4 Billion Years On

Mauritania – Sep 2026

Mauritania has recorded its warmest three-month stretch from July to September in 87 years of observation…

Top 5 Cities: Nouakchott, Nouadhibou, Néma, Kaédi, and Rosso

Summary

Mauritania has recorded its warmest three-month stretch from July to September in 87 years of observation. That unprecedented period was capped by the 3rd warmest September on record as persistent heat settled across the country. The extreme warmth coincided with a strong El Niño in the tropical Pacific, which is forecast to peak at Very Strong over the coming months. With heat stress intensifying across the Sahel, near-record warmth is expected to linger across the region in the coming months.

This month in numbers

Average temperatures in September reached 33.34°C, making the period the 3rd warmest of its kind on record for Mauritania with an anomaly of 1.9°C above the 1961-1990 baseline. The month missed the all-time September temperature record of 33.63°C, set in 2002, by less than three tenths of a degree. Globally, land temperatures for the month also soared to their 2nd warmest level in 87 years, reflecting widespread atmospheric heating across northern Africa and beyond.

What changed

The preceding three months marked an extraordinary period for the nation, with July to September averaging 34.38°C, an anomaly of +1.9°C that represents the highest three-month mean temperature ever recorded in Mauritania. This unprecedented seasonal stretch sits alongside the 3rd warmest July to September globally, highlighting how regional heating aligns with broader planetary trends. Long-term records show Mauritania has warmed by 1.38°C above its mid-century baseline, with eight of its warmest years occurring within the past decade.

What’s driving change?

The sustained warmth is driven primarily by , where parched terrain cannot cool through evaporation, alongside the broader principle that across continental interiors. On a global scale, climate patterns are being influenced by a strong El Niño in the tropical Pacific, tracked at ENSO, which historically nudges temperatures higher across the Sahel while suppressing seasonal monsoon rains. Additionally, all of Mauritania's 1 flood this year happened in the past month, with localised river flooding tracked at Extreme Weather tracker.

Looking ahead

Seasonal forecasts indicate that above-average temperatures are likely to persist across West Africa over the next 1-3 months, reinforced by an El Niño event forecast to reach Very Strong intensity before the end of the year.

Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources

At a Glance

Temperature – Average

Mauritania
Global
Land + Ocean
Sep
+2.2°C· 3rd
33.3°C
+1.2°C· 2nd
16.3°C
Record
33.6°C (2002)
16.4°C (2023)
Jul–Sep
+2.2°C· 1st
34.4°C
+1.1°C· 1st
16.7°C
Record
34.4°C (2026)
16.7°C (2026)
2025
+1.6°C· 8th
28.2°C
+1.0°C· 3rd
15.0°C
Record
28.8°C (2010)
15.2°C (2024)
Headline: anomaly vs your baseline (1961–1990 where the record is too short) · small figure: actual value · Record: the record for the ranking above

Climate Insights – Mauritania

Precipitation, Sunshine, Frost and Snow are converted to standard deviations from their own average so they can share an axis with Temperature anomalies.

Temperature
10-Yr AverageActual Year

Climate History

1912Volcanic

Novarupta (Katmai) eruption

The largest volcanic eruption anywhere in the world in the 20th century - 13 km3 of magma, about thirty times the 1980 Mount St. Helens eruption - at Novarupta in Alaska on 6-8 June 1912. Ash reached 100,000 ft and cooled the Northern Hemisphere by roughly 0.3°C over 1912-13. Unlike a tropical eruption such as Pinatubo, a high-latitude eruption's haze stays in its own hemisphere, so it did little to the Southern Hemisphere.

Smithsonian Global Volcanism Program, Alaska Volcano Observatory, National Park Service, Oman et al. 2005

1945Industrial Aerosol

Post-WWII industrial expansion begins

After the Second World War, coal and oil use grew rapidly across Europe, North America and the Soviet Union. Global sulphur dioxide emissions rose from about 30 to about 130 million tonnes a year by 1980, and the sulphate haze they formed masked part of the greenhouse warming underneath - the effect known as 'global dimming'.

