4 Billion Years On

Poland Climate – June 2026 Update

Top 5 Cities: Warsaw, Kraków, Łódź, Wrocław, and Poznań

This month in numbers

Poland experienced a significantly warmer June, with an average temperature of 17.75°C, an anomaly of +1.6°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. This ranked as the 19th warmest June in 86 years of records. Globally, June 2026 was the 3rd warmest June on record for land temperatures, with an anomaly of +1°C.

What changed

The period of April–June 2026 saw an average temperature of 13.2°C, marking an anomaly of +1.1°C and ranking as the 18th warmest such period on record. This trend aligns with the broader European picture, as the average temperature over European land in June 2026 was the second-highest on record for the month. Poland's 1-month anomaly was 0.94°C cooler than the European group average.

What’s driving change?

Poland experienced an extreme heatwave towards the end of June, with temperatures reaching a record-breaking 40.5°C in Słubice on June 28, surpassing the previous all-time high of 40.2°C. This heatwave was part of a larger pattern across Europe, with many countries breaking temperature records. The extreme heat led to a tragic spike in drownings, with at least 70 people losing their lives in Polish waters since the beginning of June as they sought to cool off. Following the heat, severe thunderstorms, heavy rainfall, and strong winds swept across much of the country. This extreme weather is consistent with seasonal shifts and the broader trend of a warming climate, which is making such events more frequent and intense.

Looking ahead

Forecasters have indicated that while extremely high temperatures were expected to continue into early July, the weather would begin to cool thereafter.

Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources

At a Glance

Temperature – Average

Poland
Global
Land + Ocean
Jun
+2.9°C· 4th
19.0°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
16.6°C
Record
21.6°C (2019)
16.7°C (2024)
Apr–Jun
+1.5°C· 11th
13.6°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
15.8°C
Record
16.0°C (2018)
15.9°C (2024)
2025
+1.8°C· 10th
9.5°C
+1.0°C· 3rd
15.0°C
Record
10.9°C (2024)
15.2°C (2024)
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean · Small figure: the actual value · Record = highest (or lowest) value on record

Year-on-Year Trends

The 4byo Climate Helix – Poland

1940202619611990 baselineColdest (1940)20162025 meanWarmest (2024)2026 so far
2026Jun
2024
WinterSpringSummerAutumnJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec1940-692016-25Spr Start−11 days1940-692016-25Aut End+9 days-10°-5°10°15°20°
Temp
6.8°C
-0.9 vs base
Rainfall
mm
Playback
8×
Mode
Metric
Presets

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Poland – Monthly Temperature – All Years

Metric
All years since 19872024 (warmest)2026 (current year)

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Records – Poland

Warmest year
2024
10.9°C
Coldest year
1940
5.4°C
2026 so far
#25/87
6.8°C

Our World in Data / NOAA - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean

Shifting Seasons

Warm/cold + wet/dryKöppen Dfb · Continental

Poland has both a clear warm/cold cycle (±11.1°C) and a wet/dry cycle (3× wet:dry ratio). Both sides of the annual rhythm are shown below.

Shifting summer
19 days longer
Warm season
1940–1969 baseline: 16 Apr → 22 Oct · 189 days
2016–2025 now: 6 Apr → 30 Oct · 208 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Spr 10 days earlierAut 9 days later
Shifting wet season
1 day shorter
Wet season
1940–1969 baseline: 28 May → 10 Oct · 134 days
2016–2025 now: 2 Jun → 13 Oct · 133 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Onset 5 days laterEnd 3 days later
-0.8% annual rain
baseline yr·recent yr·ring = global temp anomaly
Wet-season onset
28 May2 Jun
5 days later
When 25% of annual rain has fallen
Wet-season end
10 Oct13 Oct
3 days later
When 75% of annual rain has fallen
Peak-rain month
JulJul
unchanged
Wet months: 55

Monthly rainfall climatology. A “wet month” exceeds the baseline monthly mean (dashed gold line). Biggest month-to-month shift: Apr (-10 mm, -23%).

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Rainfall & Precipitation

Rainfall & Rain Days – Totals

Rainfall / Precipitation
Poland
n/a
n/a· n/a
Record
n/a
n/a
n/a· n/a
Record
n/a
2024
-8 mm· 33rd
750 mm
Record
946 mm (2010)

Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean. Small figure: the actual value. Rank: position in the full record (1st = highest ever). Record: highest (or lowest) value on record with its year.

Emissions & Energy

Explore

Explore Climate Data

Data Sources

Data Sources for Poland

Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.

FAQs

FAQs

How is the climate in Poland changing?

Poland is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.

Where does the climate data for Poland come from?

Climate data for Poland comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.

What is the climate baseline used on this page?

Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.

Which areas does the Poland climate data cover?

The Poland climate profile covers Warsaw, Kraków, Łódź, Wrocław and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Poland

How often is the Poland climate update refreshed?

The Poland climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.