Uganda Climate – June 2026 Update
Top 5 Cities: Kampala, Gulu, Lira, Mbarara, and Jinja
This month in numbers
Uganda experienced its 4th warmest June on record in 2026, with an average temperature of 23.43°C, marking an anomaly of +1.8°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. Globally, June 2026 was the 3rd warmest on record for land temperatures, with an anomaly of +1°C. The three-month period from April to June 2026 also ranked as the 6th warmest for Uganda, with an average temperature of 23.51°C, an anomaly of +1.5°C.
What changed
Uganda's warmer-than-average conditions in June 2026 continue a trend seen throughout the April-June season. The country's 1-month anomaly of +1.83°C places it 68th out of 234 regions globally for the latest month. This regional warming aligns with the broader African continent, which saw a group mean anomaly of +1.58°C for the same period. Uganda's current temperature anomaly is 0.25°C warmer than the African group average.
What’s driving change?
The persistent warmer temperatures in Uganda are significantly influenced by the ongoing weak El Niño event, with the NOAA ONI 3-month anomaly for April-June 2026 at +0.98°C. This El Niño is forecast to continue as the dominant phase through the end of 2026, with a 100% probability for the coming months. El Niño typically brings wetter conditions to East Africa during the "short rains" season (October-December), but it can also lead to disruptions in rainfall patterns during other periods. The Ministry of Water and Environment in Uganda has warned of generally drier-than-normal conditions and warmer temperatures across much of the country for the June to August 2026 season, particularly in central and western regions, which is consistent with the influence of El Niño tendencies on rainfall suppression during this period.
Looking ahead
The forecast for the coming months indicates that Uganda is likely to experience warmer-than-average temperatures and near-normal to below-normal rainfall through August 2026, with prolonged dry spells expected in central and western regions.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
At a Glance
Temperature – Average
Year-on-Year Trends
The 4byo Climate Helix – Uganda
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Uganda – Monthly Temperature – All Years
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Records – Uganda
Our World in Data / NOAA - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean
Shifting Seasons
Wet / dry seasonsKöppen Aw · TropicalUganda doesn't have a warm/cold cycle - its monthly temperature range is only 1.9°C across the year - but it does have a strong wet/dry cycle (the wettest month gets 4× as much rain as the driest). So we track how the wet season has shifted instead.
Monthly rainfall climatology. A “wet month” exceeds the baseline monthly mean (dashed gold line). Biggest month-to-month shift: Oct (+38 mm, +33%).
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Rainfall & Precipitation
Rainfall & Rain Days – Totals
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean. Small figure: the actual value. Rank: position in the full record (1st = highest ever). Record: highest (or lowest) value on record with its year.
Climate Systems
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Emissions & Energy
Explore
Explore Climate Data
Data Sources
Data Sources for Uganda
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Uganda changing?
Uganda is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Uganda come from?
Climate data for Uganda comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Uganda climate data cover?
The Uganda climate profile covers Kampala, Gulu, Lira, Mbarara and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Uganda
How often is the Uganda climate update refreshed?
The Uganda climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.