Klimont et al. 2013

1958GHG Milestone

Keeling Curve begins

Charles David Keeling begins continuous measurements of atmospheric CO₂ at Mauna Loa Observatory in Hawaii, starting at about 315 ppm. The record has risen every year since and is now the longest unbroken direct measurement of CO₂ anywhere - the 'Keeling Curve'.

NOAA GMLGreenhouse Gases

1963Volcanic

Agung eruption

Agung's eruption in Bali put a veil of sulphate haze into the stratosphere that cooled global temperature by about 0.3°C over 1963-66.

Smithsonian Global Volcanism Program, NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory

1970Drought

West African Sahel drought begins

The West African Sahel drought begins abruptly (1969-70), rainfall dropping by up to 40%, severe enough to register in global land-precipitation records.

Learn more →Extreme Weather

1977Ocean Oscillation

Pacific Decadal Oscillation flips to a warm phase

The Pacific Decadal Oscillation - a slow natural cycle in North Pacific sea temperatures - switches from its cool to its warm phase in 1976-77. The change was abrupt enough to be called the 1976-77 Pacific Climate Shift: it warmed Alaska and the west coast of North America, and reorganised North Pacific fisheries.

Learn more →

1979Industrial Aerosol

Global SO2 emissions peak

Global sulphur dioxide emissions peak at about 130 million tonnes a year, then begin a long decline as Europe, North America and Japan clean up their air. As the aerosol mask thins, the rate of global warming picks up through the 1980s.

Klimont et al. 2013

1982Volcanic

El Chichón eruption

A sulphur-rich eruption in Mexico whose aerosol cloud stayed in the stratosphere for more than two years, cooling the Northern Hemisphere by about 0.2°C.

Smithsonian Global Volcanism Program

1982-83ENSO

1982-83 El Niño

The strongest El Niño since 1950 on NOAA's Relative Oceanic Niño Index, which strips out the background warming of the tropical oceans before ranking events. On the older index that leaves that warming in, 2015-16 comes out on top instead.

ONI +2.1°C · RONI +2.4°C

NOAA CPC, NOAA CPC (2)ENSO Tracker

1985Other

The Antarctic ozone hole is discovered

British Antarctic Survey scientists Joe Farman, Brian Gardiner and Jon Shanklin publish their Halley and Faraday measurements on 16 May 1985, showing October ozone over Antarctica had fallen to about two-thirds of earlier decades. The cause is traced to chlorofluorocarbons, and the finding triggers the fastest international environmental response on record.

Nature, UKRI

1986-88ENSO

The long 1986-88 El Niño

1987 is Mauritania's 6th-warmest year in this site's 1950-2025 record. The 1986-88 El Niño kept the tropical Pacific warm through the whole of 1987, and temperatures across much of the tropics rose with it.

NOAA CPCENSO Tracker

1987Other

The Montreal Protocol

Signed in 1987 to phase out ozone-depleting chlorofluorocarbons, the Montreal Protocol turned out to be one of the most consequential climate treaties ever agreed. CFCs are potent greenhouse gases in their own right, and NOAA estimates the Protocol prevented up to 2°C of warming by 2100 - around 1°C from the emissions avoided, and up to 1°C more by sparing forests and other carbon sinks from increased ultraviolet radiation.

NOAA, Wikipedia

1988GHG Milestone

CO₂ crosses 350 ppm

Atmospheric CO₂ passes 350 ppm. In the same year James Hansen told a US Senate committee that global warming was already detectable, the moment it entered mainstream politics. Twenty years later, in 2008, Hansen proposed 350 ppm as the safe upper limit - a level the world had already left behind.

NOAA GMLGreenhouse Gases

1990Pattern Shift

Daytime warming catches up with the night-led pattern

Across 1961-90, 81% of the world's land saw nights warming faster than days. Across 1991-2020 the pattern reversed: 70% saw days warming faster, as the industrial haze that had been dimming daytime sunshine was cleaned up. The study compares two fixed thirty-year windows; measured as a turning point, this site's own global series turns around 1982.

Zhong et al. 2023

1991-93Volcanic

Mount Pinatubo erupts

Pinatubo's cooling is only faintly visible in Mauritania's own record. 1992, the year after the June 1991 eruption, ranks 24th-coldest of the 76 years there. A single large eruption can hold temperatures down for two or three years; it cannot reverse the trend.

