4 Billion Years On

Romania – Sep 2026

Romania experienced an exceptionally warm late summer, capped by a July to September stretch that ranked as its 9th warmest on record…

Top 5 Cities: Bucharest, Cluj-Napoca, Timișoara, Iași, and Constanța

Summary

Romania experienced an exceptionally warm late summer, capped by a July to September stretch that ranked as its 9th warmest on record. While September temperatures eased slightly compared to midsummer heat, persistent warmth across Eastern Europe continued to strain regional water supplies and river levels. The unseasonable conditions unfolded against a backdrop of near-record global land warmth, with temperatures expected to gradually moderate as autumn progresses.

This month in numbers

Romania's average temperature for July to September 2026 reached 20.17°C, standing 2.2°C above the 1961–1990 baseline and making it the 9th warmest late-summer period in 87 years of records. In September 2026, the national mean temperature reached 16.98°C, an anomaly of +1.6°C above average, placing the month 21st warmest on record since 1940. On the global scale, land temperatures reached 13.63°C (+1.9°C anomaly), marking the 2nd warmest September on record, while the global three-month land mean of 15.04°C (+1.8°C anomaly) ranked as the 3rd warmest ever recorded.

What changed

Romania's long-term warming trend stands at +1.93°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline, reflecting a steady upward trajectory in line with the broader European continent. Over the last three months, Romania's temperature anomaly of +2.23°C placed it 74th out of 232 regions globally, running somewhat cooler than the European group mean of +2.45°C. In September, Romania recorded an anomaly 0.59°C lower than the European continent average of +2.20°C. The recent warm stretch follows Romania's 5th warmest calendar year on record in 2025, which registered an average temperature of 11.04°C.

What’s driving change?

The elevated temperatures across Romania and Southeastern Europe stem from a combination of persistent and that trapped hot, dry air over the continent throughout late summer. Because , inland European regions experience amplified thermal stress during these prolonged atmospheric blockings. Furthermore, a positive Arctic Oscillation phase has contributed to dry conditions across Eastern Europe, lowering river levels along the Danube and increasing hydrological pressure throughout the basin.

Looking ahead

Seasonal forecasting models indicate a transition toward more typical autumn rainfall patterns across Southeastern Europe, though temperatures are expected to remain slightly above long-term seasonal averages over the coming months.

Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources

At a Glance

Temperature – Average

Romania
Global
Land + Ocean
Sep
+1.5°C· 21st
17.0°C
+1.2°C· 2nd
16.3°C
Record
19.5°C (1946)
16.4°C (2023)
Jul–Sep
+1.8°C· 9th
20.2°C
+1.1°C· 1st
16.7°C
Record
22.3°C (1946)
16.7°C (2026)
2025
+2.0°C· 5th
11.0°C
+1.0°C· 3rd
15.0°C
Record
12.1°C (2024)
15.2°C (2024)
Headline: anomaly vs your baseline (1961–1990 where the record is too short) · small figure: actual value · Record: the record for the ranking above

Climate Insights – Romania

Precipitation, Sunshine, Frost and Snow are converted to standard deviations from their own average so they can share an axis with Temperature anomalies.

Temperature
10-Yr AverageActual Year

Climate History

1912Volcanic

Novarupta (Katmai) eruption

The largest volcanic eruption anywhere in the world in the 20th century - 13 km3 of magma, about thirty times the 1980 Mount St. Helens eruption - at Novarupta in Alaska on 6-8 June 1912. Ash reached 100,000 ft and cooled the Northern Hemisphere by roughly 0.3°C over 1912-13. Unlike a tropical eruption such as Pinatubo, a high-latitude eruption's haze stays in its own hemisphere, so it did little to the Southern Hemisphere.

Smithsonian Global Volcanism Program, Alaska Volcano Observatory, National Park Service, Oman et al. 2005

1945Industrial Aerosol

Post-WWII industrial expansion begins

After the Second World War, coal and oil use grew rapidly across Europe, North America and the Soviet Union. Global sulphur dioxide emissions rose from about 30 to about 130 million tonnes a year by 1980, and the sulphate haze they formed masked part of the greenhouse warming underneath - the effect known as 'global dimming'.

