Myanmar Climate
Top 5 Cities: Yangon, Mandalay, Naypyidaw, Mawlamyine, and Bago
This month in numbers
Myanmar experienced its 24th warmest April on record in 2026, with an average temperature of 26.69°C, which is 0.6°C above the 1961–1990 baseline. Globally, April 2026 was the 2nd warmest April on record for land temperature, with an anomaly of +1.1°C. The three-month period from February to April 2026 was the 6th warmest on record for Myanmar, with an average temperature of 24.48°C, an anomaly of +1.2°C.
What changed
Myanmar's recent warmth is part of a broader trend, with the country experiencing its warmest year on record in 2025 with an average temperature of 24.4°C. The long-term trend shows a warming of +1.08°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. This February–April period saw Myanmar's temperature anomaly of +1.2°C, placing it 170th out of 234 regions globally for this three-month window. Across Asia, the average 3-month anomaly was +1.42°C, indicating Myanmar was slightly cooler than the continental average.
What’s driving change?
The warming trend in Myanmar is influenced by global climate patterns, including ENSO. Experts are warning of a possible intensification of El Niño into a Super El Niño later in 2026, which historically leads to irregular or rainfall, higher daytime temperatures, and severe droughts in Myanmar. Myanmar is currently experiencing a drought event that began in late January 2026 and is ongoing, representing 100% of the drought events logged for the country over the past 12 months, an unusual concentration. This drought is affecting several regions, including Ayeyawady, Yangon, Bago, and Tanintharyi, and is forecast to bring below-normal rainfall during the critical June, July, and August monsoon season. More information on active extreme weather events can be found at Extreme Weather tracker.
Looking ahead
Forecasts for the June–August 2026 period suggest a high probability of dry weather conditions across Southeast Asia and the Indian Ocean region, with Myanmar expected to experience a 40 to 50 per cent chance of below-normal rainfall during the monsoon season.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
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Data Sources
Data Sources for Myanmar
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) — see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Myanmar changing?
Myanmar is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The trend rate is shown as °C per decade in the headline panel; you can also see the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Myanmar come from?
Climate data for Myanmar comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Myanmar climate data cover?
The Myanmar climate profile covers Yangon, Mandalay, Naypyidaw, Mawlamyine and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Myanmar
How often is the Myanmar climate update refreshed?
The Myanmar climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.