4 Billion Years On

Turkey Climate – July 2026 Update

Top 5 Cities: Istanbul, Ankara, Izmir, Bursa, and Antalya

Summary

Turkey experienced a warm month with temperatures climbing well above historic averages, accompanied by dangerous wildfire conditions across coastal provinces and sudden urban flash flooding in inland areas. Globally, it was the 3rd warmest July on record, while the May to July period marked the 2nd warmest three-month stretch in modern history, with unseasonable warmth expected to persist through late summer.

This month in numbers

Turkey recorded an average temperature of 23.21°C in July 2026, sitting 1.1°C above the 1961-1990 baseline to rank as the 25th warmest month of its kind in 87 years of records. Globally, land temperatures reached 15.8°C (+1.6°C anomaly), marking the 3rd warmest July on record. For the three-month period spanning May to July 2026, the global land temperature averaged 14.34°C (+1.5°C anomaly), registering as the 2nd warmest May-July stretch on record. In Turkey, the same three-month period averaged 18.96°C (+0.6°C anomaly), ranking 33rd on record.

What changed

Following a cooler spring where May dipped 0.9°C below average, summer heat arrived swiftly across Turkey, with June posting a 1.5°C anomaly before July settled at 1.1°C above baseline. Long-term climate data highlights a broader warming trend of +1.85°C for the country relative to the 1961-1990 baseline, with 2025 standing as the 5th warmest year on record at 12.89°C. Across the broader Asia region, where monthly temperatures averaged 1.57°C above baseline, Turkey ran 0.44°C cooler than the continental average.

What’s driving change?

The rapid heating across the region demonstrates how waters, while further intensifies summer heatwaves. Elevated temperatures, low humidity, and strong winds fueled widespread wildfires across western coastal provinces, while intense convective downpours caused severe flash flooding in Ankara during the month.

Looking ahead

Seasonal forecasts indicate that above-average temperatures are likely to linger across Turkey and the eastern Mediterranean through late summer and into early autumn.

Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources

At a Glance

Temperature – Average

Turkey
Global
Land + Ocean
Jul
+1.2°C· 25th
23.2°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
17.0°C
Record
25.2°C (2025)
17.0°C (2024)
May–Jul
+0.6°C· 33rd
19.0°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
16.5°C
Record
20.9°C (2024)
16.5°C (2024)
2025
+2.2°C· 5th
12.9°C
+1.0°C· 3rd
15.0°C
Record
13.3°C (2024)
15.2°C (2024)
Headline: anomaly vs your selected baseline (falls back to the 1961–1990 mean for a column without enough history for it) · Small figure: the actual value · Record = value on record for the ranking above

Climate Map – Global

Source: NOAA Climate at a Glance (countries & continents) · Met Office (UK) · US states & climate regions. Anomalies are vs the 1961–1990 baseline. See methodology.

Typical Climate – Turkey

Köppen Csa · Temperate

Turkey has a temperate climate (Köppen Csa: Mediterranean - hot summer), with both a warm/cold cycle and a wet/dry cycle through the year. August is typically the warmest month, averaging 24.3°C, while January is the coldest at 1.2°C. Annual precipitation averages around 561mm, concentrated mostly in the wet season.

Warmest month
Aug 24°C
Coldest month
Jan 1°C
Annual rainfall
519mm
Wettest month
Dec 78mm
Annual snowfall
42mmwater-equiv.
Snowiest month
Jan 17mm
RainSnow (water-equivalent)

Monthly climate normals (20162025) - bar colour and height show average temperature, the shaded area shows average monthly rain, with snow (water-equivalent) shown separately.

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Long-Term Trends

Combined TimelineTurkey

Right axis: everything else standardized to standard deviations (σ) from its own average, since mm/hours/days aren't directly comparable to °C or to each other.

MetricTemperature
10-Yr AverageActual Year

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Heatwave Days – Turkey

Warm Spell Duration Index (WSDI) - the WMO/ETCCDI heatwave measure: days in a 6+ day run above the local 90th-percentile temperature for that time of year.

