Philippines Climate
Top 5 Cities: Manila, Quezon City, Davao, Cebu, and Caloocan
This month in numbers
April 2026 saw the Philippines record its 8th warmest April on record, with an average temperature of 27.17°C, an anomaly of +1°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. The period of February–April 2026 was the 7th warmest such period on record, with an average temperature of 26.23°C, an anomaly of +1.1°C. Globally, April 2026 was the 2nd warmest April for land temperatures, with an anomaly of +1.1°C, while the February–April 2026 period also ranked as the 2nd warmest globally for land temperatures, with an anomaly of +1.2°C.
What changed
The Philippines has experienced consistently warmer-than-average temperatures over the past six months, with anomalies ranging from +1.0°C to +1.6°C. This trend aligns with the long-term warming observed in the region, which shows an increase of +1.04°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. The country's 1-month and 3-month temperature anomalies place it 176th and 175th respectively out of 234 regions in cross-region rankings, indicating that while the Philippines is experiencing significant warming, other regions globally are seeing even more pronounced temperature increases. The broader Asia group, to which the Philippines belongs, also experienced a warmer-than-average April, with a group mean anomaly of +1.77°C, making the Philippines' anomaly for the month 0.74°C cooler than the group average.
What’s driving change?
The persistent warmer temperatures in the Philippines are being influenced by the ongoing ENSO-neutral conditions, although an El Niño Alert has been issued by PAGASA, with an almost 80% chance of El Niño developing during the June-July-August 2026 season. El Niño typically brings warmer and drier conditions to Maritime Southeast Asia, a teleconnection that is among the most reliable worldwide. The country has also been experiencing significant heat stress, with several areas recording "danger level" heat indices (42°C to 45°C) throughout April, particularly in Cavite, Palawan, and other regions. This is compounded by a widespread drought affecting 15 provinces in Luzon as of April 19, with 32 provinces experiencing a dry spell due to more than 60% rainfall reduction over three consecutive months. In February, Tropical Storm Penha (locally known as Basyang) caused significant flooding and landslides in the Mindanao and Visayas regions, resulting in 12 fatalities and displacing over 28,000 people.
Looking ahead
With an El Niño event highly likely to develop by mid-2026 and potentially escalating into a "Super El Niño" by late 2026 or early 2027, the Philippines can anticipate continued warmer and drier conditions in the coming months, with potential for increased agricultural damage and water scarcity.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
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Data Sources
Data Sources for Philippines
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) — see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Philippines changing?
Philippines is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The trend rate is shown as °C per decade in the headline panel; you can also see the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Philippines come from?
Climate data for Philippines comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Philippines climate data cover?
The Philippines climate profile covers Manila, Quezon City, Davao, Cebu and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Philippines
How often is the Philippines climate update refreshed?
The Philippines climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.