Klimont et al. 2013

1956Other

The European cold wave of February 1956

1956 is Romania's coldest year in this site's 1950-2025 record. Much of that came from February, one of the coldest months on record across Europe, when a long-lasting blocking high steered polar air in for weeks and the Danube froze.

Wikipedia, The 1956 cold wave in Western Europe…

1958GHG Milestone

Keeling Curve begins

Charles David Keeling begins continuous measurements of atmospheric CO₂ at Mauna Loa Observatory in Hawaii, starting at about 315 ppm. The record has risen every year since and is now the longest unbroken direct measurement of CO₂ anywhere - the 'Keeling Curve'.

NOAA GMLGreenhouse Gases

1963Volcanic

Agung eruption

Agung's eruption in Bali put a veil of sulphate haze into the stratosphere that cooled global temperature by about 0.3°C over 1963-66.

Smithsonian Global Volcanism Program, NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory

1977Ocean Oscillation

Pacific Decadal Oscillation flips to a warm phase

The Pacific Decadal Oscillation - a slow natural cycle in North Pacific sea temperatures - switches from its cool to its warm phase in 1976-77. The change was abrupt enough to be called the 1976-77 Pacific Climate Shift: it warmed Alaska and the west coast of North America, and reorganised North Pacific fisheries.

Learn more →

1979Industrial Aerosol

Global SO2 emissions peak

Global sulphur dioxide emissions peak at about 130 million tonnes a year, then begin a long decline as Europe, North America and Japan clean up their air. As the aerosol mask thins, the rate of global warming picks up through the 1980s.

Klimont et al. 2013

1982Volcanic

El Chichón eruption

A sulphur-rich eruption in Mexico whose aerosol cloud stayed in the stratosphere for more than two years, cooling the Northern Hemisphere by about 0.2°C.

Smithsonian Global Volcanism Program

1982-83ENSO

1982-83 El Niño

The strongest El Niño since 1950 on NOAA's Relative Oceanic Niño Index, which strips out the background warming of the tropical oceans before ranking events. On the older index that leaves that warming in, 2015-16 comes out on top instead.

ONI +2.1°C · RONI +2.4°C

NOAA CPC, NOAA CPC (2)ENSO Tracker

1985Other

The Antarctic ozone hole is discovered

British Antarctic Survey scientists Joe Farman, Brian Gardiner and Jon Shanklin publish their Halley and Faraday measurements on 16 May 1985, showing October ozone over Antarctica had fallen to about two-thirds of earlier decades. The cause is traced to chlorofluorocarbons, and the finding triggers the fastest international environmental response on record.

Nature, UKRI

1987Other

The Montreal Protocol

Signed in 1987 to phase out ozone-depleting chlorofluorocarbons, the Montreal Protocol turned out to be one of the most consequential climate treaties ever agreed. CFCs are potent greenhouse gases in their own right, and NOAA estimates the Protocol prevented up to 2°C of warming by 2100 - around 1°C from the emissions avoided, and up to 1°C more by sparing forests and other carbon sinks from increased ultraviolet radiation.

NOAA, Wikipedia

1988GHG Milestone

CO₂ crosses 350 ppm

Atmospheric CO₂ passes 350 ppm. In the same year James Hansen told a US Senate committee that global warming was already detectable, the moment it entered mainstream politics. Twenty years later, in 2008, Hansen proposed 350 ppm as the safe upper limit - a level the world had already left behind.

NOAA GMLGreenhouse Gases

1990Pattern Shift

Daytime warming catches up with the night-led pattern

Across 1961-90, 81% of the world's land saw nights warming faster than days. Across 1991-2020 the pattern reversed: 70% saw days warming faster, as the industrial haze that had been dimming daytime sunshine was cleaned up. The study compares two fixed thirty-year windows; measured as a turning point, this site's own global series turns around 1982.

Zhong et al. 2023

1991-93Volcanic

Mount Pinatubo erupts

Pinatubo's cooling does not show in Romania's own record: 1992, the year after the June 1991 eruption, was an unremarkable year there, 38th-coldest of 76. A single large eruption can hold temperatures down for two or three years; it cannot reverse the trend.

Learn more →

1994Heatwave

The central European heat of 1994

1994 is Romania's 10th-warmest year in this site's 1950-2025 record. From late June to early August 1994 a blocking high brought one of the hottest spells central Europe had known; in Austria 1994 was then the warmest year in a record going back to 1775.

