4 Billion Years On

Sri Lanka Climate – June 2026 Update

Top 5 Cities: Colombo, Kandy, Galle, Jaffna, and Negombo

This month in numbers

Sri Lanka experienced its 10th warmest June on record in 2026, with an average temperature of 28.22°C, marking an anomaly of +0.8°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. Globally, June 2026 was the 3rd warmest June for land temperatures on record, with an anomaly of +1°C. The three-month period from April to June 2026 also ranked as the 16th warmest on record for Sri Lanka, at 27.91°C, an anomaly of +0.6°C.

What changed

The recent three-month period (April–June 2026) saw Sri Lanka's temperature anomaly at +0.6°C, placing it 214th out of 234 regions globally for this period. This is cooler than the overall Asia group average anomaly of +1.60°C for the same period. The country's average temperature for 2025 was 27.27°C, making it the warmest year on record since 1941.

What’s driving change?

The current weak El Niño conditions, with a weekly Niño 3.4 SST anomaly of +1.8°C as of July 1, 2026, are a significant factor. El Niño typically brings warmer and drier conditions to India and Sri Lanka during the June-September monsoon season, often leading to a weaker southwest monsoon. While the southwest monsoon was active in June, El Niño's influence is expected to gradually reduce rainfall from July, particularly by August, and may persist for 9 to 12 months. This could lead to reduced inflows to reservoirs, impacting hydroelectric power generation and agricultural sectors like tea, coconut, and rice cultivation. Sri Lanka has also been grappling with the aftermath of Cyclone Ditwah, which struck in November 2025, causing widespread flooding and landslides and affecting over 2.2 million people, with recovery efforts continuing through May 2026. The country also experienced significant drowning deaths in the first five months of 2026, linked to faster river currents during the monsoon season and changes in river profiles.

Looking ahead

El Niño conditions are forecast to persist through at least the end of 2026, with a 100% probability of El Niño continuing through October-December 2026, suggesting continued warmer and potentially drier conditions in the coming months, particularly for the southwest monsoon season.

Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources

At a Glance

Temperature – Average

Sri Lanka
Global
Land + Ocean
Jun
+0.7°C· 16th
28.1°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
16.6°C
Record
28.6°C (2019)
16.7°C (2024)
Apr–Jun
+0.6°C· 14th
28.0°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
15.8°C
Record
28.7°C (1983)
15.9°C (2024)
2025
+0.8°C· 6th
26.9°C
+1.0°C· 3rd
15.0°C
Record
27.3°C (2024)
15.2°C (2024)
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean · Small figure: the actual value · Record = highest (or lowest) value on record

Year-on-Year Trends

The 4byo Climate Helix – Sri Lanka

1940202619611990 baselineColdest (1942)20162025 meanWarmest (2024)2026 so far
2026Jun
2024
WetDryJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecWet Start−1 days1901-302016-25Wet End+3 days24°26°28°
Temp
26.8°C
+0.6 vs base
Rainfall
mm
ENSO
ONI 3-mo mean
Playback
8×
Mode
Metric
Presets

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Sri Lanka – Monthly Temperature – All Years

Metric
All years since 19872024 (warmest)2026 (current year)

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Records – Sri Lanka

Warmest year
2024
27.3°C
Coldest year
1942
25.0°C
2026 so far
#14/87
26.8°C

Our World in Data / NOAA - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean

Shifting Seasons

Wet / dry seasonsKöppen Af · Tropical

Sri Lanka doesn't have a warm/cold cycle - its monthly temperature range is only 3.1°C across the year - but it does have a strong wet/dry cycle (the wettest month gets 5× as much rain as the driest). So we track how the wet season has shifted instead.

Shifting wet season
5 days longer
Wet season
1940–1969 baseline: 30 Oct → 29 Mar · 150 days
2016–2025 now: 29 Oct → 2 Apr · 155 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Onset 1 day earlierEnd 3 days later
+8.8% annual rain
baseline yr·recent yr·ring = global temp anomaly
Wet-season onset
30 Oct29 Oct
1 day earlier
When 25% of annual rain has fallen
Wet-season end
29 Mar2 Apr
3 days later
When 75% of annual rain has fallen
Peak-rain month
NovNov
unchanged
Wet months: 45

Monthly rainfall climatology. A “wet month” exceeds the baseline monthly mean (dashed gold line). Biggest month-to-month shift: May (+52 mm, +42%).

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Rainfall & Precipitation

Rainfall & Rain Days – Totals

Rainfall / Precipitation
Sri Lanka
n/a
n/a· n/a
Record
n/a
n/a
n/a· n/a
Record
n/a
2024
+345 mm· 10th
1980 mm
Record
2325 mm (2023)

Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean. Small figure: the actual value. Rank: position in the full record (1st = highest ever). Record: highest (or lowest) value on record with its year.

Climate Systems

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Emissions & Energy

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Explore Climate Data

Data Sources

Data Sources for Sri Lanka

Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.

FAQs

FAQs

How is the climate in Sri Lanka changing?

Sri Lanka is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.

Where does the climate data for Sri Lanka come from?

Climate data for Sri Lanka comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.

What is the climate baseline used on this page?

Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.

Which areas does the Sri Lanka climate data cover?

The Sri Lanka climate profile covers Colombo, Kandy, Galle, Jaffna and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Sri Lanka

How often is the Sri Lanka climate update refreshed?

The Sri Lanka climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.