United Arab Emirates Climate – June 2026 Update
Top 5 Cities: Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Sharjah, Al Ain, and Ajman
This month in numbers
The United Arab Emirates experienced its warmest April–June period on record, with an average temperature of 33.02°C, an anomaly of +2.7°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. June 2026 itself saw an average temperature of 34.66°C, ranking as the 19th warmest June in 86 years of records. Globally, June 2026 was the 3rd warmest June on record for land temperatures, with an anomaly of +1°C.
What changed
The past three months (April–June 2026) in the UAE were exceptionally warm, marking the warmest such period in 86 years of records. This trend is significantly warmer than the national long-term warming trend of +2.00°C against the 1961–1990 baseline. The country's 1-month anomaly for June (+1.62°C) placed it 81st out of 234 regions globally, while its 3-month anomaly (+2.66°C) ranked 53rd. The broader Asia group, which includes the UAE, also experienced a warmer-than-average June, with a group mean anomaly of +1.57°C.
What’s driving change?
The intense heat experienced in the UAE is largely driven by the , as the region already sits close to the limits of human heat tolerance, and , where arid conditions prevent evaporative cooling. The country officially entered its traditional summer season, "Al Qayz," in early June, a period historically associated with extreme heat and dry conditions. Temperatures in some areas of the UAE reached nearly 50°C in June, with forecasts suggesting they could exceed 50°C in the coming weeks. The Arabian Peninsula has seen a perceived temperature rise of up to 4°C on its hottest days since the 1970s, exceeding increases in most global regions.
Looking ahead
The National Centre of Meteorology (NCM) has issued a seasonal climate outlook indicating a high statistical probability of El Niño conditions prevailing in the tropical Pacific, which could influence regional weather systems and contribute to prolonged periods of extreme heat and unpredictable weather patterns in the UAE in the coming months.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
At a Glance
Temperature – Average
Year-on-Year Trends
The 4byo Climate Helix – United Arab Emirates
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
United Arab Emirates – Monthly Temperature – All Years
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Records – United Arab Emirates
Our World in Data / NOAA - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean
Shifting Seasons
Warm/cold + wet/dryKöppen BWh · AridUnited Arab Emirates has both a clear warm/cold cycle (±8.9°C) and a wet/dry cycle (20× wet:dry ratio). Both sides of the annual rhythm are shown below.
Monthly rainfall climatology. A “wet month” exceeds the baseline monthly mean (dashed gold line). Biggest month-to-month shift: Feb (-2 mm, -10%).
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Rainfall & Precipitation
Rainfall & Rain Days – Totals
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean. Small figure: the actual value. Rank: position in the full record (1st = highest ever). Record: highest (or lowest) value on record with its year.
Emissions & Energy
Explore
Explore Climate Data
Data Sources
Data Sources for United Arab Emirates
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in United Arab Emirates changing?
United Arab Emirates is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for United Arab Emirates come from?
Climate data for United Arab Emirates comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the United Arab Emirates climate data cover?
The United Arab Emirates climate profile covers Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Sharjah, Al Ain and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for United Arab Emirates
How often is the United Arab Emirates climate update refreshed?
The United Arab Emirates climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.