost - though cliffs collapse at Hemsby and homes are lost to the sea.

ITV Anglia, Frontiers in Marine Science (2015)

2013-25Pattern Shift

UK's post-2013 warmth acceleration

8 of East Anglia's 10 warmest years on record have occurred since 2013, and the warmest of all was 2022 - the same post-2013 clustering seen across the UK, in this region's own record.

Met Office, State of the UK Climate

2014Flood

England and Wales' wettest winter since 1766

Winter 2013-14 (December to February) brought England 401mm of rain, 180% of the 1961-90 average - its wettest winter since this site's Met Office regional record begins in 1901. Across England and Wales as a whole it was the wettest winter since the series began in 1766.

Met Office, Kendon et al. 2015, England and Wales Precipitation series

2015-25Pattern Shift

2015-2025: the eleven warmest years on record

Globally, the eleven warmest years on record have all happened since 2015. East Anglia's own record is a looser fit - seven of its eleven warmest fall in that span, with 2014, 2011, 2006 and 2002 outside it. Its warmest year is 2022.

Learn more →

2018Other

The Beast from the East

Eastern England took the brunt of the 2018 easterly, with around 28cm of snow falling in parts of Norfolk as Siberian air crossed the North Sea and picked up moisture on the way. It followed a sudden stratospheric warming in mid-February that split the polar vortex.

Wikipedia, Wikipedia (2)Polar Vortex Tracker

2020Industrial Aerosol

Low-sulphur shipping fuel rule (IMO 2020)

New international shipping rules cut the sulphur allowed in ship fuel from 3.5% to 0.5% almost overnight, removing about 8 million tonnes of sulphur dioxide a year. With less sulphate haze over the oceans, it may have added around 0.1°C of warming by 2023-24.

Gettelman et al. 2024

2020Flood

The UK's wettest February on record, 2020

February 2020 was wet in East Anglia too - 78.7mm, more than double its 1961-90 average - but only its 11th-wettest February in this site's Met Office record from 1900, as the storms' heaviest rain fell further west. East Anglia's wettest February is 2024, with 112.8mm.

Davies et al. (2021), Carbon Brief / Met Office, NOAA CPCPolar Vortex / AO

2022Heatwave

The UK's first 40°C day

The record broken on 19 July 2022 was East Anglia's own: Cambridge University Botanic Garden had held the UK high of 38.7°C since 25 July 2019, itself beating Faversham's 38.5°C from 2003. Coningsby in Lincolnshire took it to 40.3°C.

Met Office review (via Carbon Brief), Met Office, Wikipedia, Met Office (2)

Data: Met Office UK Regional Series © Crown copyright.

Heatwave Days – East Anglia

Warm Spell Duration Index (WSDI) - days in a 6+ day run above the local 90th-percentile temperature for that time of year.

Heatwave days per year2023 (Record)10-yr avg

Data: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal (ERA5-derived). Refreshed roughly 1-2x/year, ~7-8 months behind present.

Climate Map – UK

Source: Met Office UK Regional & National series (Tmean, Precipitation, Sunshine, Air Frost) © Crown copyright, plus GPCC (Snow, water-equivalent). Anomalies are vs the 1961–1990 baseline. See methodology.

Year-on-Year Trends

The 4byo Climate Helix – East Anglia

1900→20261961–1990 baselineColdest (1963)2016–2025 meanWarmest (2022)2026 so far
2026Sep
WinterSpringSummerAutumnJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec1900-292016-25Spr Start−12 days1900-292016-25Aut End+14 days0°5°10°15°20°
Temp
13.2°C
+3.7 vs base
Precipitation
330mm
-268 vs base
Sunshine
1,706hrs
+208 vs base
Frost
19days
-34 vs base
Playback
8×

Data: Met Office UK Regional Series © Crown copyright.

Monthly Temperature – East Anglia

All years since 19632022 (Warmest)1963 (Coldest)2026 (Current Year)

Background lines: the last 40 years.

Data: Met Office UK Regional Series © Crown copyright.