Learn more →

1995Ocean Oscillation

Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation flips to a warm phase

The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation - a slow natural cycle in North Atlantic sea temperatures, roughly 60-70 years long - flips to its warm phase in 1995. Warm phases are linked to more active Atlantic hurricane seasons, wetter summers in parts of north-west Europe and more frequent drought in the central and western United States.

Learn more →

1997-98ENSO

1997-98 El Niño

One of the strongest El Niños on record, and the one the textbook El Niño pattern is usually drawn from. It pushed 1998 to what was then the warmest year ever measured, and set off the first global-scale coral bleaching event.

ONI +2.4°C · RONI +2.3°C

NOAA CPC, NOAA NCEIENSO Tracker

1999Ocean Oscillation

Pacific Decadal Oscillation flips back to a cool phase

The Pacific Decadal Oscillation - a slow natural cycle in North Pacific sea temperatures - flips back to its cool phase around 1998-99. The cool phase that followed is one reason global surface warming appeared to slow in the 2000s, as more heat went into the deep Pacific.

Learn more →

2010Pattern Shift

Global heatwave days sharply accelerate

Mauritania's own heatwave days - days in warm spells well above the local norm - rose from a 1961-90 average of 4.8 a year to 16.8 in 2016-25 - 4 times as many. Worldwide, heatwave days have roughly doubled each decade since 2010, as the whole temperature distribution has shifted upwards.

Learn more →Heatwave Days

2010Heatwave

The record heat of 2010 across the Middle East and North Africa

2010 is Mauritania's warmest year in this site's 1950-2025 record. Record heatwaves across south-west Asia, the Middle East and northern Africa left large areas 2-3°C warmer than average for the whole year.

NOAA Climate.gov, Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre

2013GHG Milestone

CO₂ crosses 400 ppm

Atmospheric CO₂ passes 400 ppm at Mauna Loa on 9 May 2013 - a level the planet had not seen for 3-5 million years, since the Pliocene, when sea levels were many metres higher.

NOAA GMLGreenhouse Gases

2015-16ENSO

2015-16 El Niño

The strongest El Niño on record by raw ONI - though on NOAA's newer RONI index, which strips out background tropical-ocean warming, 1982-83 ranks slightly ahead instead. 2016 became the hottest year on record at that time (+1.0°C above pre-industrial).

ONI +2.6°C · RONI +2.3°C

NOAA CPCENSO Tracker

2015-25Pattern Shift

2015-2025: the eleven warmest years on record

Globally, the eleven warmest years on record have all happened since 2015. Mauritania follows it closely: eight of its own eleven warmest fall in that span, with 2010, 2001 and 1987 outside. Its warmest year is 2010.

Learn more →

2020GHG Milestone

COVID-19 lockdowns - CO₂ emissions dip

Global fossil CO₂ emissions fell about 5.8% in 2020, from 37.0 to 34.8 billion tonnes, yet atmospheric CO₂ still rose 2.5 ppm - the dip barely registers in the atmospheric record. Emissions were back to pre-pandemic levels by 2022.

Le Quéré et al. 2020

2020Industrial Aerosol

Low-sulphur shipping fuel rule (IMO 2020)

New international shipping rules cut the sulphur allowed in ship fuel from 3.5% to 0.5% almost overnight, removing about 8 million tonnes of sulphur dioxide a year. With less sulphate haze over the oceans, it may have added around 0.1°C of warming by 2023-24.

Gettelman et al. 2024

2023-24ENSO

2023-24 El Niño

A strong El Niño arriving on top of long-term greenhouse warming, with the cut in shipping sulphur from the 2020 fuel rule adding a little more. Together they produced the record global temperatures of 2023 and 2024.

ONI +2.0°C · RONI +1.4°C

NOAA CPCENSO Tracker

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Heatwave Days – Mauritania

Warm Spell Duration Index (WSDI) - days in a 6+ day run above the local 90th-percentile temperature for that time of year.

