East Anglia Climate – Sep 2026September 2026 Update
East Anglia has closed out its warmest July to September period on record, combined with its 2nd driest late-summer stretch in 127 years of weather monitoring…
City Coverage: Norwich, Cambridge, Ipswich, Peterborough, Colchester, and Chelmsford
Summary
East Anglia has closed out its warmest July to September period on record, combined with its 2nd driest late-summer stretch in 127 years of weather monitoring. The latest calendar month sustained this relentless warmth as the 3rd warmest September on record, worsening soil dryness and leaving agricultural regions under official drought status, with dry conditions expected to persist into late autumn.
This month in numbers
Mean temperature for September reached 17.2°C, running 3.2°C above the 1961-1990 baseline to rank 3rd highest since 1900. Nighttime cold was entirely absent with 0 frost days recorded, ranking 1st lowest. Rainfall totalled just 30.2 mm, which is 20.5 mm below average, while sunshine accumulated to 157.8 hours, exceeding typical totals by 14.1 hours.
What changed
Across the full July to September season, East Anglia registered its warmest period on record with an average temperature of 18.87°C, sitting 3.4°C above baseline. Total precipitation during these three months amounted to only 74.9 mm, ranking as the 2nd driest late summer on record alongside 717 hours of sunshine, which ranked 2nd highest. Globally, East Anglia ranked 14th out of 232 regions for three-month temperature anomaly, running notably warmer than the UK national anomaly of 2.3°C for the month.
What’s driving change?
Persistent high-pressure blocking and recurring prevented rain-bearing weather systems from reaching eastern England throughout late summer. The state of the North Atlantic Oscillation favoured dry, stable air over the region, while dynamics accelerated surface heating across East Anglia's low-lying agricultural terrain.
Looking ahead
Long-range seasonal forecasts indicate that settled, warmer than average conditions are favoured to persist into the coming months, extending hydrological pressure across regional reservoirs and farmlands.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
At a Glance
Temperature – Average
Long-Term Trends
Climate Insights – East Anglia
Precipitation, Sunshine, Frost and Snow are converted to standard deviations from their own average so they can share an axis with Temperature anomalies.
Climate History
29 of 29 events
Data: Met Office UK Regional Series © Crown copyright.
Heatwave Days – East Anglia
Warm Spell Duration Index (WSDI) - days in a 6+ day run above the local 90th-percentile temperature for that time of year.
Data: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal (ERA5-derived). Refreshed roughly 1-2x/year, ~7-8 months behind present.
Climate Map – UKUnited Kingdom
Source: Met Office UK Regional & National series (Tmean, Precipitation, Sunshine, Air Frost) © Crown copyright, plus GPCC (Snow, water-equivalent). Anomalies are vs the 1961–1990 baseline. See methodology.
Year-on-Year Trends
The 4byo Climate Helix – East Anglia
Data: Met Office UK Regional Series © Crown copyright.
Monthly Temperature – East Anglia
Background lines: the last 40 years.
Data: Met Office UK Regional Series © Crown copyright.
Records – East Anglia
Met Office UK Regional Series © Crown copyright - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean
Typical Climate – East Anglia
Köppen Cfb · TemperateEast Anglia has a temperate climate (Köppen Cfb: Oceanic / temperate), with distinct warm summers and cool-to-cold winters. July is typically the warmest month, averaging 18.1°C, while January is the coldest at 4.5°C. Annual precipitation averages around 622mm (about 20mm of it as snow), spread fairly evenly across the year.
Monthly climate normals (2016–2025) - bar colour and height show average temperature, the shaded area shows average monthly rain, with snow (water-equivalent) shown separately.
Data: Met Office UK Regional Series © Crown copyright.
Shifting Seasons
Warm / cold seasonsKöppen Cfb · TemperateHow spring and autumn have shifted in East Anglia. Spring is defined as the date monthly temperatures first rise above the long-term annual mean (9.3°C, from 1900–1929); autumn is the date they fall back below it. Temperature swings 12.5°C peak-to-peak across the year - a classic four-seasons rhythm.
Baseline vs recent monthly temperature climatology. Biggest warming: Jun (+2.3°C).
Data: Met Office UK Regional Series © Crown copyright.
Extreme Weather
Alerts & Disasters - East Anglia
Live GDACS alerts in East Anglia - Red (Major), Orange (Severe) or Green (Moderate) - and the long-term record of weather and climate disasters.
Live Alerts
Alerts, Last 12 Months
Major
0
None since 2021
Severe
0
None since 2021
Moderate
0
UK Weather Disasters in 2024 - Latest Complete Year
Disasters
2
2.4 a year, 2015-2024
Deaths
578
946 a year, 2015-2024
UK Weather Disasters, 2015-2024
Most Frequent
Storms & Cyclones
11 of 24 disasters
Deadliest
Extreme Temperature
9,435 of 9,457 deaths
Disasters: EM-DAT, CRED / UCLouvain, via Our World in Data - 10+ deaths, 100+ people affected, or a declared emergency or call for international help; EM-DAT records them by country, so these are UK-wide figures. Alerts: GDACS.
Climate Drivers
Climate Drivers - East Anglia
The natural climate patterns that measurably shape seasonal temperature or rainfall in East Anglia, from this site’s own data since 1950 - long-term trends removed, and ENSO’s share taken out before scoring the others, so each is credited only for what it adds.
Steers the North Atlantic storm track - Europe's winters especially.
Now: positive · +0.37 (30-day mean to 2026-10-15)
Strongest in Jun-Aug rainfall: a positive NAO tends to bring drier conditions here, a negative NAO the reverse (about 38% of year-to-year variation). Also Dec-Feb temperature (positive NAO: warmer).
NAO TrackerHow readily Arctic air spills south - tied to the polar vortex.
Now: positive · +1.11 (30-day mean to 2026-10-15)
Strongest in Dec-Feb temperature: a positive AO tends to bring warmer conditions here, a negative AO the reverse (about 36% of year-to-year variation). Also Jun-Aug rainfall (positive AO: drier).
Polar Vortex / AOEmissions & Energy
Explore
Explore Climate Data
Data Sources
Data Sources for East Anglia
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
UK Tmean / Tmax / Tmin, rainfall, rain-days, sunshine and air-frost series. © Crown copyright.
Warm Spell Duration Index: days in a 6+ day run above the local 90th-percentile temperature, ERA5-derived. World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
Monthly snow water-equivalent, Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (DWD).
Live and archived alerts for cyclones, floods, droughts and wildfires, graded Red (major), Orange (severe) or Green (moderate). UN OCHA and European Commission JRC.
Weather and climate disasters (10+ deaths, 100+ people affected, or a declared emergency or call for international help). CRED / UCLouvain, via Our World in Data.