Paraguay Climate
Top 5 Cities: Asunción, Ciudad del Este, San Lorenzo, Luque, and Capiatá
This month in numbers
Paraguay experienced a cooler-than-average April 2026, with temperatures ranking 70th of 86 years on record at 22.31°C, an anomaly of -0.8°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. This places Paraguay as the 2nd coolest country globally for the month's temperature anomaly. Globally, April 2026 was the 2nd warmest April on record for land temperatures, with an anomaly of +1.1°C.
What changed
Looking at the broader picture, the February–April 2026 period in Paraguay was significantly warmer, ranking as the 12th warmest in 86 years with an average temperature of 26.26°C, an anomaly of +1.1°C. This contrasts with the cooler April, suggesting a recent shift in temperature patterns. Globally, the February–April 2026 period also ranked as the 2nd warmest on record for land temperatures. Paraguay is currently experiencing a prolonged drought, which has been active since September 2022 and represents 100% of the drought events in the past 12 months, an unusual concentration for the region. Extreme Weather tracker
What’s driving change?
The current ENSO state is Neutral, with an anomaly of +0.11°C for February-April 2026. However, forecasts indicate a strong likelihood of an El Niño developing from May–July 2026, with probabilities rising to 61% and continuing to increase through the end of the year. ENSO tracker Historically, El Niño events typically bring wetter-than-average conditions to southern South America, including Paraguay, during spring and summer, increasing the risk of flooding. Indeed, Paraguay experienced intense rainfall and flooding in several areas in April 2026, particularly in the Paraguayan Chaco region due to the overflowing Pilcomayo River, affecting over 1,700 people. Other flooding events also impacted the Central department and Asunción. This follows a period where Paraguay has faced significant drought challenges, with the Paraguay River experiencing historically low water levels in 2024 due to upstream drought in Brazil.
Looking ahead
The evolving El Niño phase suggests a continued likelihood of increased rainfall and potential for flooding in Paraguay in the coming months.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
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Data Sources
Data Sources for Paraguay
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) — see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Paraguay changing?
Paraguay is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The trend rate is shown as °C per decade in the headline panel; you can also see the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Paraguay come from?
Climate data for Paraguay comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Paraguay climate data cover?
The Paraguay climate profile covers Asunción, Ciudad del Este, San Lorenzo, Luque and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Paraguay
How often is the Paraguay climate update refreshed?
The Paraguay climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.
