Cuba Climate – June 2026 Update
Top 5 Cities: Havana, Santiago de Cuba, Camagüey, Holguín, and Guantánamo
This month in numbers
Cuba experienced its 4th warmest June on record in 2026, with an average temperature of 27.77°C, marking an anomaly of +1.3°C above the 1961–1990 baseline. The three-month period from April to June 2026 also ranked as the 5th warmest on record, with an average of 26.89°C, an anomaly of +1.2°C. Globally, June 2026 was the 3rd warmest on land, and the April–June period was the 2nd warmest on land.
What changed
Cuba's consistently warm temperatures this past quarter align with a broader warming trend, as the country's latest full-year average temperature in 2025 was 26.19°C, making it the 2nd warmest year on record. This contributes to a long-term warming trend of +0.95°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. The Caribbean region as a whole has been experiencing unusually warm sea surface temperatures, contributing to higher air temperatures and humidity.
What’s driving change?
The primary driver of Cuba's current warming trend is the ongoing weak El Niño event, which is forecast to strengthen significantly in the coming months. El Niño typically leads to warmer-than-average conditions and drier weather in the Caribbean basin, increasing the probability of drought and extreme heat in Cuba. This is compounded by the general effect, where land areas heat up more rapidly than the surrounding waters. Cuba is currently facing a severe drought, with 62% of the national territory affected as of March 2026, and water reserves at their lowest level since 2015. This further intensifies heatwaves as the ground cannot cool itself through evaporation. Additionally, a severe local storm hit Guantánamo in June, bringing intense rains, hail, and strong winds up to 104 km/h, causing damage to infrastructure, including solar panels.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
At a Glance
Temperature – Average
Year-on-Year Trends
The 4byo Climate Helix – Cuba
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Cuba – Monthly Temperature – All Years
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Records – Cuba
Our World in Data / NOAA - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean
Shifting Seasons
Wet / dry seasonsKöppen Aw · TropicalCuba doesn't have a warm/cold cycle - its monthly temperature range is only 4.8°C across the year - but it does have a strong wet/dry cycle (the wettest month gets 6× as much rain as the driest). So we track how the wet season has shifted instead.
Monthly rainfall climatology. A “wet month” exceeds the baseline monthly mean (dashed gold line). Biggest month-to-month shift: Aug (+20 mm, +13%).
Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.
Rainfall & Precipitation
Rainfall & Rain Days – Totals
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean. Small figure: the actual value. Rank: position in the full record (1st = highest ever). Record: highest (or lowest) value on record with its year.
Climate Systems
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Emissions & Energy
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Explore Climate Data
Data Sources
Data Sources for Cuba
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Cuba changing?
Cuba is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Cuba come from?
Climate data for Cuba comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Cuba climate data cover?
The Cuba climate profile covers Havana, Santiago de Cuba, Camagüey, Holguín and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Cuba
How often is the Cuba climate update refreshed?
The Cuba climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.