Venezuela Climate
Top 5 Cities: Caracas, Maracaibo, Valencia, Barquisimeto, and Maracay
This month in numbers
Venezuela experienced its 17th warmest April on record in 2026, with an average temperature of 26.46°C, which is +0.8°C above the 1961–1990 baseline. Looking at the broader picture, the February–April 2026 period ranked as the 5th warmest on record for Venezuela, with an anomaly of +1.2°C. Globally, April 2026 was the 2nd warmest on record for land temperatures, with the February–April period also ranking as the 2nd warmest globally.
What changed
The past three months have seen Venezuela continue a trend of significantly warmer-than-average conditions, placing it among the top 5 warmest February-April periods in 86 years of records. This regional warming aligns with the broader global picture, as global land temperatures for both April and the February-April period also ranked as the 2nd warmest on record. Venezuela's average annual temperature in 2025 was 26.69°C, making it the warmest year on record since 1941.
What’s driving change?
The persistent warmth in Venezuela is influenced by the long-term trend of land warming faster than the ocean, a global phenomenon. Additionally, the current ENSO state is Neutral, but forecasts indicate an 82% probability of El Niño developing in May-July 2026, increasing to 98% by August-October 2026. El Niño typically brings warmer and drier conditions to the Amazon basin, which can exacerbate drought stress and increase the risk of wildfires. Venezuela has also experienced abnormal dryness in recent months. A single wildfire event was recorded in Venezuela between May 13 and May 21, 2026, representing 100% of the annual total for the past 12 months, which is an unusual concentration for the region.
Looking ahead
The strong forecast for El Niño in the coming months suggests a heightened likelihood of warmer and drier conditions for Venezuela, particularly in the Amazon basin, which could lead to increased drought stress and a higher risk of wildfires.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
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Data Sources
Data Sources for Venezuela
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Venezuela changing?
Venezuela is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The trend rate is shown as °C per decade in the headline panel; you can also see the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Venezuela come from?
Climate data for Venezuela comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Venezuela climate data cover?
The Venezuela climate profile covers Caracas, Maracaibo, Valencia, Barquisimeto and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Venezuela
How often is the Venezuela climate update refreshed?
The Venezuela climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.