Heatwave days per year2010 (Record)10-yr avg

Data: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal (ERA5-derived). Refreshed roughly 1-2x/year, ~7-8 months behind present.

Climate Map – Global

Source: Copernicus ERA5 (countries) · NOAA Climate at a Glance (continents, US states & climate regions) · Met Office (UK) · GPCC (rainfall, snow) · World Bank CCKP (frost). Anomalies are vs the 1961–1990 baseline. See methodology.

Year-on-Year Trends

The 4byo Climate Helix – Mauritania

1940→20261961–1990 baselineColdest (1943)2016–2025 meanWarmest (2010)2026 so far
2026Sep
WetDryJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec1891-19202016-25Wet Start+9 days1891-19202016-25Wet End−7 days15°20°25°30°35°
Temp
29.5°C
+2.7 vs base
Precipitation
30mm
-81 vs base
Frost
—
ENSO
—
RONI 3-mo mean
Playback
8×

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Monthly Temperature – Mauritania

All years since 19432010 (Warmest)1943 (Coldest)2026 (Current Year)

Background lines: the last 40 years.

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Records – Mauritania

Latest data Sep 2026
Warmest year
2010
28.8°C
Coldest year
1943
25.0°C
2026 so far
#5/87
29.5°C

Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP) - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean

Typical Climate – Mauritania

Köppen BWh · Arid

Mauritania has a arid climate (Köppen BWh: Hot desert), with both a warm/cold cycle and a wet/dry cycle through the year. July is typically the warmest month, averaging 34.4°C, while January is the coldest at 19.5°C. Annual precipitation averages around 121mm, concentrated mostly in the wet season.

Warmest month
Jul 34°C
Coldest month
Jan 20°C
Annual rainfall
121mm
Wettest month
Aug 42mm

Monthly climate normals (2016–2025) - bar colour and height show average temperature, the shaded area shows average monthly precipitation.

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Shifting Seasons

Warm/cold + wet/dryKöppen BWh · Arid

Mauritania has both a clear warm/cold cycle (±7.7°C) and a wet/dry cycle (14× wet:dry ratio). Both sides of the annual rhythm are shown below.

Shifting summer
31 days Longer
Warm Season
1940–1969 Baseline: 12 Apr → 27 Oct · 198 days
2016–2025 Now: 26 Mar → 9 Nov · 229 days
−18d
+13d
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Spr 18 days EarlierAut 13 days Later
Shifting wet season
16 days Shorter
Wet Season
1891–1920 Baseline: 19 Jul → 22 Sept · 65 days
2016–2025 Now: 27 Jul → 15 Sept · 50 days
+9d
−7d
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Onset 9 days LaterEnd 7 days Earlier
-39.7% annual rain
baseline avgrecent avgClick a marker for each decade
Wet-season onset
19 Jul→27 Jul
9 days Later
When 25% of annual rain has fallen
Wet-season end
22 Sept→15 Sept
7 days Earlier
When 75% of annual rain has fallen
Peak-rain month
Aug→Aug
unchanged
Wet months: 3 → 3
1891–19202016–2025Wet-month threshold (17 mm)

Monthly precipitation climatology. A “wet month” exceeds the baseline monthly mean (dashed gold line). Biggest month-to-month shift: Aug (-16 mm, -28%).

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Extreme Weather

Alerts & Disasters - Mauritania

Live GDACS alerts in Mauritania - Red (Major), Orange (Severe) or Green (Moderate) - and the long-term record of weather and climate disasters.

Live Alerts

Loading…

Alerts, Last 12 Months

Major

0

None since 2021

Severe

0

None since 2021

Moderate

9

Weather Disasters in 2025 - Latest Complete Year

Disasters

0

1.2 a year, 2016-2025

Deaths

0

4.5 a year, 2016-2025

Weather Disasters, 2016-2025

Most Frequent

Drought

6 of 12 disasters

Deadliest

Flood

27 of 45 deaths

Disasters: EM-DAT, CRED / UCLouvain, via Our World in Data - 10+ deaths, 100+ people affected, or a declared emergency or call for international help. Alerts: GDACS.

