Texas Climate – June 2026 Update
Top 5 Cities: Houston, Dallas, Austin, San Antonio, and El Paso
This month in numbers
Texas experienced its 13th warmest June on record, with an average temperature of 27.94°C, an anomaly of +1.9°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. Globally, June 2026 ranked as the 3rd warmest June for land temperatures on record, with an anomaly of +1°C. The three-month period from April to June 2026 was the 6th warmest on record for Texas, averaging 23.89°C, which is +1.5°C above the baseline.
What changed
The recent three-month period (April–June 2026) in Texas saw significantly warmer temperatures, ranking 6th warmest on record. This trend aligns with a broader warming pattern, as the state's long-term average temperature is already +1.50°C above the 1961–1990 baseline. Texas's June anomaly of +1.86°C was also the warmest within the NOAA South US climate region group this month.
What’s driving change?
The ongoing weak El Niño, with a current anomaly of +0.98°C, is a significant factor influencing Texas's climate. While El Niño typically brings cooler and wetter winters to Texas, its summertime effects tend to favour marginally warmer and drier conditions in Central and South Texas. This is consistent with the observed warmer temperatures in June. Additionally, Texas experienced severe weather events throughout June, including scattered severe thunderstorms with hail and strong winds in West Texas around June 11th, and lightning-sparked fires in North Texas around June 19th. Flash flooding also impacted the Houston metro area on June 15th, leading Governor Greg Abbott to issue a disaster declaration for 101 Texas counties due to ongoing storms and flood risks. More information on extreme weather can be found at Extreme Weather tracker.
Looking ahead
The NOAA CPC forecast indicates a 100% probability of El Niño conditions persisting through the end of 2026 and into early spring 2027, which could bring wetter and colder seasons to Texas, particularly during winter.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
At a Glance
Temperature – Average
Climate Map – USA
Source: NOAA Climate at a Glance — US states & climate regions (tavg, pcp). Anomalies are vs the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) or 1991–2020 (rainfall). See methodology.
Year-on-Year Trends
The 4byo Climate Helix – Texas
Data: NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information. Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Texas – Monthly Temperature – All Years
Data: NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information. Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Records – Texas
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean
Shifting Seasons
Warm / cold seasonsKöppen Cfa · TemperateHow spring and autumn have shifted in Texas. Spring is defined as the date monthly temperatures first rise above the long-term annual mean (18.0°C, from 1950–1979); autumn is the date they fall back below it. Temperature swings 20.9°C peak-to-peak across the year - a classic four-seasons rhythm.
Baseline vs recent monthly temperature climatology. Biggest warming: Mar (+2.6°C).
Data: NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information. Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Rainfall & Precipitation
Rainfall & Rain Days – Totals
Climate Systems
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Emissions & Energy
Explore
Explore Climate Data
Data Sources
Data Sources for Texas
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Texas changing?
Texas is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Texas come from?
Climate data for Texas comes from NOAA Climate at a Glance (temperature and precipitation), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Texas climate data cover?
The Texas climate profile covers Houston, Dallas, Austin, San Antonio and surrounding areas. Wind energy giant, grid stress and extreme heat
How often is the Texas climate update refreshed?
The Texas climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.