Tajikistan Climate
Top 5 Cities: Dushanbe, Khujand, Kulob, Qurghonteppa, and Istaravshan
This month in numbers
Tajikistan experienced its 2nd warmest April on record, with an average temperature of 2.32°C, a significant 2.9°C above the 1961–1990 baseline. The three-month period from February to April 2026 also ranked as the 5th warmest on record, with an anomaly of +2.1°C. Globally, April 2026 was the 2nd warmest on record for land temperatures, and the February–April period was also the 2nd warmest globally.
What changed
The consistent warmth seen in April continues a trend for Tajikistan, which recorded its 4th warmest year on record in 2025. The long-term trend for the country shows a warming of +1.58°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. This warming trend in Central Asia is occurring twice as fast as the global average. Tajikistan is currently experiencing a drought event that began in October 2024 and is still active. This represents 100% of the drought events logged for Tajikistan over the past 12 months, indicating an unusual concentration.
What’s driving change?
The significant warming observed in Tajikistan is largely driven by the , as higher-latitude regions tend to warm faster than the tropics. Additionally, the region is experiencing , with mountains warming faster than lowlands due to retreating snow and a thinning, drying atmosphere above them. Intensive glacier melt in Tajikistan is a critical environmental issue driven by climate change, with glacier area decreasing by about 30% over the past 70–100 years. This glacier melt is projected to lead to water shortages in Tajikistan and neighboring countries. In mid-April, Tajikistan experienced heavy rains, dust storms, and a risk of mudslides, with local mudflows predicted in foothill and mountainous regions. Heavy rainfall also led to severe flooding and mudflows in Kulob City on May 1, resulting in fatalities, injuries, and significant damage. More information on active extreme weather events can be found at Extreme Weather tracker.
Looking ahead
Seasonal forecasts suggest warmer-than-usual conditions for Central Asia in the coming months, with some relief in the drought situation, although conditions remain severe.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
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Data Sources
Data Sources for Tajikistan
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Tajikistan changing?
Tajikistan is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The trend rate is shown as °C per decade in the headline panel; you can also see the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Tajikistan come from?
Climate data for Tajikistan comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Tajikistan climate data cover?
The Tajikistan climate profile covers Dushanbe, Khujand, Kulob, Qurghonteppa and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Tajikistan
How often is the Tajikistan climate update refreshed?
The Tajikistan climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.