NOAA CPC

1995Ocean Oscillation

Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation flips to a warm phase

The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation - a slow natural cycle in North Atlantic sea temperatures, roughly 60-70 years long - flips to its warm phase in 1995. Warm phases are linked to more active Atlantic hurricane seasons, wetter summers in parts of north-west Europe and more frequent drought in the central and western United States.

Learn more →

1997-98ENSO

1997-98 El Niño

One of the strongest El Niños on record, and the one the textbook El Niño pattern is usually drawn from. It pushed 1998 to what was then the warmest year ever measured, and set off the first global-scale coral bleaching event.

ONI +2.4°C · RONI +2.3°C

NOAA CPC, NOAA NCEIENSO Tracker

1999Ocean Oscillation

Pacific Decadal Oscillation flips back to a cool phase

The Pacific Decadal Oscillation - a slow natural cycle in North Pacific sea temperatures - flips back to its cool phase around 1998-99. The cool phase that followed is one reason global surface warming appeared to slow in the 2000s, as more heat went into the deep Pacific.

Learn more →

2007Heatwave

The south-east European heatwaves of 2007

2007 is Romania's 7th-warmest year in this site's 1950-2025 record. Two heatwaves in June and July 2007 set records across south-east Europe - 47.5°C near Athens - and more than 500 deaths in Hungary were attributed to the heat.

Wikipedia

2010Pattern Shift

Global heatwave days sharply accelerate

Romania's own heatwave days - days in warm spells well above the local norm - rose from a 1961-90 average of 3.3 a year to 19.6 in 2016-25 - 6 times as many. Worldwide, heatwave days have roughly doubled each decade since 2010, as the whole temperature distribution has shifted upwards.

Learn more →Heatwave Days

2013GHG Milestone

CO₂ crosses 400 ppm

Atmospheric CO₂ passes 400 ppm at Mauna Loa on 9 May 2013 - a level the planet had not seen for 3-5 million years, since the Pliocene, when sea levels were many metres higher.

NOAA GMLGreenhouse Gases

2015-16ENSO

2015-16 El Niño

The strongest El Niño on record by raw ONI - though on NOAA's newer RONI index, which strips out background tropical-ocean warming, 1982-83 ranks slightly ahead instead. 2016 became the hottest year on record at that time (+1.0°C above pre-industrial).

ONI +2.6°C · RONI +2.3°C

NOAA CPCENSO Tracker

2015-25Pattern Shift

2015-2025: the eleven warmest years on record

Globally, the eleven warmest years on record have all happened since 2015. Romania follows it closely: eight of its own eleven warmest fall in that span, with 2014, 2007 and 1994 outside. Its warmest year is 2024.

Learn more →

2020GHG Milestone

COVID-19 lockdowns - CO₂ emissions dip

Global fossil CO₂ emissions fell about 5.8% in 2020, from 37.0 to 34.8 billion tonnes, yet atmospheric CO₂ still rose 2.5 ppm - the dip barely registers in the atmospheric record. Emissions were back to pre-pandemic levels by 2022.

Le Quéré et al. 2020

2020Industrial Aerosol

Low-sulphur shipping fuel rule (IMO 2020)

New international shipping rules cut the sulphur allowed in ship fuel from 3.5% to 0.5% almost overnight, removing about 8 million tonnes of sulphur dioxide a year. With less sulphate haze over the oceans, it may have added around 0.1°C of warming by 2023-24.

Gettelman et al. 2024

2023-24ENSO

2023-24 El Niño

A strong El Niño arriving on top of long-term greenhouse warming, with the cut in shipping sulphur from the 2020 fuel rule adding a little more. Together they produced the record global temperatures of 2023 and 2024.

ONI +2.0°C · RONI +1.4°C

NOAA CPCENSO Tracker

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Heatwave Days – Romania

Warm Spell Duration Index (WSDI) - days in a 6+ day run above the local 90th-percentile temperature for that time of year.

Heatwave days per year2024 (Record)10-yr avg

Data: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal (ERA5-derived). Refreshed roughly 1-2x/year, ~7-8 months behind present.

Climate Map – Global

Source: Copernicus ERA5 (countries) · NOAA Climate at a Glance (continents, US states & climate regions) · Met Office (UK) · GPCC (rainfall, snow) · World Bank CCKP (frost). Anomalies are vs the 1961–1990 baseline. See methodology.

