Mozambique Climate
Top 5 Cities: Maputo, Matola, Beira, Nampula, and Chimoio
This month in numbers
Mozambique experienced its 7th warmest April on record, with an average temperature of 24.84°C, marking an anomaly of +1.3°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. Globally, April 2026 was the 2nd warmest April for land temperatures, with an anomaly of +1.1°C. The three-month period from February to April 2026 also ranked as the 8th warmest on record for Mozambique, at 25.56°C, an anomaly of +1.2°C.
What changed
The recent three-month period (February–April 2026) saw Mozambique continue its trend of warmer-than-average conditions, with temperatures significantly above the long-term baseline. This regional warming aligns with the broader global picture, as global land temperatures for the same three-month period ranked as the 2nd warmest on record. Mozambique's latest monthly anomaly of +1.31°C placed it 142nd out of 234 regions in terms of warming, indicating widespread elevated temperatures across many parts of the world.
What’s driving change?
The persistent warmth in Mozambique is influenced by the broader trend of land warming faster than ocean. Additionally, the region experienced significant flooding from late December 2025 through February 2026, driven by prolonged and exceptionally heavy rainfall, exacerbated by Tropical Cyclones Fytia and Gezani in January and February 2026 respectively. These events led to widespread displacement, damage to infrastructure, and significant agricultural losses, particularly in southern and central provinces. While the current ENSO state is Neutral, with a +0.11°C anomaly, forecasts indicate a highly likely emergence of El Niño during May–July 2026, which typically brings warmer and drier conditions to Southern Africa, often leading to drought and food insecurity. ENSO tracker
Looking ahead
Model forecasts suggest above-average temperatures will persist across Mozambique during June–August 2026, with a high probability for the northern provinces, while rainfall forecasts indicate below-average rainfall in north-central Mozambique but an increased chance for above-average rainfall in the far northeast.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
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Data Sources
Data Sources for Mozambique
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Mozambique changing?
Mozambique is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The trend rate is shown as °C per decade in the headline panel; you can also see the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Mozambique come from?
Climate data for Mozambique comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Mozambique climate data cover?
The Mozambique climate profile covers Maputo, Matola, Beira, Nampula and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Mozambique
How often is the Mozambique climate update refreshed?
The Mozambique climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.