4 Billion Years On

Jordan Climate

Top 5 Cities: Amman, Zarqa, Irbid, Aqaba, and Madaba

April update · ~12–15 May

This month in numbers

April 2026 in Jordan saw an average temperature of 20.23°C, an anomaly of +2.3°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline, ranking as the 10th warmest April in 86 years of records. Globally, April 2026 was the 2nd warmest April for land temperature on record, with an anomaly of +1.1°C.

What changed

The three-month period from February to April 2026 recorded an average temperature of 14.93°C, an anomaly of +1.2°C, making it the 17th warmest such period on record for Jordan. This comes as the country experienced a winter with above-average rainfall, with the 2025-2026 rainy season achieving over 130 percent of the Kingdom's average annual rainfall. Despite this, Jordan remains a water-scarce nation, and the long-term trend shows a warming of +1.82°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline.

What’s driving change?

Jordan's climate is experiencing significant shifts, with experts linking unpredictable rainfall patterns and temperature increases to climate change. The region has seen prolonged droughts followed by sudden heavy rains, a trend driven by rising Mediterranean Sea surface temperatures and changing atmospheric circulation. In late March and throughout April, Jordan experienced several periods of atmospheric instability, bringing heavy rainfall, thunderstorms, and dust storms, which led to a high risk of flash floods in low-lying areas, including the Jordan Valley and the Dead Sea region. These events are consistent with the increasing frequency of extreme weather phenomena in the country. The current ENSO state is Neutral, with a strong forecast for El Niño to develop in the coming months, with a 79% probability for June-July-August. The country is also grappling with ongoing drought pressure, impacting agricultural production.

Looking ahead

The forecast for May-June-July indicates an increasing likelihood of El Niño developing, with a 61% probability, which could influence regional weather patterns in the coming months.

Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources

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Data Sources

Data Sources for Jordan

Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) — see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.

FAQs

FAQs

How is the climate in Jordan changing?

Jordan is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The trend rate is shown as °C per decade in the headline panel; you can also see the warmest and coolest years on file.

Where does the climate data for Jordan come from?

Climate data for Jordan comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.

What is the climate baseline used on this page?

Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.

Which areas does the Jordan climate data cover?

The Jordan climate profile covers Amman, Zarqa, Irbid, Aqaba and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Jordan

How often is the Jordan climate update refreshed?

The Jordan climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.