Estonia Climate – June 2026 Update
Top 5 Cities: Tallinn, Tartu, Narva, Pärnu, and Kohtla-Järve
This month in numbers
June 2026 saw Estonia's average temperature at 14.19°C, an anomaly of -0.7°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline, ranking 51st of 86 years on record. Globally, June 2026 was the 3rd warmest June on record for land temperature, with an anomaly of +1°C.
What changed
Looking at the broader picture, the April–June 2026 period in Estonia recorded an average temperature of 9.99°C, which is +0.4°C above the 1961–1990 baseline, ranking 39th warmest in 86 years. This places Estonia at 222nd out of 234 regions for its 3-month anomaly, indicating a relatively cooler period compared to many other areas globally. In contrast, the global land temperature for the same three-month period was the 2nd warmest on record, with an anomaly of +1°C. Over the last 12 months, Estonia has experienced a significant warming trend, ranking 6th out of 234 regions for its 12-month rolling anomaly, at +2.95°C.
What’s driving change?
Estonia's climate is influenced by its position in the northern part of the temperate zone and the transition between maritime and continental climates, with the Baltic Sea moderating coastal temperatures. The country's average temperature has been rising by 0.2-0.3°C per decade since 1951, exceeding the global average warming rate in the past two decades. This warming trend is particularly pronounced in spring and winter. In early June 2026, Estonia experienced severe weather, including heavy rain, thunderstorms, hail, strong winds, and confirmed tornado activity in southern regions like Võru County. This occurred as a low-pressure system pushed severe thunderstorms northward across the Baltics.
Looking ahead
Seasonal forecasts suggest that Estonia can expect warmer than average conditions for the summer, with the possibility of further heatwaves.
Sources:
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
At a Glance
Temperature – Average
Year-on-Year Trends
The 4byo Climate Helix – Estonia
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Estonia – Monthly Temperature – All Years
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Records – Estonia
Our World in Data / NOAA - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean
Shifting Seasons
Warm / cold seasonsKöppen Dfb · ContinentalHow spring and autumn have shifted in Estonia. Spring is defined as the date monthly temperatures first rise above the long-term annual mean (4.8°C, from 1940–1969); autumn is the date they fall back below it. Temperature swings 23.9°C peak-to-peak across the year - a classic four-seasons rhythm.
Baseline vs recent monthly temperature climatology. Biggest warming: Feb (+4.7°C).
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Rainfall & Precipitation
Rainfall & Rain Days – Totals
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean. Small figure: the actual value. Rank: position in the full record (1st = highest ever). Record: highest (or lowest) value on record with its year.
Emissions & Energy
Explore
Explore Climate Data
Data Sources
Data Sources for Estonia
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Estonia changing?
Estonia is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Estonia come from?
Climate data for Estonia comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Estonia climate data cover?
The Estonia climate profile covers Tallinn, Tartu, Narva, Pärnu and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Estonia
How often is the Estonia climate update refreshed?
The Estonia climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.