Mauritania Climate – Sep 2026September 2026 Update
Mauritania has recorded its warmest three-month stretch from July to September in 87 years of observation…
Top 5 Cities: Nouakchott, Nouadhibou, Néma, Kaédi, and Rosso
Summary
Mauritania has recorded its warmest three-month stretch from July to September in 87 years of observation. That unprecedented period was capped by the 3rd warmest September on record as persistent heat settled across the country. The extreme warmth coincided with a strong El Niño in the tropical Pacific, which is forecast to peak at Very Strong over the coming months. With heat stress intensifying across the Sahel, near-record warmth is expected to linger across the region in the coming months.
This month in numbers
Average temperatures in September reached 33.34°C, making the period the 3rd warmest of its kind on record for Mauritania with an anomaly of 1.9°C above the 1961-1990 baseline. The month missed the all-time September temperature record of 33.63°C, set in 2002, by less than three tenths of a degree. Globally, land temperatures for the month also soared to their 2nd warmest level in 87 years, reflecting widespread atmospheric heating across northern Africa and beyond.
What changed
The preceding three months marked an extraordinary period for the nation, with July to September averaging 34.38°C, an anomaly of +1.9°C that represents the highest three-month mean temperature ever recorded in Mauritania. This unprecedented seasonal stretch sits alongside the 3rd warmest July to September globally, highlighting how regional heating aligns with broader planetary trends. Long-term records show Mauritania has warmed by 1.38°C above its mid-century baseline, with eight of its warmest years occurring within the past decade.
What’s driving change?
The sustained warmth is driven primarily by , where parched terrain cannot cool through evaporation, alongside the broader principle that across continental interiors. On a global scale, climate patterns are being influenced by a strong El Niño in the tropical Pacific, tracked at ENSO, which historically nudges temperatures higher across the Sahel while suppressing seasonal monsoon rains. Additionally, all of Mauritania's 1 flood this year happened in the past month, with localised river flooding tracked at Extreme Weather tracker.
Looking ahead
Seasonal forecasts indicate that above-average temperatures are likely to persist across West Africa over the next 1-3 months, reinforced by an El Niño event forecast to reach Very Strong intensity before the end of the year.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
At a Glance
Temperature – Average
Long-Term Trends
Climate Insights – Mauritania
Precipitation, Sunshine, Frost and Snow are converted to standard deviations from their own average so they can share an axis with Temperature anomalies.
Climate History
26 of 26 events
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).
Heatwave Days – Mauritania
Warm Spell Duration Index (WSDI) - days in a 6+ day run above the local 90th-percentile temperature for that time of year.
Data: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal (ERA5-derived). Refreshed roughly 1-2x/year, ~7-8 months behind present.
Climate Map – Global
Source: Copernicus ERA5 (countries) · NOAA Climate at a Glance (continents, US states & climate regions) · Met Office (UK) · GPCC (rainfall, snow) · World Bank CCKP (frost). Anomalies are vs the 1961–1990 baseline. See methodology.
Year-on-Year Trends
The 4byo Climate Helix – Mauritania
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).
Monthly Temperature – Mauritania
Background lines: the last 40 years.
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).
Records – Mauritania
Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP) - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean
Typical Climate – Mauritania
Köppen BWh · AridMauritania has a arid climate (Köppen BWh: Hot desert), with both a warm/cold cycle and a wet/dry cycle through the year. July is typically the warmest month, averaging 34.4°C, while January is the coldest at 19.5°C. Annual precipitation averages around 121mm, concentrated mostly in the wet season.
Monthly climate normals (2016–2025) - bar colour and height show average temperature, the shaded area shows average monthly precipitation.
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).
Shifting Seasons
Warm/cold + wet/dryKöppen BWh · AridMauritania has both a clear warm/cold cycle (±7.7°C) and a wet/dry cycle (14× wet:dry ratio). Both sides of the annual rhythm are shown below.
Monthly precipitation climatology. A “wet month” exceeds the baseline monthly mean (dashed gold line). Biggest month-to-month shift: Aug (-16 mm, -28%).
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).
Extreme Weather
Alerts & Disasters - Mauritania
Live GDACS alerts in Mauritania - Red (Major), Orange (Severe) or Green (Moderate) - and the long-term record of weather and climate disasters.
Live Alerts
Alerts, Last 12 Months
Major
0
None since 2021
Severe
0
None since 2021
Moderate
9
Weather Disasters in 2025 - Latest Complete Year
Disasters
0
1.2 a year, 2016-2025
Deaths
0
4.5 a year, 2016-2025
Weather Disasters, 2016-2025
Most Frequent
Drought
6 of 12 disasters
Deadliest
Flood
27 of 45 deaths
Disasters: EM-DAT, CRED / UCLouvain, via Our World in Data - 10+ deaths, 100+ people affected, or a declared emergency or call for international help. Alerts: GDACS.
Climate Drivers
Climate Drivers - Mauritania
The natural climate patterns that measurably shape seasonal temperature or rainfall in Mauritania, from this site’s own data since 1950 - long-term trends removed, and ENSO’s share taken out before scoring the others, so each is credited only for what it adds.
Weaker Links
A small signal in one season - easily outweighed by other weather, and possibly partly chance.
- ENSOweak linkJan-Mar temperature (El Niño: warmer, ~15%)ENSO Tracker El Niño years tend to bring the Sahel drier July-September rains, but Atlantic sea temperatures and aerosol haze matter more to the region's rainfall than ENSO does.
Emissions & Energy
Explore
Explore Climate Data
Data Sources
Data Sources for Mauritania
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
Country-level temperature anomaly, sourced from Copernicus ERA5 and Hadley HadCRUT5.
Annual country and global CO₂ emissions, from the Global Carbon Project.
Monthly rainfall - Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (DWD) preferred, World Bank CCKP/CRU TS fallback where GPCC lacks direct coverage.
Frost Days and Heatwave Days (Warm Spell Duration Index), ERA5-derived. World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
Monthly snow water-equivalent, Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (DWD).
Live and archived alerts for cyclones, floods, droughts and wildfires, graded Red (major), Orange (severe) or Green (moderate). UN OCHA and European Commission JRC.
Weather and climate disasters (10+ deaths, 100+ people affected, or a declared emergency or call for international help). CRED / UCLouvain, via Our World in Data.