Records – East Anglia

Latest data Sep 2026
Warmest year
2022
11.5°C
Coldest year
1963
8.3°C
2026 so far
#1/127
13.2°C

Met Office UK Regional Series © Crown copyright - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean

Typical Climate – East Anglia

Köppen Cfb · Temperate

East Anglia has a temperate climate (Köppen Cfb: Oceanic / temperate), with distinct warm summers and cool-to-cold winters. July is typically the warmest month, averaging 18.1°C, while January is the coldest at 4.5°C. Annual precipitation averages around 622mm (about 20mm of it as snow), spread fairly evenly across the year.

Warmest month
Jul 18°C
Coldest month
Jan 5°C
Annual rainfall
602mm
Wettest month
Oct 71mm
Annual snowfall
20mmwater-equiv.
Snowiest month
Jan 6mm
RainSnow (water-equivalent)

Monthly climate normals (2016–2025) - bar colour and height show average temperature, the shaded area shows average monthly rain, with snow (water-equivalent) shown separately.

Data: Met Office UK Regional Series © Crown copyright.

Shifting Seasons

Warm / cold seasonsKöppen Cfb · Temperate

How spring and autumn have shifted in East Anglia. Spring is defined as the date monthly temperatures first rise above the long-term annual mean (9.3°C, from 1900–1929); autumn is the date they fall back below it. Temperature swings 12.5°C peak-to-peak across the year - a classic four-seasons rhythm.

Shifting summer
26 days Longer
Warm Season
1900–1929 Baseline: 29 Apr → 21 Oct · 175 days
2016–2025 Now: 17 Apr → 4 Nov · 201 days
−12d
+14d
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Spr 12 days EarlierAut 14 days Later
baseline avgrecent avgClick a marker for each decade
1900–19292016–20251900–1929 annual mean

Baseline vs recent monthly temperature climatology. Biggest warming: Jun (+2.3°C).

Data: Met Office UK Regional Series © Crown copyright.

Extreme Weather

Alerts & Disasters - East Anglia

Live GDACS alerts in East Anglia - Red (Major), Orange (Severe) or Green (Moderate) - and the long-term record of weather and climate disasters.

Live Alerts

Loading…

Alerts, Last 12 Months

Major

0

None since 2021

Severe

0

None since 2021

Moderate

0

UK Weather Disasters in 2024 - Latest Complete Year

Disasters

2

2.4 a year, 2015-2024

Deaths

578

946 a year, 2015-2024

UK Weather Disasters, 2015-2024

Most Frequent

Storms & Cyclones

11 of 24 disasters

Deadliest

Extreme Temperature

9,435 of 9,457 deaths

Disasters: EM-DAT, CRED / UCLouvain, via Our World in Data - 10+ deaths, 100+ people affected, or a declared emergency or call for international help; EM-DAT records them by country, so these are UK-wide figures. Alerts: GDACS.

Climate Drivers

Climate Drivers - East Anglia

The natural climate patterns that measurably shape seasonal temperature or rainfall in East Anglia, from this site’s own data since 1950 - long-term trends removed, and ENSO’s share taken out before scoring the others, so each is credited only for what it adds.

North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO)strong link

Steers the North Atlantic storm track - Europe's winters especially.

Now: positive · +0.37 (30-day mean to 2026-10-15)

Strongest in Jun-Aug rainfall: a positive NAO tends to bring drier conditions here, a negative NAO the reverse (about 38% of year-to-year variation). Also Dec-Feb temperature (positive NAO: warmer).

NAO Tracker
Arctic Oscillation (AO)strong link

How readily Arctic air spills south - tied to the polar vortex.

Now: positive · +1.11 (30-day mean to 2026-10-15)

Strongest in Dec-Feb temperature: a positive AO tends to bring warmer conditions here, a negative AO the reverse (about 36% of year-to-year variation). Also Jun-Aug rainfall (positive AO: drier).

Polar Vortex / AO

Emissions & Energy

Showing UK-wide figures - East Anglia is part of the United Kingdom. Sub-national emissions and electricity-mix breakdowns are not yet published in a unified format.

Explore

Explore Climate Data

Data Sources

Data Sources for East Anglia

Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.

FAQs

FAQs

How is the climate in East Anglia changing?

East Anglia is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.

What is the climate like in East Anglia?