Year-on-Year Trends

The 4byo Climate Helix – Romania

1940→20261961–1990 baselineColdest (1940)2016–2025 meanWarmest (2024)2026 so far
2026Sep
WinterSpringSummerAutumnJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec1940-692016-25Spr Start−9 days1940-692016-25Aut End+7 days-10°-5°0°5°10°15°20°25°
Temp
12.4°C
+3.4 vs base
Precipitation
373mm
-263 vs base
Frost
—
Playback
8×

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Monthly Temperature – Romania

All years since 19402024 (Warmest)1940 (Coldest)2026 (Current Year)

Background lines: the last 40 years.

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Records – Romania

Latest data Sep 2026
Warmest year
2024
12.1°C
Coldest year
1940
6.9°C
2026 so far
#11/87
12.4°C

Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP) - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean

Typical Climate – Romania

Köppen Dfb · Continental

Romania has a continental climate (Köppen Dfb: Humid continental - warm summer), with both a warm/cold cycle and a wet/dry cycle through the year. August is typically the warmest month, averaging 21.9°C, while January is the coldest at -0.6°C. Annual precipitation averages around 650mm (about 63mm of it as snow), concentrated mostly in the wet season.

Warmest month
Aug 22°C
Coldest month
Jan -1°C
Annual rainfall
587mm
Wettest month
Jun 90mm
Annual snowfall
63mmwater-equiv.
Snowiest month
Jan 20mm
RainSnow (water-equivalent)

Monthly climate normals (2016–2025) - bar colour and height show average temperature, the shaded area shows average monthly rain, with snow (water-equivalent) shown separately.

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Shifting Seasons

Warm/cold + wet/dryKöppen Dfb · Continental

Romania has both a clear warm/cold cycle (±12.3°C) and a wet/dry cycle (3× wet:dry ratio). Both sides of the annual rhythm are shown below.

Shifting summer
16 days Longer
Warm Season
1940–1969 Baseline: 15 Apr → 21 Oct · 189 days
2016–2025 Now: 6 Apr → 28 Oct · 205 days
−9d
+7d
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Spr 9 days EarlierAut 7 days Later
Shifting wet season
14 days Longer
Wet Season
1891–1920 Baseline: 17 May → 2 Oct · 137 days
2016–2025 Now: 17 May → 15 Oct · 151 days
0d
+13d
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Onset 1 day EarlierEnd 13 days Later
+1.0% annual rain
baseline avgrecent avgClick a marker for each decade
Wet-season onset
17 May→17 May
1 day Earlier
When 25% of annual rain has fallen
Wet-season end
2 Oct→15 Oct
13 days Later
When 75% of annual rain has fallen
Peak-rain month
Jun→Jun
unchanged
Wet months: 4 → 3
1891–19202016–2025Wet-month threshold (54 mm)

Monthly precipitation climatology. A “wet month” exceeds the baseline monthly mean (dashed gold line). Biggest month-to-month shift: Aug (-12 mm, -20%).

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Extreme Weather

Alerts & Disasters - Romania

Live GDACS alerts in Romania - Red (Major), Orange (Severe) or Green (Moderate) - and the long-term record of weather and climate disasters.

Live Alerts

Loading…

Alerts, Last 12 Months

Major

0

None since 2021

Severe

1

0.3 a year since 2021

Moderate

8

Weather Disasters in 2024 - Latest Complete Year

Disasters

2

1.6 a year, 2015-2024

Deaths

4,950

1,002 a year, 2015-2024

Weather Disasters, 2015-2024

Most Frequent

Flood

8 of 16 disasters

Deadliest

Extreme Temperature

9,985 of 10,015 deaths

Disasters: EM-DAT, CRED / UCLouvain, via Our World in Data - 10+ deaths, 100+ people affected, or a declared emergency or call for international help. Alerts: GDACS.

Climate Drivers

Climate Drivers - Romania

The natural climate patterns that measurably shape seasonal temperature or rainfall in Romania, from this site’s own data since 1950 - long-term trends removed, and ENSO’s share taken out before scoring the others, so each is credited only for what it adds.

Arctic Oscillation (AO)strong link

How readily Arctic air spills south - tied to the polar vortex.

