4 Billion Years On

North Dakota Climate – June 2026 Update

Top 5 Cities: Fargo, Bismarck, Grand Forks, Minot, and West Fargo

This month in numbers

North Dakota experienced a June that was slightly warmer than average, with an average temperature of 17.72°C, an anomaly of +0.1°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. This ranked as the 37th warmest June in 77 years of records. Precipitation for June was 88.39 mm, which was +7.4 mm above the baseline, ranking 32nd wettest. Globally, June 2026 was the 3rd warmest June on record for land temperatures, with an anomaly of +1°C.

What changed

Looking at the broader picture, the April–June 2026 period saw an average temperature of 11.48°C, a -0.3°C anomaly, ranking 42nd coolest in 77 years. This three-month period was also notably drier, with precipitation at 49.61 mm, a -10.9 mm anomaly, making it the 60th driest on record. North Dakota was among the coolest regions globally for this three-month period, ranking 232nd out of 234 regions for its temperature anomaly. In contrast, global land temperatures for April–June 2026 ranked as the 2nd warmest on record, with an anomaly of +1°C.

What’s driving change?

North Dakota experienced significant severe weather events in early June, including confirmed tornadoes, severe thunderstorms with straight-line winds approaching 100 mph, and hail up to 3 inches in diameter. These storms caused an estimated $4.6 million in damage to electrical infrastructure, homes, farms, and businesses, leading Governor Kelly Armstrong to declare a statewide disaster. Additionally, the region has seen an unusual concentration of wildfires, with four events recorded in the past month, representing 100% of the annual total. This elevated fire risk is driven by a severe heat wave, critically low humidity, and increasingly dry conditions, which are rapidly curing fine fuels across the state.

Looking ahead

The climate outlook for North Dakota suggests a drier July, August, and September, with a potential shift to warmer-than-average conditions, influenced by the transition from El Niño to a likely La Niña phase.

Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources

At a Glance

Temperature – Average

North Dakota
United States
Global
Land + Ocean
Jun
+0.1°C· 37th
17.7°C
+1.2°C· 13th
21.5°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
16.6°C
Record
23.4°C (1988)
22.5°C (2021)
16.7°C (2024)
Apr–Jun
-0.3°C· 42nd
11.5°C
+1.3°C· 4th
16.9°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
15.8°C
Record
15.2°C (1988)
17.1°C (2012)
15.9°C (2024)
2025
+1.1°C· 20th
5.6°C
+1.5°C· 4th
12.6°C
+1.0°C· 3rd
15.0°C
Record
7.2°C (1987)
13.1°C (2024)
15.2°C (2024)
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean · Small figure: the actual value · Record = highest (or lowest) value on record

Climate Map – USA

Window

Source: NOAA Climate at a Glance — US states & climate regions (tavg, pcp). Anomalies are vs the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) or 1991–2020 (rainfall). See methodology.

Year-on-Year Trends

The 4byo Climate Helix – North Dakota

1950202619611990 baselineColdest (1950)20162025 meanWarmest (1987)2026 so far
2026Jun
WetDryJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec1950-792016-25Wet Start+5 days1950-792016-25Wet End+12 days-20°-15°-10°-5°10°15°20°
Temp
3.0°C
-1.5 vs base
Rainfall
179mm
-260 vs base
Playback
8×
Mode
Metric
Presets

Data: NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information. Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

North Dakota – Monthly Temperature – All Years

Metric
All years since 19871987 (warmest)2026 (current year)

Data: NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information. Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Records – North Dakota

Warmest year
1987
7.2°C
Coldest year
1950
1.6°C
2026 so far
#16/77
3.0°C

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean

Shifting Seasons

Warm/cold + wet/dryKöppen Dwb · Continental

North Dakota has both a clear warm/cold cycle (±18.0°C) and a wet/dry cycle (8× wet:dry ratio). Both sides of the annual rhythm are shown below.

Shifting summer
1 day shorter
Warm season
1950–1979 baseline: 15 Apr → 25 Oct · 194 days
2016–2025 now: 16 Apr → 26 Oct · 193 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Spr 2 days laterAut 1 day later
Shifting wet season
7 days longer
Wet season
1950–1979 baseline: 21 May → 29 Aug · 100 days
2016–2025 now: 26 May → 10 Sept · 107 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Onset 5 days laterEnd 12 days later
+4.2% annual rain
baseline yr·recent yr·ring = global temp anomaly
Wet-season onset
21 May26 May
5 days later
When 25% of annual rain has fallen
Wet-season end
29 Aug10 Sept
12 days later
When 75% of annual rain has fallen
Peak-rain month
JunJun
unchanged
Wet months: 66

Monthly rainfall climatology. A “wet month” exceeds the baseline monthly mean (dashed gold line). Biggest month-to-month shift: Oct (+14 mm, +60%).

Data: NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information. Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Rainfall & Precipitation

Rainfall & Rain Days – Totals

Rainfall / Precipitation
North Dakota
United States
Jun
+7 mm· 32nd
88 mm
+9 mm· 24th
82 mm
Record
178 mm (2005)
97 mm (1989)
Apr–Jun
-11 mm· 60th
50 mm
+5 mm· 29th
75 mm
Record
102 mm (1953)
98 mm (1957)
2025
+65 mm· 20th
504 mm
-27 mm· 55th
743 mm
Record
619 mm (2019)
887 mm (1973)
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean · Small figure: the actual value · Record = highest (or lowest) value on record

Emissions & Energy

Explore

Explore Climate Data

Data Sources

Data Sources for North Dakota

Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.

FAQs

FAQs

How is the climate in North Dakota changing?

North Dakota is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.

Where does the climate data for North Dakota come from?

Climate data for North Dakota comes from NOAA Climate at a Glance (temperature and precipitation), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.

What is the climate baseline used on this page?

Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.

Which areas does the North Dakota climate data cover?

The North Dakota climate profile covers Fargo, Bismarck, Grand Forks, Minot and surrounding areas. North Dakota climate data from NOAA Climate at a Glance

How often is the North Dakota climate update refreshed?

The North Dakota climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.