Montenegro Climate
Top 5 Cities: Podgorica, Nikšić, Pljevlja, Bar, and Bijelo Polje
This month in numbers
Montenegro experienced its 12th warmest April on record, with an average temperature of 9.49°C, which is 2°C above the 1961–1990 baseline. The period of February–April 2026 also ranked as the 13th warmest on record, with an anomaly of +2.2°C. Globally, April 2026 was the 2nd warmest April on record for land temperatures, at 14.96°C, an anomaly of +1.1°C. The global land temperature for February–April 2026 was also the 2nd warmest on record, at 14.13°C, an anomaly of +1.2°C.
What changed
Montenegro's average temperature for February–April 2026 was 6.04°C, marking it as the 13th warmest such period in 86 years of records. This continues a trend of warmer conditions, with 2025 being the warmest year on record for Montenegro, at 11.61°C. The country has seen a long-term warming trend of +1.87°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. Montenegro's April 2026 temperature anomaly of +1.99°C placed it 108th out of 234 regions globally, while its 3-month anomaly of +2.19°C ranked it 81st.
What’s driving change?
The current climate is influenced by a Neutral ENSO state, with a +0.11°C anomaly in the NOAA ONI 3-month (FMA 2026). However, forecasts indicate a likely transition to El Niño, with a 61% probability for May–July and 79% for June–August. Montenegro has been experiencing warmer and drier conditions, with a notable increase in temperatures. The country is vulnerable to climate change impacts such as rising temperatures, extreme weather events, and changes in precipitation patterns. In January 2026, Montenegro experienced floods in several municipalities due to rainfall, causing road disruptions. Additionally, the Ministry of Ecology, Sustainable Development and Northern Region Development launched an operation in April 2026 to restore fire-affected areas in Piperi and Kuči, aiming to revitalise over 1,000,000 m² of land. Wildfires are common in Montenegro, with the peak fire season typically beginning in mid-June and lasting around 12 weeks.
Looking ahead
The NOAA CPC forecast suggests a dominant shift towards El Niño conditions in the coming months, with an 87% probability for July–September.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
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Data Sources
Data Sources for Montenegro
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) — see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Montenegro changing?
Montenegro is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The trend rate is shown as °C per decade in the headline panel; you can also see the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Montenegro come from?
Climate data for Montenegro comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Montenegro climate data cover?
The Montenegro climate profile covers Podgorica, Nikšić, Pljevlja, Bar and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Montenegro
How often is the Montenegro climate update refreshed?
The Montenegro climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.