4 Billion Years On

Myanmar Climate

Top 5 Cities: Yangon, Mandalay, Naypyidaw, Mawlamyine, and Bago

April update · ~12–15 May

This month in numbers

Myanmar experienced its 6th warmest February–April on record, with an average temperature of 24.48°C, a significant 1.2°C above the 1961–1990 baseline. April 2026 itself was the 24th warmest April on record, with an anomaly of +0.6°C. Globally, April 2026 ranked as the 2nd warmest April for land temperatures, at 14.96°C, an anomaly of +1.1°C, while the February–April period was also the 2nd warmest on record globally for land temperatures, at 14.13°C, an anomaly of +1.2°C.

What changed

The sustained warmth in Myanmar over the past three months aligns with a broader trend of increasing temperatures. The country's long-term warming trend stands at +1.08°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline, with 2025 being the warmest year on record. Myanmar's April anomaly of +0.57°C places it 210th out of 234 regions globally for the month, indicating that while warmer than average, it was not among the most extreme globally. The broader Asian region also experienced a warmer than average period, with a 1-month anomaly of +1.77°C.

What’s driving change?

The warming trend in Myanmar is influenced by global climate patterns, including the ongoing ENSO state. The current ENSO state is Neutral, with a +0.11°C anomaly, but forecasts indicate a strong likelihood of El Niño developing in the coming months, with a 61% chance for May-Jul and increasing to 87% for Jul-Sep. El Niño typically brings warmer and drier conditions to Southeast Asia, which could exacerbate existing drought conditions. Myanmar has been experiencing a drought since January 2026, which represents 100% of the drought events logged for the country over the past 12 months, an unusual concentration for the region and season. This drought is part of a larger pattern of climate extremes impacting the country, which ranked as the world's second most affected country by extreme weather events between 1995 and 2024, with 55 events, mostly floods, causing significant damage. The ongoing conflict and internet blackouts in Myanmar are also severely hindering farmers' access to crucial weather information, making them more vulnerable to these intensifying climate extremes and leading to crop failures and deepening poverty. More information on extreme weather events can be found at Extreme Weather tracker and on ENSO at ENSO tracker.

Looking ahead

The evolving ENSO phase suggests that warmer and potentially drier conditions may persist in Myanmar in the coming months as El Niño is forecast to strengthen.

Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources

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Data Sources

Data Sources for Myanmar

Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) — see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.

FAQs

FAQs

How is the climate in Myanmar changing?

Myanmar is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The trend rate is shown as °C per decade in the headline panel; you can also see the warmest and coolest years on file.

Where does the climate data for Myanmar come from?

Climate data for Myanmar comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.

What is the climate baseline used on this page?

Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.

Which areas does the Myanmar climate data cover?

The Myanmar climate profile covers Yangon, Mandalay, Naypyidaw, Mawlamyine and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Myanmar

How often is the Myanmar climate update refreshed?

The Myanmar climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.