4 Billion Years On

Kenya Climate – July 2026 Update

Top 5 Cities: Nairobi, Mombasa, Kisumu, Nakuru, and Eldoret

Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Kenya

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At a Glance

Temperature – Average

Kenya
Global
Land + Ocean
Jul
+2.0°C· 1st
25.1°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
17.0°C
Record
25.1°C (2026)
17.0°C (2024)
May–Jul
+1.7°C· 1st
25.5°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
16.5°C
Record
25.5°C (2026)
16.5°C (2024)
2025
+1.4°C· 4th
25.9°C
+1.0°C· 3rd
15.0°C
Record
26.1°C (2024)
15.2°C (2024)
Headline: anomaly vs your selected baseline (falls back to the 1961–1990 mean for a column without enough history for it) · Small figure: the actual value · Record = value on record for the ranking above

Climate Map – Global

Source: NOAA Climate at a Glance (countries & continents) · Met Office (UK) · US states & climate regions. Anomalies are vs the 1961–1990 baseline. See methodology.

Typical Climate – Kenya

Köppen Aw · Tropical

Kenya has a tropical climate (Köppen Aw: Tropical savanna (dry winter)), with only modest temperature variation through the year, but a pronounced wet and dry season. March is typically the warmest month, averaging 27.4°C, while July is the coldest at 24.3°C. Annual precipitation averages around 689mm, concentrated mostly in the wet season.

Warmest month
Mar 27°C
Coldest month
Jul 24°C
Annual rainfall
689mm
Wettest month
Apr 140mm

Monthly climate normals (20162025) - bar colour and height show average temperature, the shaded area shows average monthly precipitation.

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Long-Term Trends

Combined TimelineKenya

Right axis: everything else standardized to standard deviations (σ) from its own average, since mm/hours/days aren't directly comparable to °C or to each other.

MetricTemperature
10-Yr AverageActual Year

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Heatwave Days – Kenya

Warm Spell Duration Index (WSDI) - the WMO/ETCCDI heatwave measure: days in a 6+ day run above the local 90th-percentile temperature for that time of year.

Heatwave Days per Year2019 (Record)10-Yr Avg

Data: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal (ERA5-derived). Refreshed roughly 1-2x/year, ~7-8 months behind present.

Year-on-Year Trends

The 4byo Climate Helix – Kenya

1940202619611990 baselineColdest (1953)20162025 meanWarmest (2024)2026 so far
2026Jul
2024
WetDryJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecWet Start+1 days1891-19202016-25Wet End+7 days22°24°26°28°
Temp
26.0°C
+1.4 vs base
Precipitation
458mm
-198 vs base
ENSO
RONI 3-mo mean
Playback
8×
Mode
Presets

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Monthly TemperatureKenya

All years since 19532024 (Warmest)1953 (Coldest)2026 (Current Year)

Background lines show the last 40 years (plus the record year and its opposite, wherever they fall).

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Records – Kenya

Latest data Jul 2026
Warmest year
2024
26.1°C
Coldest year
1953
23.0°C
2026 so far
#10/87
26.0°C

Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP) - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean

Shifting Seasons

Wet / dry seasonsKöppen Aw · Tropical

Kenya doesn't have a warm/cold cycle - its monthly temperature range is only 2.6°C across the year - but it does have a strong wet/dry cycle (the wettest month gets 6× as much rain as the driest). So we track how the wet season has shifted instead.

Shifting wet season
6 days Longer
Wet Season
1891–1920 Baseline: 13 Apr → 22 Oct · 192 days
2016–2025 Now: 14 Apr → 29 Oct · 198 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Onset 1 day LaterEnd 7 days Later
-1.5% annual rain
baseline yr·recent yr·ring = global temp anomaly
Wet-season onset
13 Apr14 Apr
1 day Later
When 25% of annual rain has fallen
Wet-season end
22 Oct29 Oct
7 days Later
When 75% of annual rain has fallen
Peak-rain month
AprApr
unchanged
Wet months: 45

Monthly precipitation climatology. A “wet month” exceeds the baseline monthly mean (dashed gold line). Biggest month-to-month shift: May (-16 mm, -17%).

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (precipitation: GPCC (DWD); frost: World Bank CCKP).

Climate Systems

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Emissions & Energy

Explore

Explore Climate Data

Data Sources

Data Sources for Kenya

Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.

FAQs

FAQs

How is the climate in Kenya changing?

Kenya is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.

What is the climate like in Kenya?

Kenya has a tropical climate (Köppen Aw: Tropical savanna (dry winter)), with only modest temperature variation through the year, but a pronounced wet and dry season. March is typically the warmest month, averaging 27.4°C, while July is the coldest at 24.3°C. Annual precipitation averages around 689mm, concentrated mostly in the wet season.

Where does the climate data for Kenya come from?

Climate data for Kenya comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.

What is the climate baseline used on this page?

Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.

Which areas does the Kenya climate data cover?

The Kenya climate profile covers Nairobi, Mombasa, Kisumu, Nakuru and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Kenya

How often is the Kenya climate update refreshed?

The Kenya climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.

What counts as a Heatwave Day on the Kenya climate page?

Heatwave Days use the Warm Spell Duration Index (WSDI) - the WMO/ETCCDI-standard heatwave measure: days that are part of a run of 6 or more consecutive days above the local 90th-percentile temperature for that calendar day. The 90th-percentile threshold varies by time of year (a hot day in January is judged differently to one in July) but is fixed to the 1961-1990 baseline for every year shown - it does not shift as the climate warms, which is why Heatwave Days trend upward over time.

Does the Kenya climate page include frost and snow data?

Yes. Frost Days (days with a minimum temperature below 0°C, World Bank CCKP) and snow water-equivalent (GPCC) are shown alongside temperature and precipitation, each measured against the 1961-1990 baseline where a like-for-like historical comparison is available.