East Anglia has a temperate climate (Köppen Cfb: Oceanic / temperate), with distinct warm summers and cool-to-cold winters. July is typically the warmest month, averaging 18.1°C, while January is the coldest at 4.5°C. Annual precipitation averages around 622mm (about 20mm of it as snow), spread fairly evenly across the year.

Which climate drivers affect the weather in East Anglia?

Measured from seasonal temperature and rainfall in East Anglia since 1950, with the long-term warming trend removed (and ENSO's own share removed before scoring the other drivers), the climate drivers with a clear effect here are: the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) - strong, strongest in Jun-Aug rainfall, which a positive NAO tends to make drier here (a negative NAO the reverse), about 38% of year-to-year variation; the Arctic Oscillation (AO) - strong, strongest in Dec-Feb temperature, which a positive AO tends to make warmer here (a negative AO the reverse), about 36% of year-to-year variation. Their current state is shown in the Climate Drivers section of this page.

What extreme weather affects East Anglia?

In 2024, the latest complete year, the international disaster database EM-DAT recorded 2 weather and climate disasters across United Kingdom (EM-DAT records disasters by country), against an average of 2.4 a year in 2015-2024, with 578 deaths. Over those ten years the most frequent type was storms & cyclones (11 of 24) and the deadliest extreme temperature. GDACS, the UN and European Commission's disaster alert system, issued 0 Major (Red) and 0 Severe (Orange) alerts for East Anglia in the last 12 months. Live alerts are on this page and on the Extreme Weather tracker.

Where does the climate data for East Anglia come from?

Climate data for East Anglia comes from the UK Met Office HadUK-Grid (temperature, rainfall, sunshine, air frost), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.

What is the climate baseline used on this page?

Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.

Which areas does the East Anglia climate data cover?

The East Anglia climate profile covers Norwich, Cambridge, Ipswich, Peterborough and surrounding areas. East Anglia climate data across East Anglia and nearby eastern cities

How often is the East Anglia climate update refreshed?

The East Anglia climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.

What counts as a Heatwave Day on the East Anglia climate page?

Heatwave Days use the Warm Spell Duration Index (WSDI) - the WMO/ETCCDI-standard heatwave measure: days that are part of a run of 6 or more consecutive days above the local 90th-percentile temperature for that calendar day. The 90th-percentile threshold varies by time of year (a hot day in January is judged differently to one in July) but is fixed to the 1961-1990 baseline for every year shown - it does not shift as the climate warms, which is why Heatwave Days trend upward over time.

Does the East Anglia climate page include frost and snow data?

Yes. Frost Days (days with a minimum temperature below 0°C, World Bank CCKP) and snow water-equivalent (GPCC) are shown alongside temperature and precipitation, each measured against the 1961-1990 baseline where a like-for-like historical comparison is available.

What major climate events has East Anglia experienced?

Major climate events in East Anglia include The North Sea Flood of 1953; The 1976 UK drought; The Big Freeze of January 1987; Positive NAO phase dominates the 1990s; Negative NAO blocking cluster, 2009-2013; UK's post-2013 warmth acceleration; The UK's wettest February on record, 2020. The Climate History panel on this page lists 29 sourced events and pattern shifts relevant to East Anglia, the earliest from 1945 - 20 about East Anglia itself and the rest global context such as volcanic eruptions and El Niño events. Each entry carries its own sources and can be searched, filtered to local events or by category, and sorted by date; scrolling the list moves a cursor across the chart above so you can see where each event falls in the record.

Where does the Climate History list for East Anglia come from, and how is it checked?

It is a hand-reviewed register, not an automatic feed. Every entry is sourced, and each one records how it was verified - against this site's own data series, against a peer-reviewed paper, or against the public record of the event. 20 of the 29 entries here are written specifically about East Anglia, usually quoting its own ranking or measured figures. The rest give global or national context shared with wider pages. Where a figure is narrower than it first appears, or a famous claim does not hold locally, the entry says so.

Are nights warming faster than days in East Anglia?

The Long-Term Trends chart has a Day/Night toggle showing Day Highs and Night Lows anchored around the average trend, so they always bracket it rather than both drifting to one side. Across most of the world, nights warmed faster than days from the 1960s to the late 1980s (air pollution dimming daytime sun), and days have generally been catching back up since, as skies cleared. Toggle Day/Night on the chart above to see which pattern East Anglia follows.