4 Billion Years On

Bolivia Climate – June 2026 Update

Top 5 Cities: La Paz, Santa Cruz de la Sierra, Cochabamba, Sucre, and El Alto

This month in numbers

Bolivia experienced its 37th warmest June on record, with an average temperature of 17.16°C, which is +0.6°C above the 1961–1990 baseline. Globally, June 2026 was the 3rd warmest June on record for land temperatures, with an anomaly of +1°C. The three-month period from April to June 2026 was the 14th warmest on record for Bolivia, with an average temperature of 19.01°C, an anomaly of +1°C.

What changed

Bolivia's average temperature for April–June 2026 was 1°C above the 1961–1990 baseline, making it the 14th warmest such period in 86 years of records. This trend is part of a broader warming pattern, with 2025 being the warmest year on record for Bolivia, at 21.56°C. The country's long-term warming trend stands at +1.31°C compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. Bolivia's June anomaly of +0.56°C places it 180th out of 234 regions globally for the latest month's temperature anomaly.

What’s driving change?

The current climate patterns in Bolivia are significantly influenced by a weak El Niño, which has been officially established in the Equatorial Pacific Ocean since June 2026. This El Niño is projected to strengthen throughout the second half of the year, with a 100% probability of continuing through November 2026, and a 63% chance of becoming a "Super El Niño" with anomalies exceeding +2.0°C in the Niño 3.4 region. For the Amazon basin, which includes parts of Bolivia, El Niño typically brings warmer and drier conditions, increasing drought stress and the risk of wildfires. Indeed, Bolivia has experienced a wildfire event from late June to early July 2026, near San Ignacio de Velasco, which represents 100% of the annual total for wildfires in the past 12 months, indicating an unusual concentration of fire activity. More information on extreme weather events can be found at Extreme Weather tracker, and further details on ENSO are available at ENSO.

Looking ahead

El Niño conditions are expected to strengthen and persist through the end of 2026, suggesting a continued likelihood of warmer and drier conditions for Bolivia in the coming months.

Generated by Gemini from climate data and web sources

At a Glance

Temperature – Average

Bolivia
Global
Land + Ocean
Jun
+0.7°C· 34th
17.2°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
16.6°C
Record
19.7°C (2024)
16.7°C (2024)
Apr–Jun
+0.7°C· 26th
18.7°C
+1.0°C· 2nd
15.8°C
Record
20.3°C (2024)
15.9°C (2024)
2025
+1.0°C· 9th
20.5°C
+1.0°C· 3rd
15.0°C
Record
21.6°C (2024)
15.2°C (2024)
Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean · Small figure: the actual value · Record = highest (or lowest) value on record

Year-on-Year Trends

The 4byo Climate Helix – Bolivia

1940202619611990 baselineColdest (1956)20162025 meanWarmest (2024)2026 so far
2026Jun
2024
WetDryJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec1901-302016-25Wet Start+5 daysWet End−2 days14°16°18°20°22°24°
Temp
20.4°C
+0.9 vs base
Rainfall
mm
ENSO
ONI 3-mo mean
Playback
8×
Mode
Metric
Presets

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Bolivia – Monthly Temperature – All Years

Metric
All years since 19872024 (warmest)2026 (current year)

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Records – Bolivia

Warmest year
2024
21.6°C
Coldest year
1956
18.2°C
2026 so far
#8/87
20.4°C

Our World in Data / NOAA - Anomalies vs 1901-2000 mean

Shifting Seasons

Wet / dry seasonsKöppen Cwb · Temperate

Bolivia doesn't have a warm/cold cycle - its monthly temperature range is only 4.2°C across the year - but it does have a strong wet/dry cycle (the wettest month gets 7× as much rain as the driest). So we track how the wet season has shifted instead.

Shifting wet season
7 days shorter
Wet season
1940–1969 baseline: 27 Nov → 8 Mar · 101 days
2016–2025 now: 2 Dec → 6 Mar · 94 days
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Onset 5 days laterEnd 2 days earlier
-5.3% annual rain
baseline yr·recent yr·ring = global temp anomaly
Wet-season onset
27 Nov2 Dec
5 days later
When 25% of annual rain has fallen
Wet-season end
8 Mar6 Mar
2 days earlier
When 75% of annual rain has fallen
Peak-rain month
JanFeb
+1 month
Wet months: 55

Monthly rainfall climatology. A “wet month” exceeds the baseline monthly mean (dashed gold line). Biggest month-to-month shift: Jan (-9 mm, -5%).

Data: Our World in Data / NOAA (rainfall: World Bank CCKP / CRU TS 4.08). Baseline: first 30 yrs on record. Recent: last 10 yrs on record.

Rainfall & Precipitation

Rainfall & Rain Days – Totals

Rainfall / Precipitation
Bolivia
n/a
n/a· n/a
Record
n/a
n/a
n/a· n/a
Record
n/a
2024
-270 mm· 81st
1232 mm
Record
1918 mm (1950)

Headline: anomaly vs the 1961–1990 mean. Small figure: the actual value. Rank: position in the full record (1st = highest ever). Record: highest (or lowest) value on record with its year.

Climate Systems

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Emissions & Energy

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Data Sources

Data Sources for Bolivia

Every figure on this page is sourced from official, openly published climate datasets. Anomalies are calculated against the 1961–1990 baseline (temperature) and 1991–2020 (rainfall, sunshine, frost) - see the Methodology & Sources page for the complete dataset list and update calendar.

FAQs

FAQs

How is the climate in Bolivia changing?

Bolivia is warming in line with the rest of the world. The page above shows the latest monthly temperature anomaly versus the 1961-1990 baseline, the long-term annual trend, and the region's rank in the historical record. The headline panel also shows the long-term trend rate per decade and the warmest and coolest years on file.

Where does the climate data for Bolivia come from?

Climate data for Bolivia comes from Our World in Data, sourcing Copernicus ERA5 and HadCRUT5 (national temperature anomaly) and the Global Carbon Project via Our World in Data (CO₂ emissions), refreshed every month, when the upstream temperature and rainfall data are refreshed.

What is the climate baseline used on this page?

Anomalies on this page are calculated against the 1961-1990 climatological baseline, which is the standard reference period used by the Met Office, NOAA, IPCC and most national climate services. Some panels also show the source-native 1901-2000 (NOAA) or 1991-2020 (WMO) baselines for verification. See Methodology & Sources for the full reference.

Which areas does the Bolivia climate data cover?

The Bolivia climate profile covers La Paz, Santa Cruz de la Sierra, Cochabamba, Sucre and surrounding areas. Temperature, rainfall and emissions data for Bolivia

How often is the Bolivia climate update refreshed?

The Bolivia climate update is refreshed monthly, typically a few days after the previous month closes and the upstream provider (Met Office HadUK-Grid, NOAA Climate at a Glance, Copernicus ERA5 or the Global Carbon Project) publishes its update. See the Climate Rankings for cross-region comparisons.