Estonia Climate
Top 5 Cities: Tallinn, Tartu, Narva, Pärnu, and Kohtla-Järve
This month in numbers
April 2026 saw Estonia's average temperature reach 6.29°C, an anomaly of +2.7°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline, ranking it the 10th warmest April in 86 years of records. Globally, April 2026 was the 2nd warmest April on record for land temperatures, with an anomaly of +1.1°C.
What changed
The three-month period from February to April 2026 recorded an average temperature of 2.04°C, an anomaly of +3.8°C, making it the 11th warmest such period on record for Estonia. This places Estonia as the 20th warmest region globally for this three-month anomaly. The country has experienced a long-term warming trend of +2.07°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. Estonia is currently experiencing a drought event that began in December 2025 and is still active, representing 100% of the drought events logged for the country over the past 12 months, which is an unusual concentration.
What’s driving change?
The significant warming observed in Estonia is largely influenced by , where high northern latitudes are warming at an accelerated rate. The ongoing drought conditions, which have been present since late 2025, are also a contributing factor, as dry soils can't cool themselves through evaporation, leading to and higher temperatures. Estonia also experienced unseasonably warm temperatures and strong winds in March 2026. In late April, a storm brought unusually late-season snowfall and strong winds, causing concerns for infrastructure disruption. You can track active extreme weather events at Extreme Weather tracker.
Looking ahead
Long-range forecasts for summer 2026 predict challenging conditions for Estonia, with expectations of heat waves, drought periods, and severe thunderstorms.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
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Data Sources
Data Sources for Estonia
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Estonia changing?
Estonia is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The trend rate is shown as °C per decade in the headline panel; you can also see the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Estonia come from?
Climate data for Estonia comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Estonia climate data cover?
The Estonia climate profile covers Tallinn, Tartu, Narva, Pärnu and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Estonia
How often is the Estonia climate update refreshed?
The Estonia climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.