Estonia Climate
Top 5 Cities: Tallinn, Tartu, Narva, Pärnu, and Kohtla-Järve
This month in numbers
April 2026 in Estonia saw an average temperature of 6.29°C, an anomaly of +2.7°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline, ranking as the 10th warmest April in 86 years of records. The global land temperature for April 2026 was 14.96°C, an anomaly of +1.1°C, making it the 2nd warmest April on global record.
What changed
The three-month period from February to April 2026 recorded an average temperature of 2.04°C, an anomaly of +3.8°C, placing it as the 11th warmest such period on record for Estonia. This continues a significant warming trend, with Estonia ranking as the 3rd warmest globally for the 12-month rolling anomaly, at +3.54°C. This past year, 2025, was also Estonia's 2nd warmest year on record, with an average temperature of 8.03°C.
What’s driving change?
The significant warming observed in Estonia is influenced by several factors, including , where high northern latitudes are warming at an accelerated rate. The () was in a strongly positive phase in March 2026 (2.69), following a slightly positive phase in February (0.68) and a negative phase in January (-0.36), which can steer weather systems and influence temperatures in northern Europe. Additionally, ENSO is currently in a Neutral phase, with a high probability of transitioning to El Niño conditions by May-July 2026, which typically brings warmer and drier conditions to the region. Estonia is also experiencing a drought event that began in late December 2025 and continued through early May 2026, affecting a broad area of Central and Eastern Europe. This single drought event represents 100% of the drought events logged for Estonia over the past 12 months, indicating an unusual concentration.
Looking ahead
El Niño conditions are likely to emerge in the coming months and persist through at least the end of 2026, which could bring warmer and drier conditions to Estonia.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
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Data Sources
Data Sources for Estonia
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) — see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Estonia changing?
Estonia is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The trend rate is shown as °C per decade in the headline panel; you can also see the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Estonia come from?
Climate data for Estonia comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Estonia climate data cover?
The Estonia climate profile covers Tallinn, Tartu, Narva, Pärnu and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Estonia
How often is the Estonia climate update refreshed?
The Estonia climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.