Chad Climate
Top 5 Cities: N'Djamena, Moundou, Sarh, Abéché, and Kélo
This month in numbers
Chad experienced its 21st warmest April on record in 2026, with an average temperature of 30.83°C, an anomaly of +1.1°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. The period of February–April 2026 was the 7th warmest on record for Chad, with an average temperature of 27.79°C, an anomaly of +1.6°C. Globally, April 2026 was the 2nd warmest April on record for land temperatures, with an anomaly of +1.1°C, while the February–April 2026 period also ranked as the 2nd warmest globally for land temperatures, with an anomaly of +1.2°C.
What changed
Chad's recent warmth aligns with a broader trend of increasing temperatures. The country's latest full-year average temperature in 2025 was 27.97°C, making it the 3rd warmest year on record, and the long-term trend shows a warming of +1.44°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. This warming trend is particularly concerning given Chad's vulnerability to climate-related disasters, including recurrent droughts and severe flooding.
What’s driving change?
The warming trend in Chad is influenced by global climate change, with the region experiencing the effects of . The current ENSO state is Neutral, with a weekly Niño 3.4 SST anomaly of +0.9°C as of May 13, 2026. However, forecasts indicate a strong likelihood of El Niño developing in the coming months, with an 82% chance for May–July 2026 and increasing to 98% for August–October 2026. For the Sahel region, El Niño typically brings warmer and drier conditions, which can lead to a drier West African monsoon and reduced cereal yields. Chad has also faced significant humanitarian challenges due to extreme weather events, with floods in late 2024 and early 2025 severely impacting the country and worsening food insecurity. The humanitarian crisis in Chad continues to intensify, driven by regional insecurity, climate shocks, and recurrent health emergencies.
Looking ahead
Projections for the June–August 2026 lean season estimate that 3 million people in Chad will face acute food insecurity, underscoring the urgent need for sustained donor engagement to scale up life-saving assistance and accelerate investments in climate adaptation.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
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Data Sources
Data Sources for Chad
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Chad changing?
Chad is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The trend rate is shown as °C per decade in the headline panel; you can also see the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Chad come from?
Climate data for Chad comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Chad climate data cover?
The Chad climate profile covers N'Djamena, Moundou, Sarh, Abéché and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Chad
How often is the Chad climate update refreshed?
The Chad climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.