4 Billion Years On

Equatorial Guinea Climate

Top 5 Cities: Malabo, Bata, Ebebiyín, Akonibe, and Luba

This month in numbers

Equatorial Guinea experienced its 8th warmest April on record, with an average temperature of 25.1°C, an anomaly of +1.2°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. The period of February–April 2026 ranked as the 5th warmest on record, with an average temperature of 25.27°C, an anomaly of +1.5°C. Globally, April 2026 was the 2nd warmest on record for land temperatures, with the February–April period also ranking as the 2nd warmest globally.

What changed

The recent three-month period (February–April 2026) in Equatorial Guinea saw significantly warmer conditions, ranking as the 5th warmest such period in 86 years of records. This trend aligns with the country's long-term warming, which stands at +1.47°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline, and follows 2025 being the warmest year on record. Equatorial Guinea's April anomaly of +1.16°C places it 165th out of 234 regions globally for the latest month, while its three-month anomaly of +1.47°C places it 130th.

What’s driving change?

The warming trend observed in Equatorial Guinea is influenced by the broader global climate patterns, including the , where tropical regions, while not warming as fast as higher latitudes, are already close to the limits of human heat tolerance. The current ENSO state is Neutral, with an anomaly of +0.11°C for February-April 2026. However, forecasts indicate a strong likelihood of an El Niño developing in the coming months, with a 61% chance for May-July and 79% for June-August. El Niño events are typically associated with warmer global temperatures and can influence rainfall patterns in equatorial regions, potentially leading to drier or wetter conditions depending on the specific location and season.

Looking ahead

The evolving ENSO phase suggests that an El Niño is likely to develop in the coming months, with a strong probability of 79% for June-August, which could bring warmer conditions and altered rainfall patterns to the region.

Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources

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Data Sources

Data Sources for Equatorial Guinea

Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) — see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.

FAQs

FAQs

How is the climate in Equatorial Guinea changing?

Equatorial Guinea is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The trend rate is shown as °C per decade in the headline panel; you can also see the warmest and coolest years on file.

Where does the climate data for Equatorial Guinea come from?

Climate data for Equatorial Guinea comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.

What is the climate baseline used on this page?

Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.

Which areas does the Equatorial Guinea climate data cover?

The Equatorial Guinea climate profile covers Malabo, Bata, Ebebiyín, Akonibe and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Equatorial Guinea

How often is the Equatorial Guinea climate update refreshed?

The Equatorial Guinea climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.