Now: positive · +1.11 (30-day mean to 2026-10-15)

Strongest in Dec-Feb rainfall: a positive AO tends to bring drier conditions here, a negative AO the reverse (about 38% of year-to-year variation). Also Mar-May rainfall (positive AO: drier).

Polar Vortex / AO
North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO)moderate link

Steers the North Atlantic storm track - Europe's winters especially.

Now: positive · +0.37 (30-day mean to 2026-10-15)

Strongest in Jan-Mar rainfall: a positive NAO tends to bring drier conditions here, a negative NAO the reverse (about 25% of year-to-year variation).

NAO Tracker

Emissions & Energy

Explore

Explore Climate Data

Data Sources

Data Sources for Romania

Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.

FAQs

FAQs

How is the climate in Romania changing?

Romania is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.

What is the climate like in Romania?

Romania has a continental climate (Köppen Dfb: Humid continental - warm summer), with both a warm/cold cycle and a wet/dry cycle through the year. August is typically the warmest month, averaging 21.9°C, while January is the coldest at -0.6°C. Annual precipitation averages around 650mm (about 63mm of it as snow), concentrated mostly in the wet season.

Which climate drivers affect the weather in Romania?

Measured from seasonal temperature and rainfall in Romania since 1950, with the long-term warming trend removed (and ENSO's own share removed before scoring the other drivers), the climate drivers with a clear effect here are: the Arctic Oscillation (AO) - strong, strongest in Dec-Feb rainfall, which a positive AO tends to make drier here (a negative AO the reverse), about 38% of year-to-year variation; the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) - moderate, strongest in Jan-Mar rainfall, which a positive NAO tends to make drier here (a negative NAO the reverse), about 25% of year-to-year variation. Their current state is shown in the Climate Drivers section of this page.

What extreme weather affects Romania?

In 2024, the latest complete year, the international disaster database EM-DAT recorded 2 weather and climate disasters in Romania, against an average of 1.6 a year in 2015-2024, with 4,950 deaths. Over those ten years the most frequent type was flood (8 of 16) and the deadliest extreme temperature. GDACS, the UN and European Commission's disaster alert system, issued 0 Major (Red) and 1 Severe (Orange) alerts for Romania in the last 12 months. Live alerts are on this page and on the Extreme Weather tracker.

Where does the climate data for Romania come from?

Climate data for Romania comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.

What is the climate baseline used on this page?

Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.

Which areas does the Romania climate data cover?

The Romania climate profile covers Bucharest, Cluj-Napoca, Timișoara, Iași and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Romania

How often is the Romania climate update refreshed?

The Romania climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.

What counts as a Heatwave Day on the Romania climate page?

Heatwave Days use the Warm Spell Duration Index (WSDI) - the WMO/ETCCDI-standard heatwave measure: days that are part of a run of 6 or more consecutive days above the local 90th-percentile temperature for that calendar day. The 90th-percentile threshold varies by time of year (a hot day in January is judged differently to one in July) but is fixed to the 1961-1990 baseline for every year shown - it does not shift as the climate warms, which is why Heatwave Days trend upward over time.

Does the Romania climate page include frost and snow data?

Yes. Frost Days (days with a minimum temperature below 0°C, World Bank CCKP) and snow water-equivalent (GPCC) are shown alongside temperature and precipitation, each measured against the 1961-1990 baseline where a like-for-like historical comparison is available.

What major climate events has Romania experienced?

Major climate events in Romania include The European cold wave of February 1956; The central European heat of 1994; The south-east European heatwaves of 2007. The Climate History panel on this page lists 26 sourced events and pattern shifts relevant to Romania, the earliest from 1912 - 3 about Romania itself and the rest global context such as volcanic eruptions and El Niño events. Each entry carries its own sources and can be searched, filtered to local events or by category, and sorted by date; scrolling the list moves a cursor across the chart above so you can see where each event falls in the record.

Where does the Climate History list for Romania come from, and how is it checked?

It is a hand-reviewed register, not an automatic feed. Every entry is sourced, and each one records how it was verified - against this site's own data series, against a peer-reviewed paper, or against the public record of the event. 6 of the 26 entries here are written specifically about Romania, usually quoting its own ranking or measured figures. The rest give global or national context shared with wider pages. Where a figure is narrower than it first appears, or a famous claim does not hold locally, the entry says so.