4 Billion Years On

Tunisia Climate – June 2026 Update

Top 5 Cities: Tunis, Sfax, Sousse, Ettadhamen, and Kairouan

This month in numbers

Tunisia experienced its 9th warmest June on record, with an average temperature of 28.52°C, a significant +3°C anomaly compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. This follows a trend of elevated temperatures, as the April–June 2026 period also ranked as the 9th warmest on record, with an anomaly of +2.3°C. Globally, June 2026 was the 3rd warmest on record for land temperatures, with an anomaly of +1°C, highlighting a widespread warming trend.

What changed

The past three months (April–June 2026) in Tunisia have been notably warmer, with an average temperature of 23.7°C, placing it as the 9th warmest such period in 86 years of records. This regional warming aligns with a broader global pattern, as global land temperatures for the same period ranked as the 2nd warmest on record. Tunisia's June anomaly of +3.02°C places it 33rd globally for the latest month's temperature anomaly, amidst a striking concentration of European and North African countries experiencing significant warmth.

What’s driving change?

The persistent warmth in Tunisia is largely influenced by the ongoing weak El Niño conditions, with the NOAA ONI 3-month anomaly for April–June 2026 at +0.98°C. El Niño typically brings warmer and drier conditions to the Mediterranean region during summer, amplifying heatwave and wildfire risks. Indeed, Tunisia has faced a significant number of fires, with 396 recorded since May 2026, damaging approximately 190 hectares of crops and forests. This comes after a period of prolonged drought, which the Tunisian government officially recognized as a natural calamity in several governorates in May 2026, with climate projections indicating a potential decline in rainfall by up to 25% in central and southern regions by 2100. The effect in populated areas may also contribute to locally higher temperatures.

Looking ahead

The NOAA CPC forecast indicates a 100% probability of El Niño conditions persisting through the end of 2026, suggesting a continued likelihood of warmer and drier conditions for Tunisia in the coming months, with an amplified risk of heatwaves and wildfires.

Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources

At a Glance

Temperature – Average

Tunisia
Global
Land + Ocean
Jun
+3.0°C· 9th
28.6°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
16.6°C
Record
30.5°C (2022)
16.7°C (2024)
Apr–Jun
+2.1°C· 11th
23.6°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
15.8°C
Record
24.6°C (1999)
15.9°C (2024)
2025
+2.1°C· 5th
21.1°C
+1.0°C· 3rd
15.0°C
Record
21.7°C (2024)
15.2°C (2024)
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean · Small figure: the actual value · Record = highest (or lowest) value on record

Year-on-Year Trends

The 4byo Climate Helix – Tunisia

1940202619611990 baselineColdest (1940)20162025 meanWarmest (2024)2026 so far
2026Jun
2024
WetDryJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec1901-302016-25Wet Start−15 days1901-302016-25Wet End+4 days10°15°20°25°30°35°
Temp
18.8°C
-0.2 vs base
Rainfall
mm
ENSO
ONI 3-mo mean
Playback
8×
Mode
Metric
Presets

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Tunisia – Monthly Temperature – All Years

Metric
All years since 19872024 (warmest)2026 (current year)

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Records – Tunisia

Warmest year
2024
21.7°C
Coldest year
1940
17.8°C
2026 so far
#6/87
18.8°C

Our World in Data / NOAA - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean

Shifting Seasons

Warm/cold + wet/dryKöppen BSh · Arid

Tunisia has both a clear warm/cold cycle (±9.7°C) and a wet/dry cycle (18× wet:dry ratio). Both sides of the annual rhythm are shown below.

Shifting summer
29 days longer
Warm season
1940–1969 baseline: 25 Apr → 23 Oct · 181 days
2016–2025 now: 10 Apr → 6 Nov · 210 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Spr 15 days earlierAut 14 days later
Shifting wet season
19 days longer
Wet season
1940–1969 baseline: 12 Nov → 13 Mar · 121 days
2016–2025 now: 28 Oct → 17 Mar · 140 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Onset 15 days earlierEnd 4 days later
-9.9% annual rain
baseline yr·recent yr·ring = global temp anomaly
Wet-season onset
12 Nov28 Oct
15 days earlier
When 25% of annual rain has fallen
Wet-season end
13 Mar17 Mar
4 days later
When 75% of annual rain has fallen
Peak-rain month
JanDec
+11 month
Wet months: 77

Monthly rainfall climatology. A “wet month” exceeds the baseline monthly mean (dashed gold line). Biggest month-to-month shift: Jan (-18 mm, -47%).

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Rainfall & Precipitation

Rainfall & Rain Days – Totals

Rainfall / Precipitation
Tunisia
n/a
n/a· n/a
Record
n/a
n/a
n/a· n/a
Record
n/a
2024
-71 mm· 73rd
152 mm
Record
376 mm (1976)

Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean. Small figure: the actual value. Rank: position in the full record (1st = highest ever). Record: highest (or lowest) value on record with its year.

Emissions & Energy

Explore

Explore Climate Data

Data Sources

Data Sources for Tunisia

Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.

FAQs

FAQs

How is the climate in Tunisia changing?

Tunisia is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.

Where does the climate data for Tunisia come from?

Climate data for Tunisia comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.

What is the climate baseline used on this page?

Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.

Which areas does the Tunisia climate data cover?

The Tunisia climate profile covers Tunis, Sfax, Sousse, Ettadhamen and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Tunisia

How often is the Tunisia climate update refreshed?

The Tunisia climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.