Tajikistan Climate – June 2026 Update
Top 5 Cities: Dushanbe, Khujand, Kulob, Qurghonteppa, and Istaravshan
This month in numbers
Tajikistan experienced its warmest June on record, with an average temperature of 12.98°C, an anomaly of +4.5°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. This marks the 1st warmest June in 86 years of records. The April–June 2026 period also ranked as the warmest on record for Tajikistan, with an average temperature of 7.98°C, an anomaly of +4.1°C. Globally, June 2026 was the 3rd warmest on record for land temperatures, while the April–June period was the 2nd warmest.
What changed
Tajikistan's exceptionally warm June contributes to a significant warming trend over the past three months, placing the country 1st out of 234 regions for its 3-month temperature anomaly. This regional warming far outpaces the global land temperature anomaly for the same period. The country also ranked 9th globally for its single-month temperature anomaly in June, highlighting a widespread warming trend across several European and North African nations.
What’s driving change?
The pronounced warming in Tajikistan is consistent with the broader trend of , where mountainous regions experience accelerated temperature increases. The accelerated melting of glaciers in Tajikistan is a significant concern, threatening hydropower and water resources. Recent reports indicate that heavy rains could trigger mudslides in parts of the country due to rising temperatures, glacier melt, and increasing water levels in major rivers. Tajikistan is also prone to earthquakes, with a magnitude 4.7 earthquake striking on July 2, and a 4.0 magnitude earthquake on June 21.
Looking ahead
Warmer than normal conditions are expected across Tajikistan in the coming months, with the highest probabilities over the western parts of the country.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
At a Glance
Temperature – Average
Year-on-Year Trends
The 4byo Climate Helix – Tajikistan
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Tajikistan – Monthly Temperature – All Years
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Records – Tajikistan
Our World in Data / NOAA - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean
Shifting Seasons
Warm/cold + wet/dryKöppen Dsc · ContinentalTajikistan has both a clear warm/cold cycle (±13.4°C) and a wet/dry cycle (11× wet:dry ratio). Both sides of the annual rhythm are shown below.
Monthly rainfall climatology. A “wet month” exceeds the baseline monthly mean (dashed gold line). Biggest month-to-month shift: Mar (+19 mm, +22%).
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Rainfall & Precipitation
Rainfall & Rain Days – Totals
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean. Small figure: the actual value. Rank: position in the full record (1st = highest ever). Record: highest (or lowest) value on record with its year.
Emissions & Energy
Explore
Explore Climate Data
Data Sources
Data Sources for Tajikistan
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Tajikistan changing?
Tajikistan is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Tajikistan come from?
Climate data for Tajikistan comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Tajikistan climate data cover?
The Tajikistan climate profile covers Dushanbe, Khujand, Kulob, Qurghonteppa and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Tajikistan
How often is the Tajikistan climate update refreshed?
The Tajikistan climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.