4 Billion Years On

Mongolia Climate – June 2026 Update

Top 5 Cities: Ulaanbaatar, Erdenet, Darkhan, Choibalsan, and Mörön

This month in numbers

Mongolia experienced its 7th warmest June on record, with an average temperature of 18.79°C, a significant 2.4°C above the 1961–1990 baseline. This continues a trend, as the April–June 2026 period also ranked as the 7th warmest on record, with an anomaly of +2.4°C. Globally, June 2026 was the 3rd warmest June on record for land temperatures, while the April–June period ranked as the 2nd warmest globally.

What changed

The past three months have seen Mongolia consistently warmer than average, with April, May, and June all recording positive temperature anomalies. This regional warming contrasts with some parts of the world, as several European countries experienced intense heatwaves in June, while Mongolia saw rare summer snowfall in its northern and central regions in mid-June. This unusual snowfall led to extreme cold weather alerts, with ground temperatures dropping to as low as minus 5 degrees Celsius in some areas.

What’s driving change?

The warming trend in Mongolia is largely influenced by , a significant warming driver in the region. Mongolia has a remarkably cold climate, and a substantial portion of the country lies within the Arctic Ocean drainage basin, making it susceptible to processes similar to those in higher latitudes. As the climate crisis accelerates, Mongolia is experiencing rapid warming, transforming its cryosphere, including some of the most southerly permafrost landscapes in the Northern Hemisphere. This destabilises ground, impacts water availability, and releases greenhouse gases, further accelerating warming. Additionally, Mongolia is grappling with widespread land degradation and desertification, affecting approximately 77% of its total land area.

Looking ahead

The NOAA Climate Prediction Center's seasonal outlooks provide probabilities for temperature and precipitation anomalies for the coming months.

Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources

At a Glance

Temperature – Average

Mongolia
Global
Land + Ocean
Jun
-0.1°C· 62nd
16.2°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
16.6°C
Record
19.5°C (2017)
16.7°C (2024)
Apr–Jun
+1.5°C· 15th
11.3°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
15.8°C
Record
12.9°C (2017)
15.9°C (2024)
2025
+1.8°C· 5th
2.2°C
+1.0°C· 3rd
15.0°C
Record
2.9°C (2007)
15.2°C (2024)
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean · Small figure: the actual value · Record = highest (or lowest) value on record

Year-on-Year Trends

The 4byo Climate Helix – Mongolia

1940202619611990 baselineColdest (1969)20162025 meanWarmest (2007)2026 so far
2026Jun
WetDryJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecWet Start~0 daysWet End+2 days-25°-20°-15°-10°-5°10°15°20°
Temp
-0.5°C
-1.0 vs base
Rainfall
mm
Playback
8×
Mode
Metric
Presets

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Mongolia – Monthly Temperature – All Years

Metric
All years since 19872007 (warmest)2026 (current year)

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Records – Mongolia

Warmest year
2007
2.9°C
Coldest year
1969
-0.9°C
2026 so far
#17/87
-0.5°C

Our World in Data / NOAA - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean

Shifting Seasons

Warm/cold + wet/dryKöppen BSk · Arid

Mongolia has both a clear warm/cold cycle (±19.0°C) and a wet/dry cycle (29× wet:dry ratio). Both sides of the annual rhythm are shown below.

Shifting summer
9 days longer
Warm season
1940–1969 baseline: 9 Apr → 17 Oct · 191 days
2016–2025 now: 1 Apr → 18 Oct · 200 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Spr 8 days earlierAut 1 day later
Shifting wet season
2 days longer
Wet season
1940–1969 baseline: 18 Jun → 21 Aug · 64 days
2016–2025 now: 18 Jun → 24 Aug · 67 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Onset 0 days earlierEnd 2 days later
+7.5% annual rain
baseline yr·recent yr·ring = global temp anomaly
Wet-season onset
18 Jun18 Jun
0 days earlier
When 25% of annual rain has fallen
Wet-season end
21 Aug24 Aug
2 days later
When 75% of annual rain has fallen
Peak-rain month
JulJul
unchanged
Wet months: 45

Monthly rainfall climatology. A “wet month” exceeds the baseline monthly mean (dashed gold line). Biggest month-to-month shift: Sep (+4 mm, +18%).

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Rainfall & Precipitation

Rainfall & Rain Days – Totals

Rainfall / Precipitation
Mongolia
n/a
n/a· n/a
Record
n/a
n/a
n/a· n/a
Record
n/a
2024
+15 mm· 22nd
309 mm
Record
421 mm (1946)

Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean. Small figure: the actual value. Rank: position in the full record (1st = highest ever). Record: highest (or lowest) value on record with its year.

Emissions & Energy

Explore

Explore Climate Data

Data Sources

Data Sources for Mongolia

Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.

FAQs

FAQs

How is the climate in Mongolia changing?

Mongolia is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.

Where does the climate data for Mongolia come from?

Climate data for Mongolia comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.

What is the climate baseline used on this page?

Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.

Which areas does the Mongolia climate data cover?

The Mongolia climate profile covers Ulaanbaatar, Erdenet, Darkhan, Choibalsan and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Mongolia

How often is the Mongolia climate update refreshed?

The Mongolia climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.