Moldova Climate
Top 5 Cities: Chișinău, Tiraspol, Bălți, Bender, and Rîbnița
This month in numbers
Moldova experienced an April that was 1.1°C warmer than the 1961–1990 baseline, ranking as the 28th warmest April in 86 years of records. Looking at the broader picture, the February–April 2026 period was significantly warmer, with an anomaly of +2.3°C, making it the 20th warmest such period on record. Globally, land temperatures in April 2026 ranked as the 2nd warmest on record, with a +1.1°C anomaly, while the February–April period also ranked as the 2nd warmest globally, with a +1.2°C anomaly.
What changed
Moldova's recent warmth follows a highly variable winter. While November 2025 was slightly cooler than average, December 2025 and January 2026 saw significant positive anomalies of +2.5°C and +6.7°C respectively. March 2026 continued this trend with a +6.1°C anomaly. This warmer pattern for Moldova places it 63rd out of 234 regions for its 3-month anomaly, indicating a notable warming trend compared to many other areas. The country also sits at 14th of 234 for its 12-month rolling anomaly, highlighting a sustained period of elevated temperatures.
What’s driving change?
The current climate in Moldova is influenced by a Neutral ENSO state, with a transition to El Niño becoming the most likely scenario for the coming months, with a 61% probability for May-Jul and 87% for Jul-Sep. This shift typically brings warmer and drier conditions to the region. Moldova has also experienced several notable weather events recently. In early February, freezing drizzle and temperature swings led to widespread ice, causing hundreds of injuries and school closures in Chișinău. Later in February, an orange weather alert was issued for heavy snow and high winds across southern, central, and northern Moldova, with forecasters expecting significant snowfall and sleet. Additionally, in mid-March, Moldova declared an environmental alert due to an oil spill in the Dniester River, which was attributed to an attack on Ukraine's Novodnistrovsk hydropower complex. This incident led to water supply cuts in several districts, including Moldova's second-largest city, Bălți.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
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Data Sources
Data Sources for Moldova
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) — see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Moldova changing?
Moldova is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The trend rate is shown as °C per decade in the headline panel; you can also see the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Moldova come from?
Climate data for Moldova comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Moldova climate data cover?
The Moldova climate profile covers Chișinău, Tiraspol, Bălți, Bender and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Moldova
How often is the Moldova climate update refreshed?
The Moldova climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.