Heatwave Days per Year2024 (Record)10-Yr Avg

Data: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal (ERA5-derived). Refreshed roughly 1-2x/year, ~7-8 months behind present.

Year-on-Year Trends

The 4byo Climate Helix – Turkey

1940202619611990 baselineColdest (1949)20162025 meanWarmest (2024)2026 so far
2026Jul
2024
WetDryJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec1891-19202016-25Wet Start+8 days1891-19202016-25Wet End+6 days-5°10°15°20°25°
Temp
11.0°C
+0.2 vs base
Precipitation
499mm
-92 vs base
Frost
days
Playback
8×
Mode
Presets

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Monthly TemperatureTurkey

All years since 19492024 (Warmest)1949 (Coldest)2026 (Current Year)

Background lines show the last 40 years (plus the record year and its opposite, wherever they fall).

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Records – Turkey

Latest data Jul 2026
Warmest year
2024
13.4°C
Coldest year
1949
9.1°C
2026 so far
#17/87
11.0°C

Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP) - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean

Shifting Seasons

Warm/cold + wet/dryKöppen Dsa · Continental

Turkey has both a clear warm/cold cycle (±11.6°C) and a wet/dry cycle (5× wet:dry ratio). Both sides of the annual rhythm are shown below.

Shifting summer
23 days Longer
Warm Season
1940–1969 Baseline: 26 Apr → 27 Oct · 184 days
2016–2025 Now: 10 Apr → 4 Nov · 207 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Spr 16 days EarlierAut 7 days Later
Shifting wet season
2 days Shorter
Wet Season
1891–1920 Baseline: 27 Nov → 8 Apr · 132 days
2016–2025 Now: 5 Dec → 14 Apr · 130 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Onset 8 days LaterEnd 6 days Later
-10.2% annual rain
baseline yr·recent yr·ring = global temp anomaly
Wet-season onset
27 Nov5 Dec
8 days Later
When 25% of annual rain has fallen
Wet-season end
8 Apr14 Apr
6 days Later
When 75% of annual rain has fallen
Peak-rain month
DecDec
unchanged
Wet months: 75

Monthly precipitation climatology. A “wet month” exceeds the baseline monthly mean (dashed gold line). Biggest month-to-month shift: Feb (-18 mm, -27%).

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Emissions & Energy

Explore

Explore Climate Data

Data Sources

Data Sources for Turkey

Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.

FAQs

FAQs

How is the climate in Turkey changing?

Turkey is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.

What is the climate like in Turkey?

Turkey has a temperate climate (Köppen Csa: Mediterranean - hot summer), with both a warm/cold cycle and a wet/dry cycle through the year. August is typically the warmest month, averaging 24.3°C, while January is the coldest at 1.2°C. Annual precipitation averages around 561mm, concentrated mostly in the wet season.

Where does the climate data for Turkey come from?

Climate data for Turkey comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.

What is the climate baseline used on this page?

Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.

Which areas does the Turkey climate data cover?

The Turkey climate profile covers Istanbul, Ankara, Izmir, Bursa and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Turkey

How often is the Turkey climate update refreshed?

The Turkey climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.

What counts as a Heatwave Day on the Turkey climate page?

Heatwave Days use the Warm Spell Duration Index (WSDI) - the WMO/ETCCDI-standard heatwave measure: days that are part of a run of 6 or more consecutive days above the local 90th-percentile temperature for that calendar day. The 90th-percentile threshold varies by time of year (a hot day in January is judged differently to one in July) but is fixed to the 1961-1990 baseline for every year shown - it does not shift as the climate warms, which is why Heatwave Days trend upward over time.

Does the Turkey climate page include frost and snow data?

Yes. Frost Days (days with a minimum temperature below 0°C, World Bank CCKP) and snow water-equivalent (GPCC) are shown alongside temperature and precipitation, each measured against the 1961-1990 baseline where a like-for-like historical comparison is available.