Kyrgyzstan Climate
Top 5 Cities: Bishkek, Osh, Jalal-Abad, Karakol, and Tokmok
This month in numbers
Kyrgyzstan experienced its 4th warmest April on record, with an average temperature of 3.84°C, a significant 2.8°C above the 1961–1990 baseline. This follows a trend of unusually warm conditions, as the February–April 2026 period also ranked as the 5th warmest on record, with an anomaly of +2.4°C. Globally, April 2026 was the 2nd warmest April for land temperatures, indicating a widespread warming trend.
What changed
The past three months (February–April 2026) in Kyrgyzstan have been notably warmer than average, continuing a pattern observed throughout the past year. The country's average temperature for 2025 was 1.38°C, making it the 3rd warmest year on record. This regional warming aligns with the global picture, where land temperatures for February–April 2026 were the 2nd warmest on record. Kyrgyzstan currently ranks 66th out of 234 regions for its 3-month temperature anomaly, and 68th for its latest monthly anomaly.
What’s driving change?
The warming trend in Kyrgyzstan is influenced by several factors, including the broader phenomenon of , where mountainous regions experience accelerated temperature increases. The current ENSO state is Neutral, with an anomaly of +0.11°C for February-April 2026, though forecasts indicate a likely transition to El Niño in the coming months, which typically brings warmer and drier conditions to Central Asia. Kyrgyzstan has also experienced recent extreme weather, with a flood event occurring from late April to early May 2026, impacting areas in Osh and Jalal-Abad oblasts. This single flood event represents 100% of the flood events logged for Kyrgyzstan over the past 12 months, an unusual concentration. President Sadyr Japarov highlighted in April 2026 that the number of emergencies in the country, including mudflows and floods, has tripled since 2020, with annual direct material damage amounting to approximately $16 million.
Looking ahead
The forecast for May, June, and July 2026 indicates a 61% probability of El Niño developing, suggesting a shift towards warmer and drier conditions in the coming months.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
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Data Sources
Data Sources for Kyrgyzstan
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) — see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Kyrgyzstan changing?
Kyrgyzstan is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The trend rate is shown as °C per decade in the headline panel; you can also see the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Kyrgyzstan come from?
Climate data for Kyrgyzstan comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Kyrgyzstan climate data cover?
The Kyrgyzstan climate profile covers Bishkek, Osh, Jalal-Abad, Karakol and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Kyrgyzstan
How often is the Kyrgyzstan climate update refreshed?
The Kyrgyzstan climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.