Mozambique Climate
Top 5 Cities: Maputo, Matola, Beira, Nampula, and Chimoio
This month in numbers
Mozambique experienced its 7th warmest April on record in 2026, with an average temperature of 24.84°C, marking an anomaly of +1.3°C above the 1961–1990 baseline. Globally, April 2026 was the 2nd warmest April for land temperatures on record, with an anomaly of +1.1°C.
What changed
The three-month period from February to April 2026 was the 8th warmest on record for Mozambique, with an average temperature of 25.56°C, an anomaly of +1.2°C. This continues a warming trend, with 2025 being the warmest year on record for the country. The global land temperature for February–April 2026 also ranked as the 2nd warmest on record, indicating a broader warming pattern. Mozambique's latest monthly anomaly of +1.31°C places it 150th out of 234 regions globally for April.
What’s driving change?
Mozambique has been significantly impacted by extreme weather events in recent months. The country experienced severe flooding from late December 2025 through February 2026, exacerbated by torrential rains from Tropical Cyclone Fytia and the subsequent intense Tropical Cyclone Gezani in January and February 2026. These floods affected over 700,000 people and displaced hundreds of thousands, particularly in the southern and central provinces. The extensive rainfall, combined with saturated soils and river inflows from neighboring countries, led to widespread inundation of agricultural land and damage to infrastructure. The current ENSO state is Neutral, but an emergence of El Niño is anticipated during May–July 2026, with a 61% probability, and is expected to persist through at least the end of 2026. Historically, El Niño events in Southern Africa typically bring warmer, drier conditions and have been linked to major droughts and food insecurity. The ongoing humanitarian crisis from the recent floods, coupled with the forecast for El Niño, suggests continued challenges for food security in the region.
Looking ahead
Model temperature forecasts for May–July 2026 indicate an increased chance for above-average temperatures across Mozambique, while rainfall forecasts suggest below-average rainfall in parts of central Mozambique, with above-average rainfall in the far southern and southeastern provinces.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
Loading climate data...
Data Sources
Data Sources for Mozambique
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) — see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Mozambique changing?
Mozambique is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The trend rate is shown as °C per decade in the headline panel; you can also see the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Mozambique come from?
Climate data for Mozambique comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Mozambique climate data cover?
The Mozambique climate profile covers Maputo, Matola, Beira, Nampula and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Mozambique
How often is the Mozambique climate update refreshed?
The Mozambique climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.