4 Billion Years On

Kazakhstan Climate – June 2026 Update

Top 5 Cities: Almaty, Astana, Shymkent, Aktobe, and Karaganda

This month in numbers

Kazakhstan experienced its 10th warmest June on record, with an average temperature of 23.46°C, which is 2.1°C above the 1961–1990 baseline. Globally, June 2026 was the 3rd warmest June on record for land temperatures, with an anomaly of +1°C.

What changed

The period of April–June 2026 was exceptionally warm, ranking as the 2nd warmest on record for Kazakhstan with an average temperature of 18.59°C, a significant 3.6°C above the 1961–1990 baseline. This places Kazakhstan 7th globally for its 3-month temperature anomaly. This trend aligns with the broader global picture, as global land temperatures for the same three-month period also ranked as the 2nd warmest on record, with an anomaly of +1°C. Kazakhstan's long-term warming trend shows an increase of +1.73°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline.

What’s driving change?

The significant warming observed in Kazakhstan is largely influenced by the , where higher-latitude regions tend to warm faster than tropical areas. Additionally, the , contributing to more pronounced temperature increases in continental regions like Kazakhstan. The country also experienced extreme weather events in June 2026, including heavy rain, thunderstorms, hail, and strong winds across various regions, with some areas seeing temperatures reaching up to 42°C and high to extreme fire danger warnings issued across much of the country. A severe thunderstorm in Aktobe on June 21, 2026, brought winds up to 30 m/s, causing considerable damage to infrastructure. These events highlight the region's vulnerability to increasingly intense extreme weather.

Looking ahead

Seasonal forecasts suggest that unstable weather patterns, including periods of hot weather interspersed with cooler, rainy days, thunderstorms, and increased winds, are likely to continue in the coming months.

Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources

At a Glance

Temperature – Average

Kazakhstan
Global
Land + Ocean
Jun
+2.4°C· 7th
23.8°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
16.6°C
Record
24.5°C (1977)
16.7°C (2024)
Apr–Jun
+3.0°C· 3rd
18.1°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
15.8°C
Record
18.7°C (2012)
15.9°C (2024)
2025
+2.9°C· 1st
8.9°C
+1.0°C· 3rd
15.0°C
Record
8.9°C (2025)
15.2°C (2024)
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean · Small figure: the actual value · Record = highest (or lowest) value on record

Year-on-Year Trends

The 4byo Climate Helix – Kazakhstan

1940202619611990 baselineColdest (1969)20162025 meanWarmest (2025)2026 so far
2026Jun
2025
WinterSpringSummerAutumnJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec1940-692016-25Spr Start−9 days1940-692016-25Aut End+4 days-20°-15°-10°-5°10°15°20°25°
Temp
6.3°C
+0.3 vs base
Rainfall
mm
Playback
8×
Mode
Metric
Presets

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Kazakhstan – Monthly Temperature – All Years

Metric
All years since 19872025 (warmest)2026 (current year)

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Records – Kazakhstan

Warmest year
2025
9.0°C
Coldest year
1969
3.7°C
2026 so far
#5/87
6.3°C

Our World in Data / NOAA - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean

Shifting Seasons

Warm / cold seasonsKöppen BSk · Arid

How spring and autumn have shifted in Kazakhstan. Spring is defined as the date monthly temperatures first rise above the long-term annual mean (6.0°C, from 19401969); autumn is the date they fall back below it. Temperature swings 36.2°C peak-to-peak across the year - a classic four-seasons rhythm.

Shifting summer
13 days longer
Warm season
1940–1969 baseline: 12 Apr → 16 Oct · 188 days
2016–2025 now: 2 Apr → 20 Oct · 201 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Spr 9 days earlierAut 4 days later
baseline yr·recent yr·ring = global temp anomaly

Baseline vs recent monthly temperature climatology. Biggest warming: Feb (+3.6°C).

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Rainfall & Precipitation

Rainfall & Rain Days – Totals

Rainfall / Precipitation
Kazakhstan
n/a
n/a· n/a
Record
n/a
n/a
n/a· n/a
Record
n/a
2024
+44 mm· 6th
387 mm
Record
417 mm (2016)

Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean. Small figure: the actual value. Rank: position in the full record (1st = highest ever). Record: highest (or lowest) value on record with its year.

Emissions & Energy

Explore

Explore Climate Data

Data Sources

Data Sources for Kazakhstan

Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.

FAQs

FAQs

How is the climate in Kazakhstan changing?

Kazakhstan is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.

Where does the climate data for Kazakhstan come from?

Climate data for Kazakhstan comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.

What is the climate baseline used on this page?

Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.

Which areas does the Kazakhstan climate data cover?

The Kazakhstan climate profile covers Almaty, Astana, Shymkent, Aktobe and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Kazakhstan

How often is the Kazakhstan climate update refreshed?

The Kazakhstan climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.