Pakistan Climate – June 2026 Update
Top 5 Cities: Karachi, Lahore, Islamabad, Faisalabad, and Rawalpindi
This month in numbers
Pakistan experienced its 2nd warmest June on record in 2026, with an average temperature of 30.34°C, an anomaly of +1.3°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. This follows an exceptionally warm April to June period, which ranked as the warmest on record with an average temperature of 28.2°C, a significant +2.5°C anomaly. Globally, June 2026 was the 3rd warmest June for land temperatures, while the April–June period ranked as the 2nd warmest.
What changed
The past three months (April–June 2026) have seen Pakistan record its warmest such period in 86 years of records, with temperatures significantly above the long-term average. This trend is considerably warmer than the global land temperature anomaly for the same period (+1°C). Pakistan's 1-month anomaly for June (+1.29°C) placed it 108th out of 234 regions, while its 3-month anomaly (+2.50°C) was 63rd warmest globally. The country's 2025 annual average temperature of 21.13°C was the 5th warmest on record, highlighting a persistent warming trend.
What’s driving change?
The current strong El Niño event is a significant factor driving the warmer and drier conditions in Pakistan. El Niño typically leads to warmer and drier conditions in the Indian subcontinent, often resulting in a weaker summer monsoon and an increased risk of drought. The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) had anticipated a subdued monsoon season this year due to the expected formation of a "super El Niño" by late August to September. Indeed, the monsoon season has commenced with below-normal rainfall anticipated across many parts of the country, particularly in central Pakistan, including Punjab, southern Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, northwestern Balochistan, and parts of Sindh. This reduced rainfall, coupled with above-normal temperatures, can exacerbate heatwave conditions and lead to water scarcity. Flash floods were reported in Gilgit-Baltistan and Lower Chitral between June 28 and July 1, 2026, damaging houses and disrupting road access. More information on extreme weather events can be found at Extreme Weather tracker.
Looking ahead
The strong El Niño is forecast to persist through the end of 2026, suggesting a continued likelihood of warmer and drier conditions for Pakistan, with potential for episodic intense precipitation, in the coming months.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
At a Glance
Temperature – Average
Year-on-Year Trends
The 4byo Climate Helix – Pakistan
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Pakistan – Monthly Temperature – All Years
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Records – Pakistan
Our World in Data / NOAA - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean
Shifting Seasons
Warm/cold + wet/dryKöppen BSh · AridPakistan has both a clear warm/cold cycle (±10.6°C) and a wet/dry cycle (13× wet:dry ratio). Both sides of the annual rhythm are shown below.
Monthly rainfall climatology. A “wet month” exceeds the baseline monthly mean (dashed gold line). Biggest month-to-month shift: Aug (+15 mm, +30%).
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Rainfall & Precipitation
Rainfall & Rain Days – Totals
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean. Small figure: the actual value. Rank: position in the full record (1st = highest ever). Record: highest (or lowest) value on record with its year.
Climate Systems
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Emissions & Energy
Explore
Explore Climate Data
Data Sources
Data Sources for Pakistan
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Pakistan changing?
Pakistan is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Pakistan come from?
Climate data for Pakistan comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Pakistan climate data cover?
The Pakistan climate profile covers Karachi, Lahore, Islamabad, Faisalabad and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Pakistan
How often is the Pakistan climate update refreshed?
The Pakistan climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.