4 Billion Years On

Myanmar Climate – July 2026 Update

Top 5 Cities: Yangon, Mandalay, Naypyidaw, Mawlamyine, and Bago

August update · ~12–15 September

Summary

Myanmar experienced a warmer than average month, with temperatures ranking as the 18th warmest July on record at 0.7°C above the historic baseline. Alongside the warmth, severe monsoon flooding inundated several regions including Sagaing and Rakhine, affecting an estimated 390,000 people and displacing thousands. The broader global picture saw near-record heat across the planet, with rainfall remaining the dominant hazard locally as heavy monsoon downpours continue through late summer.

This month in numbers

The average temperature across Myanmar in July reached 25.48°C, sitting 0.7°C above the 1961–1990 baseline and marking the 18th highest value for the month in 87 years of record-keeping. On the global stage, land temperatures soared to 15.8°C, which is 1.6°C above average, securing its position as the 3rd warmest July ever recorded globally.

What changed

Over the three-month period from May to July, Myanmar registered an average temperature of 25.77°C, placing the season as the 22nd warmest such stretch on record with a 0.5°C anomaly. Globally, the same three-month window saw land temperatures average 14.34°C (+1.5°C anomaly), the 2nd warmest such period on record. Long-term records show Myanmar has warmed by 1.11°C compared to its historic baseline, with 2025 ranking as the country's 9th warmest year on record at 23.93°C. For monthly temperature anomalies, Myanmar ranked 212th out of 232 global regions, running 0.84°C cooler than the wider Asia regional average.

What’s driving change?

The interplay between and wider climate trends is shaping weather patterns across the country. As , atmospheric moisture capacity increases, intensifying seasonal rain events while elevating average regional temperatures. Heavy monsoon precipitation led to widespread flooding in low-lying states during the month, leaving hundreds of thousands of residents facing displaced housing and damaged crops.

Looking ahead

Seasonal outlooks suggest that active monsoon conditions will continue to bring heavy rainfall across central and coastal regions through late summer before the wet season begins to abate into autumn.

Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources

At a Glance

Temperature – Average

Myanmar
Global
Land + Ocean
Jul
+1.0°C· 18th
25.5°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
17.0°C
Record
26.3°C (2022)
17.0°C (2024)
May–Jul
+0.7°C· 22nd
25.8°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
16.5°C
Record
26.8°C (2019)
16.5°C (2024)
2025
+1.2°C· 9th
23.9°C
+1.0°C· 3rd
15.0°C
Record
24.3°C (2024)
15.2°C (2024)
Headline: anomaly vs your selected baseline (falls back to the 1961–1990 mean for a column without enough history for it) · Small figure: the actual value · Record = value on record for the ranking above

Climate Map – Global

Source: NOAA Climate at a Glance (countries & continents) · Met Office (UK) · US states & climate regions. Anomalies are vs the 1961–1990 baseline. See methodology.

Typical Climate – Myanmar

Köppen Aw · Tropical

Myanmar has a tropical climate (Köppen Aw: Tropical savanna (dry winter)), with both a warm/cold cycle and a wet/dry cycle through the year. May is typically the warmest month, averaging 26.8°C, while January is the coldest at 18.8°C. Annual precipitation averages around 2066mm, concentrated mostly in the wet season.

Warmest month
May 27°C
Coldest month
Jan 19°C
Annual rainfall
2066mm
Wettest month
Jul 432mm

Monthly climate normals (20162025) - bar colour and height show average temperature, the shaded area shows average monthly precipitation.

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Combined TimelineMyanmar

Precipitation, Sunshine, Frost and Snow are converted to standard deviations from their own average so they can share an axis with Temperature.

MetricTemperature
10-Yr AverageActual Year

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Heatwave Days – Myanmar

Warm Spell Duration Index (WSDI) - days in a 6+ day run above the local 90th-percentile temperature for that time of year.

