Philippines Climate – June 2026 Update
Top 5 Cities: Manila, Quezon City, Davao, Cebu, and Caloocan
This month in numbers
June 2026 saw the Philippines record an average temperature of 26.72°C, marking an anomaly of +0.6°C above the 1961–1990 baseline. This ranks as the 24th warmest June in 86 years of records. Globally, June 2026 was the 3rd warmest June on record for land temperatures, with an anomaly of +1°C. The three-month period from April to June 2026 was the 13th warmest on record for the Philippines, with an average temperature of 27.05°C, an anomaly of +0.8°C.
What changed
The Philippines has experienced consistently warmer-than-average temperatures throughout the first half of 2026, with monthly anomalies ranging from +0.6°C to +1.5°C. The latest three-month period (April-June 2026) continues this trend, ranking as the 13th warmest such period on record. This warming aligns with the country's long-term trend of +1.04°C above the 1961–1990 baseline. The year 2025 was the warmest on record for the Philippines, at 26.74°C.
What’s driving change?
The primary driver for the current warming trend and associated weather patterns in the Philippines is El Niño, which is currently in a weak phase but is forecast to strengthen. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is expected to intensify into a strong to very strong event by the end of 2026 and persist into early 2027, typically bringing warmer and drier conditions to Maritime Southeast Asia, including the Philippines. However, during the southwest monsoon season (June to September), El Niño can also enhance rainfall in the western parts of the country, leading to a "triple threat" of flooding, drought, and stronger typhoons. Indeed, June saw significant rainfall and flooding in parts of Sarangani province. The country also experienced several tropical cyclones in June, including Typhoon Mekkhala (locally named Francisco) and Super Typhoon Inday (international name Bavi), which enhanced the southwest monsoon and brought heavy rains and flood risks to various regions.
Looking ahead
The ongoing El Niño is expected to strengthen rapidly over the coming months, with a high probability of becoming a strong to very strong event by the end of the year, likely leading to reduced water availability and prolonged dry spells across much of the Philippines from November into early 2027..
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
At a Glance
Temperature – Average
Year-on-Year Trends
The 4byo Climate Helix – Philippines
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Philippines – Monthly Temperature – All Years
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Records – Philippines
Our World in Data / NOAA - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean
Shifting Seasons
Weakly seasonalKöppen Af · TropicalPhilippines is weakly seasonal - temperature barely changes across the year (2.5°C range) and rainfall is fairly even. The clearest climate signal here is overall warming: monthly temperature has risen in every month.
Baseline vs recent monthly temperature climatology. Biggest warming: Dec (+1.7°C).
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Rainfall & Precipitation
Rainfall & Rain Days – Totals
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean. Small figure: the actual value. Rank: position in the full record (1st = highest ever). Record: highest (or lowest) value on record with its year.
Climate Systems
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Emissions & Energy
Explore
Explore Climate Data
Data Sources
Data Sources for Philippines
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Philippines changing?
Philippines is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Philippines come from?
Climate data for Philippines comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Philippines climate data cover?
The Philippines climate profile covers Manila, Quezon City, Davao, Cebu and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Philippines
How often is the Philippines climate update refreshed?
The Philippines climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.