Philippines Climate
Top 5 Cities: Manila, Quezon City, Davao, Cebu, and Caloocan
This month in numbers
April 2026 saw the Philippines record its 8th warmest April on record, with an average temperature of 27.17°C, an anomaly of +1.0°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. The three-month period from February to April 2026 was the 7th warmest such period on record, with an average temperature of 26.23°C, an anomaly of +1.1°C. Globally, April 2026 was the 2nd warmest April on record for land temperatures, with an anomaly of +1.1°C. The global land temperature for February–April 2026 also ranked as the 2nd warmest on record, with an anomaly of +1.2°C.
What changed
The Philippines has experienced consistently warmer-than-average temperatures over the past six months, with anomalies ranging from +1.0°C to +1.6°C. This trend aligns with the country's long-term warming trend of +1.04°C since the 1961–1990 baseline, culminating in 2025 being the warmest year on record. While the Philippines' 1-month and 3-month temperature anomalies are not among the global top 10 warmest, the broader Asia group, to which the Philippines belongs, has also experienced significant warming, with a 1-month anomaly of +1.77°C. A flood event was reported in the Philippines from May 13 to May 23, representing 100% of the annual total for floods, indicating an unusual concentration of such events.
What’s driving change?
The persistent warmer temperatures in the Philippines are largely influenced by the developing El Niño phenomenon. Although currently in a Neutral state, the NOAA CPC forecast indicates an 82% probability of El Niño emerging in May–July, rising to 98% by August–October. El Niño typically brings warmer and drier conditions to Maritime Southeast Asia, including the Philippines, which can lead to reduced rainfall and increased temperatures. The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) has already reported below-normal rainfall in several parts of the country in March and April 2026, with drought conditions beginning to affect Northern Luzon. This can further exacerbate warming. Additionally, the country experienced "danger" level heat indices in several areas in April, with temperatures feeling as high as 45°C. The recent flood event in May, while seemingly counterintuitive during a dry spell, highlights the increasing risk of extreme rainfall events in the Philippines, a trend observed since 1981, particularly during the wetter months. More information on extreme weather events can be found at Extreme Weather tracker, and updates on ENSO at ENSO tracker.
Looking ahead
PAGASA forecasts warmer-than-normal temperatures nationwide from May to October 2026, with the developing El Niño likely to persist until early 2027, potentially leading to prolonged dry spells and significant reductions in rainfall across much of the country by the end of the year and into the first quarter of 2027.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
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Data Sources
Data Sources for Philippines
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) — see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Philippines changing?
Philippines is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The trend rate is shown as °C per decade in the headline panel; you can also see the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Philippines come from?
Climate data for Philippines comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Philippines climate data cover?
The Philippines climate profile covers Manila, Quezon City, Davao, Cebu and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Philippines
How often is the Philippines climate update refreshed?
The Philippines climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.