Chad Climate
Top 5 Cities: N'Djamena, Moundou, Sarh, Abéché, and Kélo
This month in numbers
Chad experienced its 7th warmest February–April on record, with an average temperature of 27.79°C, a significant 1.6°C above the 1961–1990 baseline. April 2026 alone was the 21st warmest April on record, with temperatures averaging 30.83°C, an anomaly of +1.1°C. Globally, April 2026 was the 2nd warmest April for land temperatures on record, just shy of the all-time record set in April 2025.
What changed
Chad's recent warmth is part of a longer-term trend, with the latest full-year average temperature in 2025 ranking as the 3rd warmest of 85 years on record. The country's long-term trend shows a warming of +1.44°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. This regional warming aligns with a global pattern, as the February–April 2026 period was the 2nd warmest on record for global land temperatures. Chad's April anomaly of +1.06°C places it 173rd out of 234 regions globally for the month, while its 3-month anomaly of +1.63°C ranks it 116th.
What’s driving change?
The warming trend in Chad is influenced by the broader , where higher-latitude regions tend to warm faster than tropical areas. The Sahel region, where Chad is located, is particularly vulnerable to climate change impacts, including increased frequency and intensity of heatwaves and erratic rainfall patterns. The current ENSO state is Neutral, with a weekly Niño 3.4 SST anomaly of +0.9°C as of April 29, 2026. However, there is a strong forecast for El Niño to develop in the coming months, with a 61% probability for May-Jul and 87% for Jul-Sep. Historically, El Niño phases are associated with warmer and drier conditions in the Sahel, potentially leading to a drier West African monsoon and reduced cereal yields. Chad has also been experiencing significant flooding, with heavy rains and torrential floods in N'Djamena in late April 2026 destroying thousands of homes and displacing many. This follows previous years of severe flooding, including in 2024 and 2025, which impacted millions and inundated farmland, exacerbating food insecurity.
Looking ahead
The anticipated development of El Niño in the coming months suggests a heightened risk of warmer and drier conditions for Chad, which could impact the upcoming West African monsoon season.
Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources
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Data Sources
Data Sources for Chad
Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) — see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.
FAQs
FAQs
How is the climate in Chad changing?
Chad is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The trend rate is shown as °C per decade in the headline panel; you can also see the warmest and coolest years on file.
Where does the climate data for Chad come from?
Climate data for Chad comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.
What is the climate baseline used on this page?
Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.
Which areas does the Chad climate data cover?
The Chad climate profile covers N'Djamena, Moundou, Sarh, Abéché and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Chad
How often is the Chad climate update refreshed?
The Chad climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.