Mozambique Climate – June 2026 Update
Top 5 Cities: Maputo, Matola, Beira, Nampula, and Chimoio
This month in numbers
Mozambique experienced its 3rd warmest June on record in 2026, with an average temperature of 21.49°C, marking an anomaly of +1.7°C above the 1961–1990 baseline. This follows a trend of elevated temperatures, as the April–June 2026 period also ranked as the 5th warmest on record, with an average of 22.98°C, an anomaly of +1.3°C. Globally, June 2026 was the 3rd warmest June on record for land temperatures, and the April–June period was the 2nd warmest globally.
What changed
The consistent warmth in Mozambique over the past three months aligns with a broader pattern of increasing temperatures. The country's long-term trend shows a warming of +1.00°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline, with 2025 being the warmest year on record. This regional warming is occurring within a global context where 2026 is expected to be one of the warmest years on record.
What’s driving change?
The current warming trend in Mozambique is significantly influenced by a weak El Niño event, with the NOAA ONI 3-month anomaly for April–June 2026 at +0.98°C. El Niño typically brings warmer and drier conditions to Southern Africa, often leading to drought and food insecurity, as seen in previous strong El Niño events in 2015-16 and 2023-24. Mozambique has also been grappling with the lingering effects of severe flooding earlier in 2026, which displaced hundreds of thousands and caused significant damage, particularly in the southern and central regions.
Looking ahead
The current weak El Niño is forecast to persist and strengthen through the end of 2026, with a 100% probability of El Niño conditions continuing through December. This strong El Niño is projected to bring below-average rainfall and above-average temperatures to southern and central Mozambique during the upcoming 2026–27 rainy season, increasing the risk of drought and further impacting food security and livelihoods.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
At a Glance
Temperature – Average
Year-on-Year Trends
The 4byo Climate Helix – Mozambique
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Mozambique – Monthly Temperature – All Years
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Records – Mozambique
Our World in Data / NOAA - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean
Shifting Seasons
Warm/cold + wet/dryKöppen Aw · TropicalMozambique has both a clear warm/cold cycle (±3.3°C) and a wet/dry cycle (23× wet:dry ratio). Both sides of the annual rhythm are shown below.
Monthly rainfall climatology. A “wet month” exceeds the baseline monthly mean (dashed gold line). Biggest month-to-month shift: Jan (+22 mm, +10%).
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Rainfall & Precipitation
Rainfall & Rain Days – Totals
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean. Small figure: the actual value. Rank: position in the full record (1st = highest ever). Record: highest (or lowest) value on record with its year.
Climate Systems
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Emissions & Energy
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Explore Climate Data
Data Sources
Data Sources for Mozambique
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Mozambique changing?
Mozambique is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Mozambique come from?
Climate data for Mozambique comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Mozambique climate data cover?
The Mozambique climate profile covers Maputo, Matola, Beira, Nampula and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Mozambique
How often is the Mozambique climate update refreshed?
The Mozambique climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.