Heatwave days per year2022 (Record)10-yr avg

Data: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal (ERA5-derived). Refreshed roughly 1-2x/year, ~7-8 months behind present.

Year-on-Year Trends

The 4byo Climate Helix – Myanmar

1940202619611990 baselineColdest (1940)20162025 meanWarmest (2024)2026 so far
2026Jul
2024
WetDryJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecWet Start~0 daysWet End~0 days20°25°
Temp
24.1°C
+1.2 vs base
Precipitation
324mm
-1,767 vs base
Frost
days
Playback
8×
Mode
Presets

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Monthly TemperatureMyanmar

All years since 19402024 (Warmest)1940 (Coldest)2026 (Current Year)

Background lines show the last 40 years (plus the record year and its opposite, wherever they fall).

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Records – Myanmar

Latest data Jul 2026
Warmest year
2024
24.3°C
Coldest year
1940
21.8°C
2026 so far
#17/87
24.1°C

Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP) - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean

Shifting Seasons

Warm/cold + wet/dryKöppen Cwa · Temperate

Myanmar has both a clear warm/cold cycle (±3.8°C) and a wet/dry cycle (49× wet:dry ratio). Both sides of the annual rhythm are shown below.

Shifting summer
36 days Longer
Warm Season
1940–1969 Baseline: 10 Mar → 21 Oct · 225 days
2016–2025 Now: 28 Feb → 16 Nov · 261 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Spr 11 days EarlierAut 26 days Later
Shifting wet season
1 day Shorter
Wet Season
1891–1920 Baseline: 18 Jun → 4 Sept · 78 days
2016–2025 Now: 18 Jun → 3 Sept · 77 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Onset 0 days LaterEnd 0 days Earlier
-3.5% annual rain
baseline yr·recent yr·ring = global temp anomaly
Wet-season onset
18 Jun18 Jun
0 days Later
When 25% of annual rain has fallen
Wet-season end
4 Sept3 Sept
0 days Earlier
When 75% of annual rain has fallen
Peak-rain month
JulJul
unchanged
Wet months: 56

Monthly precipitation climatology. A “wet month” exceeds the baseline monthly mean (dashed gold line). Biggest month-to-month shift: Sep (-24 mm, -8%).

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Emissions & Energy

Explore

Explore Climate Data

Data Sources

Data Sources for Myanmar

Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.

FAQs

FAQs

How is the climate in Myanmar changing?

Myanmar is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.

What is the climate like in Myanmar?

Myanmar has a tropical climate (Köppen Aw: Tropical savanna (dry winter)), with both a warm/cold cycle and a wet/dry cycle through the year. May is typically the warmest month, averaging 26.8°C, while January is the coldest at 18.8°C. Annual precipitation averages around 2066mm, concentrated mostly in the wet season.

Where does the climate data for Myanmar come from?

Climate data for Myanmar comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.

What is the climate baseline used on this page?

Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.

Which areas does the Myanmar climate data cover?

The Myanmar climate profile covers Yangon, Mandalay, Naypyidaw, Mawlamyine and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Myanmar

How often is the Myanmar climate update refreshed?

The Myanmar climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.

What counts as a Heatwave Day on the Myanmar climate page?

Heatwave Days use the Warm Spell Duration Index (WSDI) - the WMO/ETCCDI-standard heatwave measure: days that are part of a run of 6 or more consecutive days above the local 90th-percentile temperature for that calendar day. The 90th-percentile threshold varies by time of year (a hot day in January is judged differently to one in July) but is fixed to the 1961-1990 baseline for every year shown - it does not shift as the climate warms, which is why Heatwave Days trend upward over time.

Does the Myanmar climate page include frost and snow data?

Yes. Frost Days (days with a minimum temperature below 0°C, World Bank CCKP) and snow water-equivalent (GPCC) are shown alongside temperature and precipitation, each measured against the 1961-1990 baseline where a like-for-like historical comparison is available.