Climate Drivers

Climate Drivers - Mauritania

The natural climate patterns that measurably shape seasonal temperature or rainfall in Mauritania, from this site’s own data since 1950 - long-term trends removed, and ENSO’s share taken out before scoring the others, so each is credited only for what it adds.

Weaker Links

A small signal in one season - easily outweighed by other weather, and possibly partly chance.

  • ENSOweak linkJan-Mar temperature (El Niño: warmer, ~15%)ENSO Tracker El Niño years tend to bring the Sahel drier July-September rains, but Atlantic sea temperatures and aerosol haze matter more to the region's rainfall than ENSO does.

Emissions & Energy

Explore

Explore Climate Data

Data Sources

Data Sources for Mauritania

Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.

FAQs

FAQs

How is the climate in Mauritania changing?

Mauritania is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.

What is the climate like in Mauritania?

Mauritania has a arid climate (Köppen BWh: Hot desert), with both a warm/cold cycle and a wet/dry cycle through the year. July is typically the warmest month, averaging 34.4°C, while January is the coldest at 19.5°C. Annual precipitation averages around 121mm, concentrated mostly in the wet season.

Which climate drivers affect the weather in Mauritania?

Measured from seasonal temperature and rainfall in Mauritania since 1950, with the long-term warming trend removed, no climate driver has a strong or moderate effect here; there are weak links to El Niño / La Niña (ENSO), which may partly be chance. They are listed in the Climate Drivers section of this page.

What extreme weather affects Mauritania?

In 2025, the latest complete year, the international disaster database EM-DAT recorded 0 weather and climate disasters in Mauritania, against an average of 1.2 a year in 2016-2025, with 0 deaths. Over those ten years the most frequent type was drought (6 of 12) and the deadliest flood. GDACS, the UN and European Commission's disaster alert system, issued 0 Major (Red) and 0 Severe (Orange) alerts for Mauritania in the last 12 months. Live alerts are on this page and on the Extreme Weather tracker.

Where does the climate data for Mauritania come from?

Climate data for Mauritania comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.

What is the climate baseline used on this page?

Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.

Which areas does the Mauritania climate data cover?

The Mauritania climate profile covers Nouakchott, Nouadhibou, Néma, Kaédi and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Mauritania

How often is the Mauritania climate update refreshed?

The Mauritania climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.

What counts as a Heatwave Day on the Mauritania climate page?

Heatwave Days use the Warm Spell Duration Index (WSDI) - the WMO/ETCCDI-standard heatwave measure: days that are part of a run of 6 or more consecutive days above the local 90th-percentile temperature for that calendar day. The 90th-percentile threshold varies by time of year (a hot day in January is judged differently to one in July) but is fixed to the 1961-1990 baseline for every year shown - it does not shift as the climate warms, which is why Heatwave Days trend upward over time.

Does the Mauritania climate page include frost and snow data?

Yes. Frost Days (days with a minimum temperature below 0°C, World Bank CCKP) and snow water-equivalent (GPCC) are shown alongside temperature and precipitation, each measured against the 1961-1990 baseline where a like-for-like historical comparison is available.

What major climate events has Mauritania experienced?

Major climate events in Mauritania include The record heat of 2010 across the Middle East and North Africa; The long 1986-88 El Niño; Mount Pinatubo erupts (1991-1993); Global heatwave days sharply accelerate (2010); 2015-2025: the eleven warmest years on record. The Climate History panel on this page lists 26 sourced events and pattern shifts relevant to Mauritania, the earliest from 1912 - 1 about Mauritania itself and the rest global context such as volcanic eruptions and El Niño events. Each entry carries its own sources and can be searched, filtered to local events or by category, and sorted by date; scrolling the list moves a cursor across the chart above so you can see where each event falls in the record.

Where does the Climate History list for Mauritania come from, and how is it checked?

It is a hand-reviewed register, not an automatic feed. Every entry is sourced, and each one records how it was verified - against this site's own data series, against a peer-reviewed paper, or against the public record of the event. 5 of the 26 entries here are written specifically about Mauritania, usually quoting its own ranking or measured figures. The rest give global or national context shared with wider pages. Where a figure is narrower than it first appears, or a famous claim does not hold locally, the entry says so.