Serbia Climate
Top 5 Cities: Belgrade, Novi Sad, Niš, Kragujevac, and Subotica
This month in numbers
Serbia experienced a significantly warmer April, with an average temperature of 12.08°C, marking an anomaly of +1.4°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. This ranked as the 16th warmest April in 86 years of records. Globally, April 2026 was the 2nd warmest April on record for land temperatures, with an anomaly of +1.1°C. The three-month period from February to April 2026 also saw a substantial warming trend in Serbia, with an average temperature of 7.49°C, an anomaly of +1.9°C, ranking as the 15th warmest such period on record.
What changed
The past three months (February–April 2026) in Serbia were notably warmer, continuing a trend of rising temperatures. This regional warming aligns with the broader global picture, as global land temperatures for the same three-month period ranked as the 2nd warmest on record. Serbia's 12-month rolling anomaly of +2.30°C places it 42nd out of 234 regions globally, indicating a sustained warming trend. In March 2026, Serbia experienced both warm and extremely dry conditions for most of the month, followed by heavy precipitation at the end of the month. March 2026 was the 9th warmest for Banatski Karlovac and 10th warmest for Novi Sad and Kikinda since records began. It was also the 5th wettest March for Loznica and Novi Sad, and 9th wettest for Banatski Karlovac, due to heavy rainfall at the end of the month.
What’s driving change?
The persistent warming in Serbia is influenced by the broader , as higher-latitude regions tend to warm faster than the tropics. The current ENSO state is Neutral, with an anomaly of +0.11°C for February-April 2026. However, forecasts indicate a strong likelihood of an El Niño developing in the coming months, with a 61% chance for May-July and a 79% chance for June-August, potentially bringing warmer and drier conditions to the region. Serbia has also been impacted by extreme weather events, including significant flooding in mid-May 2014, caused by some of the heaviest rainfall on record, leading to unprecedented water levels in many rivers. More recently, in April 2026, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) approved a loan to support the construction of a multipurpose dam in western Serbia to enhance flood protection and climate resilience in the Kolubara River basin, which has been repeatedly affected by extreme weather.
Looking ahead
Seasonal forecasts suggest that May and June 2026 are expected to be warmer than average, with May also anticipated to be averagely wet, and June warmer, unsettled, and averagely wet.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
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Data Sources
Data Sources for Serbia
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) — see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Serbia changing?
Serbia is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The trend rate is shown as °C per decade in the headline panel; you can also see the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Serbia come from?
Climate data for Serbia comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Serbia climate data cover?
The Serbia climate profile covers Belgrade, Novi Sad, Niš, Kragujevac and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Serbia
How often is the Serbia climate update refreshed?
The Serbia climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.