East Timor Climate
Top 5 Cities: Dili, Baucau, Maliana, Suai, and Lospalos
This month in numbers
East Timor experienced its 17th warmest April on record, with an average temperature of 24.8°C, marking an anomaly of +0.5°C above the 1961–1990 baseline. Globally, April 2026 was the 2nd warmest April for land temperatures on record, with an anomaly of +1.1°C. The three-month period from February to April 2026 was the 7th warmest on record for East Timor, with an average temperature of 25.18°C, an anomaly of +0.9°C.
What changed
The recent three-month period (February–April 2026) saw East Timor's average temperature at +0.9°C above the baseline, ranking it as the 7th warmest such period in 86 years of records. This trend aligns with the broader regional and global warming patterns, as the global land temperature for the same period was the 2nd warmest on record, with an anomaly of +1.2°C. East Timor's 12-month rolling anomaly of +0.79°C places it as the 230th warmest out of 234 regions, indicating it is among the cooler regions globally in terms of recent annual temperature anomalies.
What’s driving change?
The current climate in East Timor is influenced by the prevailing Neutral ENSO state, with a weekly Niño 3.4 SST anomaly of +0.9°C as of April 29, 2026. While currently neutral, there is a strong forecast for an evolving El Niño phase in the coming months, with a 61% probability for May-July and 79% for June-August. Historically, El Niño events often bring drier conditions to East Timor. The region has also experienced recent extreme weather, with reports of intense rainfall and flooding in the capital, Dili, and Covalima municipality in late February, impacting approximately 1,500 people. Wildfires are also a concern, with East Timor classified as having a high wildfire hazard.
Looking ahead
The strong forecast for an El Niño phase to develop and strengthen in the coming months suggests a heightened probability of drier conditions for East Timor in the latter half of 2026.
Sources:
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
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Data Sources
Data Sources for East Timor
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) — see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in East Timor changing?
East Timor is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The trend rate is shown as °C per decade in the headline panel; you can also see the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for East Timor come from?
Climate data for East Timor comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the East Timor climate data cover?
The East Timor climate profile covers Dili, Baucau, Maliana, Suai and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for East Timor
How often is the East Timor climate update refreshed?
The East Timor climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.